Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Preview
At 6:40 PM ET, the Yankees and Phillies will face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are favored on the money line (-123). The Yankees have won three straight and are 63-45 overall.
New York will start Gerrit Cole, while the Phillies are sending Aaron Nola to the mound. Tuesday’s over/under line is at 9 runs, and the game can be seen on YES.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- The Yankees are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- In the Phillies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- As the favorite, the Phillies are 3-7 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Yankees have won 6-4 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.
New York cruised to a 14-4 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their fourteen runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were at +116 on the money line.
Luis Gil only went 5 1/3 innings for the Yankees but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued three walks. Zack Wheeler had a rough outing for the Phillies, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work.
At the plate, the Yankees were led by Aaron Judge and Jazz Chisholm Jr., who each homered twice. Judge, Chisholm, and Juan Soto each scored three times for New York’s offense.
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are on a three-game winning streak, and they are 63-45 overall this season. New York is 0.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead, and they lead the Red Sox by six games. So far, they are 20-22 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Yankees are 27-23 this season, and they have gone 36-22 on the road. As the underdog, the Yankees have been good this year, going 16-6, and they are 47-39 as the favorite. New York has an overall series record of 19-11-4 this year, and they have won two straight series on the road. The Yankees have been the underdog for four straight wins.
When the Yankees are on the road, they have been a good bet on the run line, going 34-24. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 18-4 when getting runs as the underdog. Their average run margin on the road is +1.6.
With a combined run average of 9.2, the Yankees have been involved in high-scoring games all season. Their over/under record is 58-46, and their over streak is at five games. When the over/under line is set at 9, they are 5-9-2, and they have played in 12 games with lines set higher than 9. Overall, 74.1% of their games have had lower lines than today’s 9-run line.
New York is sending right-hander Gerrit Cole to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 5.40. Cole’s WHIP for the season is 1.46, and opponents are batting .271 off him this year. In his last outing, Cole took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work vs. the Mets. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Cole has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
The Yankees have been the best offensive team in the league this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. New York’s offense is the league’s top home run-hitting team and also leads the league in on-base percentage and OPS. The team’s collective batting average of .251 is 9th in the MLB.
Right now, the Yankees’ lineup is being led by Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, who are both among the league leaders in home runs and RBIs. Judge is currently on a four-game hitting streak and has five homers in his last 10 games, while Soto has four homers in this stretch and is batting .429.
With an overall record of 65-41, the Phillies lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies have dropped two straight games, and this season, they are 15-10 in the division. Philadelphia has struggled in the series, as they are just 19-12-5 and have lost four straight series overall.
At home, the Phillies are 38-19 this season compared to 27-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 57-33 this season and 8-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall form, the Phillies are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. That’s helped them to a .500 record against the run line overall, but they’ve been even better at home, going 28-29. They’ve been favored in most of those games, going 45-45 against the run line as the favorite. They’ve been a good bet on the run line on the road, too, going 25-24.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing at home against the New York Yankees today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.8 runs. Philadelphia has a 47-54 over/under record this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Phillies have a 4-10-1 record. So far this season, 77 of their games have had over/under lines set below 9 runs, which accounts for 72.6% of their games.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Yankees at home. Nola has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 11-4 with a 3.44 ERA. So far, he has turned in one complete game shutout and has 15 quality starts. Nola’s ERA for the season is 3.84 at home compared to 4.35 on the road. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 4.9 runs per game (7th) and batting a collective .256 (4th). They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Phillies are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.
Kyle Schwarber has been swinging a hot bat for the Phillies, going 7/20 with three homers over his last six games. For the season, he is batting .247 with 22 homers. Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm are also among the league’s top home run hitters, with 24 and 11 homers, respectively. Bohm comes into the game with a team-leading 71 RBIs and a batting average of .295.
Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Phillies game is to take the Phillies on the money line at -123. We have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Phillies, giving us some room to take them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gerrit Cole finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for Aaron Nola, we have him ending with five K’s, which ranks him 16th among starters.
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Yankees (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | Out | Finger |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| Ranger Suárez | Out | Back |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jose Trevino | Out | Quadricep |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
