Philadelphia Phillies vs Oakland Athletics Preview
From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have the Athletics and Phillies facing off in an interleague matchup. The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -192, while the Athletics are at +161. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 4:05 PM ET, and the forecast doesn’t look great in Philadelphia, as there figures to be moderate rain. Mitch Spence is starting for the Athletics, and he is facing off against Tyler Phillips. Oakland is 5th in the AL West, while the Phillies are 1st in the NL East.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Oakland Athletics odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Athletics are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Phillies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 4-6 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Athletics have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this A’s vs Phillies series. Oakland went into the matchup as +213 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-2 win. The A’s offense only had two more hits than the Phillies and struck out eight times.
Philadelphia wasted a good outing from Ranger Suarez, as he gave up just two earned runs in six innings of work. Suarez finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks.
Hogan Harris got the start for the A’s, giving up just two earned runs across three innings. He finished the game with six strikeouts but allowed two homers. Osvaldo Bido came out of the bullpen for the win.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Oakland Athletics Prediction
The Athletics are 36-60 overall, putting them 5th in the AL West, where they trail the Mariners by 16 games. So far, they have gone just 9-17 in divisional matchups. Oakland is on the road today, and they are 14-35 as the road team this year.
As the underdog, the Athletics have really struggled this year, going 29-58, including 14-35 as the road underdog. However, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 7-2. Oakland’s overall series record is 9-20-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Athletics have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 48-48 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 23-26. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 45-42. They have been a poor bet as the favorite, going 3-6.
The Oakland Athletics are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 41-53. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, they have gone under in both games. Overall, 94.8% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9.5-run total, and they are currently on a streak of three straight unders.
Mitch Spence gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 4.29. Looking at his overall numbers, Spence has a WHIP of 1.25 and opponents are batting .255 this season. In his 10 starts, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 7.46 strikeouts per nine innings. Spence’s last outing came on July 7th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
As a team, the Athletics are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Currently, they are 7th in the league in home runs and have the 18th batting average in the league at .224.
Brent Rooker has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 18 home runs are 10th in the league. He also comes into the game on a hot streak, going 9/21 in his last six games with a homer and six RBIs. Shea Langeliers is also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI leaderboards, but he is hitting just .214 for the season.
Philadelphia is hosting the Athletics today with an overall record of 61-33, which has them leading the NL East by 8.5 games. So far, they have gone 15-10 in divisional games. The Phillies dropped the first game of the series vs. the Athletics and will look to even things up today.
At home, the Phillies have gone 36-15 this season compared to 25-18 on the road. This year, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 42-16. As the favorite, the Phillies are 53-25 and 8-8 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 19-8-5.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, with a 49-45 mark overall. They have been even better at home, going 26-25 against the run line. The Phillies have an average run differential of 1.3 runs per game this season, and they have a scoring margin of 1.8 runs per game in home contests. As the favorite, the Phillies are 41-37 against the run line.
When the Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 41-48. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 3-6. This season, only 4.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their under streak is at 3 games.
Tyler Phillips will be making his first start of the season for the Phillies, and he will be taking on the Athletics at home. Phillips made a relief appearance in his first outing, going 4 innings and allowing 1 earned run while striking out 7.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies are batting .260, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and they are also 6th in home runs. The team’s on-base percentage of .331 is also the 2nd best in the league.
Over his last six games, Trea Turner has gone 8/23 with two home runs and seven RBIs. Kyle Schwarber is also on a seven-game hitting streak and has two home runs in his last four games. For the season, Schwarber is 2nd on the team with 19 homers and is batting .252.
Our prediction for the Athletics vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout for the Phillies being just -192, we actually prefer to take the over at 9.5 runs.
If you’re looking for a starting pitcher to target in this one, Mitch Spence is projected to go six innings, and we have him finishing with five strikeouts. As for his opponent, the Athletics, they are projected to finish with 12 strikeouts.
Looking at the lineups, the Athletics are actually projected to finish with more home runs than the Phillies, but the Phillies are projected to finish with nine strikeouts.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Oakland Athletics Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Athletics (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | Out | Knee |
| Zack Wheeler | Questionable | Back |
| Taijuan Walker | Out | Finger |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Oakland Athletics Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | Out | Shoulder |
| Trevor Gott | Out | Elbow |
| Ross Stripling | Out | Elbow |
| Paul Blackburn | Out | Foot |
| Michael Kelly | Out | Suspension |
| Abraham Toro | Out | Hamstring |
| Esteury Ruiz | Out | Wrist |
| Dany Jiménez | Out | Oblique |
| Darell Hernaiz | Out | Ankle |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Out | Wrist |
| Ken Waldichuk | Out | Arm |
