Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
At 6:40 PM ET, the Cardinals and Phillies will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line at -188. The Cardinals have a record of 27-27 and they are 2nd in the NL Central, while the Phillies are 1st in the NL East.
Friday’s forecast in Philadelphia calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. NSPPH will be televising this one, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. Aaron Nola will be starting for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Miles Mikolas for the Cardinals.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – St. Louis Cardinals odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Cardinals have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Phillies have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 6-4 against the runline.
- Looking at the Cardinals’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 8-2 straight-up and 8-2 vs. the runline.
Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Nolan Gorman had a big game for the Cardinals in their most recent win over the Reds, going 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Cardinals really got things going with a four-run 3rd inning and added another run in the 4th. St. Louis was the +105 underdog going into this road game.
Andre Pallante started for the Cardinals, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out four. The Cardinals’ bullpen closed things out, and Ryan Helsley picked up the save.
St. Louis is at .500 this season, coming in with a record of 27-27. They are five games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Reds with a win.
At home, the Cardinals are 13-12 this season and have gone 14-15 on the road. As the underdog, St. Louis has won two straight games, and they are 13-14 as the underdog overall. St. Louis’ overall series record is 10-8, and they have won two straight series on the road and five straight series overall.
When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9 runs per game. This is why their overall run line record is just .500 at 27-27. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 17-10, compared to just 10-17 as the favorite.
So far this season, the St. Louis Cardinals have been involved in 52 games with an average over/under line of 8 runs. Their over/under record is 24-28, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 3-5-1. Their games have had an average of 8.5 runs per game, and they are currently on a 4-game under streak.
Right-hander Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 5.64. Mikolas’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.36. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Mikolas has a total of nine homers this year.
Over his last eight games, Masyn Winn has been on fire for the Cardinals, going 13/31 with a home run and seven RBIs. This has helped him extend his hitting streak to 16 games. Nolan Gorman has also been hot of late, going 8/24 with three homers in his last seven games. Gorman’s 10 home runs this season are 8th in the league and the most on the team.
For the season, the Cardinals are batting just .237, which is 15th in the league. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in runs scored and home runs. However, they have been a little better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game.
Heading into their last game vs. the Giants, the Phillies closed out the series with a 6-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -130 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Phillies, as they got on the board with a run and added another run in the 2nd.
Cristopher Sánchez put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out seven Giants batters. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Philadelphia hosts the Cardinals with an overall record of 39-18, and they lead the NL East by 6.5 games over the Braves. So far, they have gone 11-5 against other teams in the NL East. The Phillies have been tough to beat at home, going 22-8, and they are 17-10 on the road.
As the favorite, the Phillies have been really good this year, putting together a mark of 34-14. They are 5-4 when the underdog and have won six straight games at home. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 11-4-4, and they dropped two of three in their most recent series vs. the Giants.
When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs per game, and they have won four straight games against the run line at home. Overall, they are 31-26 against the run line, including a 16-14 mark at home. As the favorite, they are 26-22 against the run line, while they are 5-4 as the underdog. Their average run differential on the season is +1.6 runs per game, and they are 15-12 against the run line on the road.
The Philadelphia Phillies have an over/under record of 27-27 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 11-5, and they have played 19 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the St. Louis Cardinals is set at 8 runs.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Cardinals at home. Nola has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 6-2 with a 3.04 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.06 and has pitched one shutout and one complete game. Nola has turned in seven quality starts this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. In terms of home runs, they are 6th in the league and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league at .258.
Over his last seven games, Kyle Schwarber has been on fire, going 12/28 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is 2nd on the team with 11 homers and is batting .246. Alec Bohm is hitting .308 and leads the team with 47 RBIs. Bryce Harper is also having a strong season, with 13 homers and 42 RBIs.
We see the Phillies taking this one at home by a score of 5-4. However, with the Phillies at -188 on the money line, we recommend taking the over at 8 runs. You can get the over at -110, and we have this game going over by a full run.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Miles Mikolas going seven innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Aaron Nola, we have him also finishing with five strikeouts and going 6.2 innings.
Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Forearm |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Giovanny Gallegos | Out | Shoulder |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
| Lars Nootbaar | Questionable | Side |
| Nick Robertson | Out | Elbow |
