Philadelphia Phillies vs Oakland Athletics Preview
From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have the Athletics and Phillies facing off in an interleague matchup. Sunday’s game features Joey Estes for the Athletics and Orion Kerkering for the Phillies. Oakland is 36-61, while the Phillies are 62-33, and they are the heavy money line favorite at -262. The over/under line is at 10 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 1:35 PM ET, and NSPCA will be televising this matchup. On the money line, the Athletics are +212 underdogs, and the Phillies are 1st in the NL East. Oakland is 5th in the AL West.
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Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Athletics are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Phillies have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 4-6 against the runline.
- The Athletics have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 11-5 win over the Athletics in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring nine of their eleven runs. As for the A’s, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -190 on the money line.
Tyler Phillips got the win for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up four earned runs. Mitch Spence had a rough outing for the A’s, taking the loss after going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up six earned runs.
At the plate, the Phillies were led by Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper, who each homered and drove in four runs. Trea Turner also had a three-hit game and scored twice for Philadelphia’s offense.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Oakland Athletics Prediction
Oakland is just 36-61 overall and is 16 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone just 9-17 in AL West matchups. The Athletics are on a two-series losing streak, and their overall series record is 9-20-1 this year.
At home, the Athletics are 22-25, and they have gone just 14-36 on the road. As the underdog, Oakland is 29-59 this year, compared to going 7-2 as the favorite. They will be looking to take the series today with their overall record of 1-1 vs. the Phillies.
When it comes to the run line, the Athletics have been a better bet on the road this season, going 23-27 compared to 25-22 at home. Overall, they are 48-49 vs. the run line, with an average run margin of -1.0 runs per game. They have been a better bet to cover the run line as the underdog, going 45-43, compared to 3-6 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +3.3, while it drops to -3.5 in losses.
The Oakland Athletics are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.7, and their over/under record is 42-53. The over/under line for today’s game is 10 runs, which is higher than their average line of 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 10 runs, the over/under record is 0-2. This is only the second game this season where the over/under line has been set at 10 runs.
Right-hander Joey Estes gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with a 5.53 ERA. Opponents are batting .255 off Estes this year, and his WHIP is currently 1.23. Estes’ last outing was a rough one, as he gave up eight earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, coming off a complete-game shutout. This season, he has one complete game and one shutout. Estes has three quality starts this year.
As a team, the Athletics are 28th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per game. However, they have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Oakland is also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS.
Brent Rooker has been one of the team’s top power threats this season, as he is 9th in the league with 19 home runs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/26 in his last seven games with two homers. Over this stretch, he has driven in seven runs and scored 11 times. Catcher Shea Langeliers is 2nd on the team with 17 homers but is batting just .216 for the season.
With an overall record of 62-33, the Phillies lead the NL East by 9.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies are 15-10 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have been really good at home, going 37-15 this season. On the road, they are 25-18.
Philadelphia has gone 42-16 in night games this season. As the favorite, the Phillies are 54-25 and 36-13 as the favorite at home. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-8-5 this year.
Philadelphia is 6-4 over their last 10 games and are currently tied in their series vs. the Athletics.
When the Phillies win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.8. That has helped them to a 50-45 run line record on the season. They’ve been especially good against the run line at home, going 27-25, where their average run differential is +1.9. They’ve been a bit better on the run line as the favorite, going 42-37, compared to 8-8 as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 10 runs for the Philadelphia Phillies’ game against the Oakland Athletics is the highest of the season for the Phillies. The over/under line for Phillies games has been set at 10 runs or higher just three times this season, and the over has hit in two of those games. The Phillies’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 42-48.
Right-hander Orion Kerkering is getting the start for the Phillies today and has made 34 appearances out of the bullpen this season. Kerkering’s ERA is an impressive 1.30, and he has a record of 2-1. Opponents have hit just .211 off Kerkering this season, and he has a WHIP of .95. Per nine innings, Kerkering is averaging 10.38 strikeouts compared to just 1.56 walks. Kerkering has made 17 appearances at home, going 0-1 with a 2.12 ERA. On the road, he is 2-0 with a 0.53 ERA.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting .260 (3rd) and have the league’s top on-base percentage. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, coming in 5th in the league.
Over his last 10 games, Trea Turner has been red hot, going 15/41 with 5 homers and 13 RBIs. As a team, the Phillies have three players who have been swinging the bat well of late, as Bryce Harper is on a 3-game hitting streak, Kyle Schwarber has a streak of 8 games, and Alec Bohm has a 4-game streak.
We are predicting the Phillies to pick up a 6-5 win over the Athletics, but with the Phillies’ money line sitting at -262, we would recommend taking the over, as there is a lot of value with the over/under line sitting at 10 runs.
Looking at some potential player props, Joey Estes is projected to finish with five strikeouts. However, we would recommend looking at some of the Phillies hitters, as they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which is the 17th most in the league today.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Oakland Athletics Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Athletics (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
J.T. Realmuto | Out | Knee |
Zack Wheeler | Questionable | Back |
Taijuan Walker | Out | Finger |
Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Oakland Athletics Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Alex Wood | Out | Shoulder |
Trevor Gott | Out | Elbow |
Ross Stripling | Out | Elbow |
Paul Blackburn | Out | Foot |
Michael Kelly | Out | Suspension |
Abraham Toro | Out | Hamstring |
Esteury Ruiz | Out | Wrist |
Luis Medina | Out | Elbow |
Dany Jiménez | Out | Oblique |
Darell Hernaiz | Out | Ankle |
Tyler Soderstrom | Out | Wrist |
Ken Waldichuk | Out | Arm |