Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Preview
At 4:05 PM from Citizen Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have an NL matchup between the Giants and Phillies. The Phillies are sending Zack Wheeler to the mound vs. Mason Black for the Giants. San Francisco comes in with a record of 15-20, while the Phillies are 24-11.
Philadelphia is the heavy favorite at -201, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. You can catch this one on NBCS.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – San Francisco Giants odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Giants are 1-4. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Phillies have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Phillies have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- The Giants have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Philadelphia picked up a 5-4 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Giants, they scored two runs in the 7th and added their final run in the 9th.
Taijuan Walker got the win for the Phillies, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. Logan Webb only went four innings for the Giants, giving up four earned runs on six hits.
Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto each had three hits and scored a run for the Phillies. Harper also hit the game’s only home run. Thairo Estrada and Jakson Reetz each went deep for the Giants.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Phillies, the Giants are 15-20 overall and have lost three straight games. These three losses have them 7.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they are 6-8 against other NL West teams.
The Giants are just 6-13 on the road this year, and they are 4-10 as the road underdog. San Francisco is 10-9 when favored and 5-11 when the underdog overall. So far, they have an even series record of 4-4-2. Looking at their overall record, the Giants have gone just 3-7 over their last ten games.
When the Giants are on the road, they have a run line record of 10-9, and their average run margin is -1.4. They have been the underdog in 16 games and have a run line record of 10-6 in those games. Their average run margin in losing games is -4.3.
The San Francisco Giants have had 33 games with over/under lines set this season, and 15 of them have had lines set at 8 or lower. Their over/under record in those games is 2-4-1. Their over/under record for the season is 16-17, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Phillies is set at 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games this season is 8.5 runs.
Today, Mason Black gets the nod for the Giants as they face the Phillies. It’s his chance to make a strong opening statement, as this will be his first time on the mound this year.
Thairo Estrada has been swinging a hot bat for the Giants of late, going 8/20 in his last five games with a homer and six RBIs. He also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .256 with a team-high five homers and 19 RBIs. Michael Conforto and Jorge Soler also have five homers this season but have batting averages of .258 and .202, respectively.
San Francisco’s offense is averaging just 3.7 runs per game, and they have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .305 is 15th. Overall, they are 13th in home runs, but their slugging percentage and OPS are both below average.
With an overall record of 24-11, the Phillies lead the NL East by 2.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies are currently on a five-game winning streak, and they are 3-3 in divisional games this year. This season, the Phillies have been really good at home, going 13-6, and they have gone 11-5 on the road.
Philadelphia has been really good in night games this year, going 15-6, and they have won nine straight at home. So far, they have been favored in 28 of their games, and they have gone 20-8 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Phillies are 4-3 this year, and they have an overall series record of 6-2-2. The Phillies have won two straight series and are 9-1 over their last 10 games.
The Phillies have been a solid run line bet so far this season, as they are 17-18 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, going 9-7 against the run line compared to 8-11 at home. They have been favored in 28 games and have gone 13-15 against the run line in those contests. They have an average run differential of +1.1 runs per game this season.
The Phillies have seen their over/under line set at 8 runs for today’s game against the Giants. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7, and their over/under record is 16-17. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 9-3. Overall, 34.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Zack Wheeler has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 1.91. Wheeler has made seven starts this year and has turned in five quality starts. In his most recent outing, he went five innings and gave up one earned run, picking up the win. Wheeler has won each of his last three starts. The right-hander has a strikeout per nine innings figure of 11.06 and has only allowed three homers this season. His WHIP for the season is currently .92.
So far this season, the Phillies have been one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 4.9 runs per game (8th) and batting a collective .255, which is the 4th best mark in the league. They also come into today’s game as the 5th ranked home run hitting team in the league. Philadelphia’s team on-base percentage of .331 is 3rd in the league, and they have also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they are just 17th in the league in strikeouts.
Over his last eight games, Alec Bohm has been on fire for the Phillies, going 12/30 with one homer and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .360 and is 2nd on the team with four home runs. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with eight homers but is batting just .206 so far this season. Trea Turner and Bryce Harper are also among the team’s home run leaders, with two and seven homers, respectively.
Given the payout, we like the Giants to pick up a win on the road against the Phillies. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Giants. However, we recommend taking the Giants on the money line, as you can get a payout of +167.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler does have the best chance to pick up a win among starters today. However, we have him finishing with eight strikeouts, and there are starters with lower projections that you could look to add in a strikeout prop.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- We like the Giants on the moneyline (+167)
- The Giants are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
| Jorge Soler | Questionable | Shoulder |
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Blake Snell | Out | Thigh |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
| Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
| Patrick Bailey | Out | Concussion |
