Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Preview
At 6:05 PM from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have an NL matchup between the Giants and Phillies. The Phillies come in with a record of 22-11 and will be sending Ranger Suarez to the mound vs. a Giants club that is 15-18 and starting Keaton Winn.
Philadelphia is the heavy favorite at -184, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by NBCS.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – San Francisco Giants odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Giants in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Phillies have gone 4-1 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- The Phillies have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Giants’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 7-3 vs. the runline.
Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a three-run 3rd inning and scored the game’s final run in the 7th. As for the Giants, they scored two runs in the 4th and added their final run in the 7th.
Aaron Nola got the start for the Phillies, going just four innings while giving up two runs and striking out four. Matt Strahm got the win out of the bullpen, and Jose Alvarado got the save. Jordan Hicks only went four innings for the Giants, giving up two earned runs on four hits.
Trea Turner went 2/3 with a run scored and an RBI, while Brandon Marsh also had two hits and drove in two for Philadelphia’s offense. Thairo Estrada had a two-hit game for the Giants.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco is on the road today vs. the Phillies, and they are looking to pick up a win to get back to .500. Currently, the Giants are 15-18 and trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West. So far, they are 6-8 in divisional matchups.
The Giants have been pretty good at home this year, going 9-7 compared to 6-11 on the road. As the favorite, San Francisco is 10-9 this year and 5-9 as the underdog. They are also 4-8 as the underdog on the road. Looking at their overall series record, the Giants are 4-4-2 this year. They have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games.
San Francisco has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 15-18 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 9-8 ATS. The Giants have covered the run line in two straight games and have been profitable as an underdog, going 9-5 ATS.
The San Francisco Giants have had seven of their 14 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs go over this season, and their combined run average in those games is 7.0. Overall, their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 14-17.
Giants starter Keaton Winn has been pitching well this season, coming into the game with a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 3.18. He has made a total of six starts and three of them have been quality starts. Winn’s WHIP for the season is an impressive 0.97. In his last outing, he faced the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, he has allowed just one earned run in each of his last three outings. The right-hander has been especially tough at home, with an ERA of 3.0 compared to 3.5 on the road.
San Francisco’s offense has been struggling this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per contest. The Giants are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. However, they do come into the game with a collective batting average of .238.
Michael Conforto and Jorge Soler come into the game tied for the team lead in home runs, but both players are hitting just .250 and .205, respectively. Conforto’s 16 RBIs are 14th in the league and the best mark on the team. Thairo Estrada and Matt Chapman are also tied for 2nd on the team with four homers apiece.
With an overall record of 22-11, the Phillies lead the NL East by a half-game over the Braves. The Phillies are on a three-game winning streak, and they are 3-3 against other teams in the NL East. Philadelphia has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 6-2-2 this season.
At home, the Phillies are 11-6 this year, and they have gone 11-5 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 18-8 this year, and they are 4-3 as the underdog. Philadelphia has won seven straight games at home, and they are 10-4 as the home favorite this year. Looking at their recent games, the Phillies are 7-3 over their last 10.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line team this season, going 16-17 overall. They have been better on the road, going 9-7 compared to 7-10 at home. The Phillies have been favored in 26 of their 33 games, going 12-14 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential in wins is +3.3, while it’s -4.1 in losses.
The Philadelphia Phillies have an over/under record of 14-17 this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 2-6 in those games. Their games have had an average of 8.4 runs per game this season.
Ranger Suárez has been dominant this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.32. So far, he has made six starts and has one complete game shutout. Suárez has turned in five quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in eight innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three hits and didn’t issue a walk. The left-hander has been especially tough at home, with an ERA of 1.8 compared to 1.38 on the road.
For the season, the Phillies are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best home run hitting team and are batting a collective .253, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Alec Bohm has been a big reason for their success, as he is batting .358 with 31 RBIs, which is the 2nd most in the league.
Over his last eight games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 7/33 at the plate, but he does have two homers and seven RBIs during that stretch. Bryce Harper has also homered twice in his last eight games, but he is just 5/25 in that stretch. Harper is batting just .231 for the season.
Our prediction for today’s Giants vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to pick up the win. However, we actually like the over/under line more, and we have the final score at 5-4 in favor of the Phillies.
With the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs, there is some good value, as we have this one combining for nine runs. As for the starting pitchers, Keaton Winn is projected to finish with five strikeouts, compared to Ranger Suarez at five as well.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Giants (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Blake Snell | Out | Thigh |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
| Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
| Patrick Bailey | Questionable | Eye |
