Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Preview
At 6:40 PM ET, the Yankees and Phillies will square off in an interleague matchup. Monday’s game is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are favored on the money line (-149). The money line odds have the Yankees at +125. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
New York will be looking to extend its two-game winning streak, and they are 62-45 this season. The Phillies are 1st in the NL East with a record of 65-40. YES will be televising Monday’s game, and the Phillies are starting Zack Wheeler. The Yankees are going with Luis Gil.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Yankees in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Phillies have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 3-7, while going 3-7 against the runline.
- The Yankees have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with an 8-2 win. After allowing three runs to the Red Sox in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with three runs of their own. New York went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Yankees was Carlos Rodon, who picked up the win while tossing 6 1/3 innings of two-run ball. He also finished with seven K’s and issued just one walk. Austin Wells went 2/4 with a run scored and a RBI.
The Yankees are on the road today to take on the Phillies, having won two straight games. New York is 62-45 overall, putting them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they are 20-22 in AL East matchups. The Yankees took two of three from the Red Sox in their most recent series.
As the road team, the Yankees have gone 35-22 this year compared to 27-23 at home. New York has been tough to beat as the road underdog this year, going 14-4, and they have won two straight as the road underdog. The Yankees’ overall series record is 19-11-4 this year.
When the Yankees are on the road, they are a solid bet to cover the run line. They are 33-24 against the run line on the road this season, and they have covered in their last two road games. They are also a strong bet when they are the underdog, as they are 17-4 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential on the road is +1.4 runs per game.
The Yankees are on the road in Philadelphia today, where the Over/Under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their Over/Under record is 57-46. When the line is set at 9 runs, their Over/Under record is 4-9-2. They have gone over the line in four straight games.
New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 10-5 and an ERA of 3.10. So far, he has made 20 starts and nine of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Gil finished with a no-decision after going five innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .168 off Gil this season, and his ERA at home is 6.48 compared to 3.46 on the road.
Not only are the Yankees the best offensive team in the league this season, but they have also been the top-scoring team in the league on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are averaging 5 runs per contest and have the league’s top home run total. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 8th in the league, and have the best team on-base percentage in the league.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the league’s top hitters this season, with Judge leading the league with 96 RBIs and Soto’s 27 homers being the 6th best mark in the league. Soto has also been hot of late, going 11/33 (.333) with four homers over his last eight games. Giancarlo Stanton comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak.
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Guardians scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Philadelphia was the -129 favorite at home going into the game.
Kolby Allard put together a good start for the Phillies, going four innings and giving up just three hits and one earned run while striking out one. However, the Phillies’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and José Alvarado took the loss out of the bullpen. The Phillies also wasted a big game from Kyle Schwarber, who homered twice, going 2/4.
Philadelphia is 65-40 overall this season, putting them atop the NL East standings. They currently lead the Braves by 8.5 games. The Phillies will host the Yankees today with an overall division record of 15-10. At home, the Phillies are 38-18 this year.
The Phillies have dropped four straight series, and their overall series record is 19-12-5. They are also just 3-7 across their last 10 games. The most recent series loss came vs. the Guardians, dropping the series 2-1. So far, they have been the favorite in 89 of their games, going 57-32 in those matchups.
When the Phillies win, they tend to win big, as their average run margin in victories is 3.9 runs per game. They have a run line record of 53-52 on the season, and their average run margin overall is +1.1 runs per game. Philadelphia is 28-28 against the run line at home and 25-24 on the road. They are 45-44 against the run line as the favorite and 8-8 as the underdog. Their average run margin in losses is -3.4 runs per game.
The Philadelphia Phillies are 3-10-1 this season when the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the season is 46-54. The Phillies have had 77 games with over/under lines set below 9 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
Zack Wheeler has been tough to score on this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 10-4 and an ERA of 2.55. Wheeler has made 20 starts this year and has turned in 15 quality starts. In his most recent outing, he faced the Twins and went seven innings, giving up no earned runs on three hits. He finished with seven strikeouts in the outing. Wheeler didn’t give up a homer in that start, but he has given up two homers in three of his last four outings. So far, he has allowed 11 homers at home and 11 on the road.
The Phillies offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run hitting team and have the 4th best team batting average in the MLB. As a team, the Phillies are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as Harper’s 24 homers are 8th best in the league, and Schwarber’s 22 homers are 10th. Schwarber has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/26 with three homers in his last seven games. Alec Bohm comes into the game with a team-high 71 RBIs and is batting .295.
Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Phillies game is to take the Phillies to win straight up. The money line for the Phillies is at -149, and we have them winning by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler has the second-best chances of picking up a win today, and we have him finishing with five strikeouts. Luis Gil is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have him finishing with an ERA of 4.50.
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Yankees (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | Out | Finger |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| Ranger Suárez | Out | Back |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Giancarlo Stanton | Out | Hamstring |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jose Trevino | Out | Quadricep |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
