Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Preview
At 6:40 PM from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have an NL matchup between the Giants and Phillies. Heading into Friday’s game, the Giants are 15-17, and the Phillies are 21-11. San Francisco will be sending Jordan Hicks to the mound vs. Aaron Nola for the Phillies.
Philadelphia comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -155, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by APLTV.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – San Francisco Giants odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Giants have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Phillies have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 8-2, while going 7-3 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Giants have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Red Sox, the Giants closed out the series with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +102 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning for the Giants, as they scored their three runs in the inning, and the Red Sox could only score one run, which came in the 3rd.
Kyle Harrison got the start for the Giants, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out seven Red Sox batters. Mike Yastrzemski was hot at the plate, going 1/2 with a homer and scoring three runs. The Giants’s other two runs came on a single by Ryan Walker.
San Francisco is on the road today vs. the Phillies, and they are looking to get back to .500, as they are currently 15-17 this season. The Giants are 2nd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 4.5 games heading into today’s game.
This season, the Giants have gone 6-8 in divisional games, and they have an overall series record of 4-4-2. As the road underdog, the Giants are 4-7 this season compared to 10-9 as the favorite. They were also just 1-2 in their most recent series vs. the Red Sox.
San Francisco has been a good bet on the run line when they are the underdog, going 8-5. They are 14-18 overall on the run line, and their average run margin is -0.7. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 8-8. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it is -4.3 in losing games.
The Giants have gone under the total in six straight games, and their over/under record for the season is 14-17. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is 7.5 runs, and the Giants have gone over that line in 7 of 12 games when the line has been set at 7.5 runs. In their last 10 games, the Giants have gone under the total 7 times.
Jordan Hicks is getting the start for the Giants today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 2-0 to go along with an ERA of 1.59. One thing to note is that Hicks has made three quality starts this year. His last outing came on April 27th, where he went six innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with nine strikeouts. Hicks didn’t give up a homer in that outing, but in the three outings before that, he had given up a homer in each. He has a total of four homers allowed this year.
San Francisco’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per contest. The Giants do have a few hitters who have hit for a solid average so far, with their team batting average sitting at .238 (12th). Michael Conforto and Jorge Soler are tied for the team lead with five homers, and Conforto is also 13th in the league with 16 RBIs.
Over his last 10 games, Jorge Soler has gone just 5/33 for the Giants, and he is batting just .212 for the season. Soler and Conforto are both batting .250 for the season, but Soler has a better on-base percentage and has driven in one more run. Matt Chapman and Thairo Estrada are both batting under .230 for the season, but they are 2nd and 3rd on the team in homers, respectively.
Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Phillies closed out the series with a 2-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -217. Offensively, the Phillies only scored two runs on seven hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Zack Wheeler got the start for the Phillies, going five innings and giving up just one run on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
With an overall record of 21-11, the Phillies are 2nd in the NL East, just a half-game behind the Braves for the division lead. The Phillies will host the Giants today with a two-game winning streak, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Phillies are 10-6 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 11-5. As the favorite, the Phillies are 17-8 this year and 4-3 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 6-2-2 and have won two straight series.
Philadelphia has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 16-16 overall. They have been better on the road, going 9-7 against the run line, compared to 7-9 at home. The Phillies have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game this season, and they have been a better bet to cover the run line in games they win, with an average run margin of +3.4 runs per game in those contests.
Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs for the Phillies-Giants game is lower than the average over/under line for Phillies games this season. The Phillies’ games have had an average combined run total of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 14-17. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs this season, the over/under record is 2-6. Overall, 71.9% of Phillies games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces off against the Giants. Nola has made six starts this year and has a record of 4-1 with a 3.20 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.07 and has issued just 2.52 walks per nine innings. Nola has been tough to beat on the road, coming in with a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 2.12. At home, his record is 1-1 with a 5.31 ERA. Nola has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 8.24 strikeouts per nine innings.
Although Trea Turner and Alec Bohm have been great for the Phillies this season, Kyle Schwarber is currently leading the team with eight home runs. Schwarber is hitting just .211 this season, but his 8 homers is 3rd in the league. Bohm has been on fire of late, going 21/42 in his last 10 games, including one home run and 12 RBIs. Bohm’s 30 RBIs this season is 2nd in the league.
As a team, the Phillies are 3rd in home runs and are batting a collective .255, which is 5th in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better at home, putting up 4.8 runs per contest. Philadelphia comes into the game with the league’s 6th best on-base percentage, at .328.
With the Giants being the underdogs in this one, we really like the value of taking them on the money line at +128. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Giants, giving us some room to take them on the money line or the over/under, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jordan Hicks going eight innings, and he is projected to finish with four strikeouts. As for Aaron Nola, his strikeout projection is six, and we have him going seven innings.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- We like the Giants on the moneyline (+128)
- The Giants are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Blake Snell | Out | Thigh |
| Jordan Hicks | Probable | Side |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
| Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
