Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Preview
First pitch for Monday’s Padres vs. Phillies matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Phillies are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -178, while the Padres are at +150 on the money line. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs.
San Diego will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they are 37-38 overall and 2nd in the NL West. The Phillies are 47-24 and have won two straight, and they are currently 1st in the NL East. Monday’s starting pitching matchup features Randy Vasquez for the Padres and Cristopher Sanchez for the Phillies.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – San Diego Padres odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Padres have recorded a 0-5 record, with a 0-5 performance on the runline.
- On the other side, the Phillies have gone 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Phillies have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- The Padres have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Led by a big game by Luis Campusano at the plate, the Padres are coming off a game in which they scored six runs on 10 hits. However, they still took the loss, as the Mets scored 11 runs. San Diego was the -144 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Dylan Cease got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs. Offensively, the Padres scored their six runs on only two fewer hits than the Mets but didn’t hit a home run.
San Diego is on the road today, looking to get back to .500, as they are currently 37-38 overall. The Padres dropped the final game of their series vs. the Mets and have lost three straight games. Currently, they trail the Dodgers by eight games in the NL West.
At home, the Padres are 18-21 this year, and they have gone 19-17 on the road. As the underdog, the Padres have an overall record of 13-15 and 11-9 as the road underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 13-9-3 this year.
San Diego is 25-11 against the run line on the road this season, but they’ve failed to cover in their last two road games. They are 19-28 against the run line as the favorite, but 19-9 as the underdog. The Padres’ average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while it’s -3.3 in losses.
San Diego is on the road against Philadelphia today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Padres have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-37. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, but when the line is set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in 4 of 5 games. This is just the fourth time this season that the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs for a Padres game.
Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made eight starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 4.93. Vásquez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.51, and opponents are batting .307 this season. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on seven hits. Vásquez has made two quality starts this season and is averaging 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Per nine innings, he is allowing just 1.64 walks.
So far this season, the Padres have been the best-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .259. They have also been one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league, coming into the game with the 10th most homers in the league. San Diego has been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game.
Over his last seven games, Jackson Merrill has been on fire for the Padres, going 9/25 with four homers and six RBIs. His four homers in his last seven games are more than any other player on the team. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have also been swinging the bat well, with 10 homers apiece.
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with an 8-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 5th inning before the Orioles scored four runs in the 5th. Philadelphia was the +116 underdog on the money line going into the game.
Zack Wheeler took the loss, going only 4 1/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs on nine hits. Alec Bohm was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored and two RBIs. The Phillies also wasted a big game from Bryce Harper, who went 2/4 with a double and a run scored.
Philadelphia is 47-24 overall this season, and they lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies are currently on a two-game losing streak, dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Orioles. So far, they have gone 12-6 in divisional games.
At home, the Phillies are 27-10 this season, and they have gone 20-14 on the road. Philadelphia has been really good in night games this season, going 32-12. As the favorite, the Phillies are 41-18, and they are 26-8 as the favorite at home. Their overall series record is 14-7-4, and they have dropped three straight series.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 38-33, and they are 20-17 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are 32-27 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 6-6. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two games.
Philadelphia has an over/under record of 31-35 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the San Diego Padres is set at 9.5 runs. The Phillies have played in 67 games this season with an over/under line below 9.5 runs, compared to only 4 games with a line set at 9.5 runs or higher.
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA. Sánchez has a WHIP of 1.39 and has turned in six quality starts this year. In his most recent outing, Sánchez finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had gone 1-0 in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .264 off Sánchez this year.
Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, coming in 3rd in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Phillies are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league. As a team, they are batting .252, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB.
Alec Bohm has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 57 RBIs are the best on the team and 3rd in the league. He is also batting .302 and has gone deep six times. Kyle Schwarber has also been a key power bat in the Phillies lineup, as his 14 homers is 2nd on the team and 9th in the league. He has been hot of late, batting .325 over his last 10 games with three homers.
Our prediction for the Padres vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to pick up the win, as we have them winning this one by a score of 5-4. However, with the Phillies being a heavy favorite on the money line, we recommend taking the under, as the payout is much better at -120.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Christopher Sanchez is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the second-lowest among all starters. As for the Padres starter, Randy Vasquez, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, and his team is projected to finish with the second-most team strikeouts.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Padres (+1.5)
- Our MLB model projects 9 runs, and we suggest taking the under
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | Out | Knee |
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Kody Clemens | Out | Back |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | Out | Shoulder |
| Yu Darvish | Out | Groin |
| Joe Musgrove | Out | Elbow |
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Glenn Otto | Out | Shoulder |
