Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Betting Tips 6/1/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview

The Phillies head into Saturday’s matchup vs. the Cardinals looking to extend their two-game winning streak. They are 40-18 this season and they have a 2.5 game lead over the Braves in the NL East. The over/under line for Saturday’s game is at 7.5 runs, and the Phillies are the favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -149.

As for the Cardinals, they are 27-28 and their money line odds are +127 for Saturday’s game. This NL Central club is 2nd in the division, and they are starting Sonny Gray. The Phillies are starting Ranger Suarez, and first pitch from Citizen Bank Park is set for 7:15 PM ET on FOX.

Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – St. Louis Cardinals odds

Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Cardinals have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• In the Phillies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a record of 7-3 straight-up, and have gone 7-3 against the runline.
• The Cardinals have a 7-3 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Philadelphia picked up a 4-2 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a three-run 2nd inning and scored their final run in the 7th. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -208 on the money line.

Aaron Nola started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Miles Mikolas got the start for the Cardinals and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.

Edmundo Sosa was the only Phillies hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/3 with a home run. Bryce Harper also had a two-hit game for Philadelphia. Brandon Crawford had a two-hit game and hit a home run for the Cardinals.

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

St. Louis is 27-28 overall this season, and they are six games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals are 5-7 in the division this season. The team is on the road today, and they are 14-16 on the road compared to 13-12 at home.

The Cardinals have won five straight series, and they are 10-8 in series play this year. St. Louis’ overall series record has them as the underdog today, as they are 13-15 as the underdog this year. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 14-13 this season.

When betting the run line on the Cardinals this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 27-28 overall, but have been slightly better on the road (14-16) than at home (13-12). They have been a better bet as the underdog (17-11) than as the favorite (10-17). Their average run differential is -0.7 runs per game, but that number is significantly better in their wins (2.6) than in their losses (-3.8).

St. Louis has played in 41 games this season with an over/under line higher than today’s 7.5-run total, which represents 74.5% of their games. The Cardinals have gone 3-9 in games with a line of 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per contest this year. St. Louis has gone under the total in each of its last five games.

Sonny Gray will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that May 26th start vs. the Cubs, he went 5 innings, giving up just one hit and two walks. Looking at his overall numbers, Gray has made 9 starts, and opponents are batting .199 this season. Gray’s ERA is 2.60, and his WHIP is 1.00. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Gray’s record for the season is 7-2.

So far this season, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 13th in the league, and are 18th in home runs. St. Louis does have a few hitters with good home run totals, as Nolan Gorman’s 10 homers is 1st on the team and 9th in the MLB, and Paul Goldschmidt and 7 homers.

Nolan Arenado comes into the game with a team-high 26 RBIs, but he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 2/16 in his last four games. Paul Goldschmidt has also hit three homers in his last five games, but has just a .221 batting average for the season. Masyn Winn has gone 6/17 in his last five games and has driven in three runs during that stretch.

Philadelphia is currently 40-18 overall, leading the NL East by 6.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies have won two straight games and are 11-5 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 23-8 this year and 17-10 on the road.

So far, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 25-9. As the favorite, the Phillies are 35-14 this year and 5-4 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 11-4-4 and have won two straight series.

The Phillies have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 32-26 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 17-14. They have won five straight games against the run line at home and have been favored in 49 games, going 27-22 against the run line in those games.

The Philadelphia Phillies are at home today against the St. Louis Cardinals with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 27-28, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 5-10. Overall, 62.1% of Phillies games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs this season, and their current under streak is at 3 games.

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today and comes into the game with a record of 9-1 and an ERA of 1.75. Looking at his overall numbers, Suárez has made 11 appearances, eight of which were quality starts, and he has one shutout. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is .82, and opponents are batting .165 this year. In his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. At home, he is 5-0 with a 1.86 ERA.

The Phillies have been the best offensive team in the league so far, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league. As a team, the Phillies are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Over his last 10 games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 14/37 with two homers and seven RBIs. Alec Bohm has been a solid run producer for the Phillies, as his 47 RBIs are the 3rd most in the league. Bryce Harper has also been driving in runs at a high rate, as his 42 RBIs are 2nd on the team and 6th in the MLB.

Our prediction for today’s Cardinals vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -149. We have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 5-4. Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Ranger Suarez finishing with four strikeouts, while Sonny Gray is projected to finish with six.

If you’re looking for a parlay option, you could pair a Phillies win with the over. The line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Cardinals (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report