Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 9/15/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Preview

At 1:35 PM ET, the Mets and Phillies face off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are favored on the money line (-147). The money line odds for a Mets win are sitting at +125.

New York is 81-67 this season, while the Phillies lead the NL East with a record of 89-59. Cristopher Sanchez is starting for the Phillies, and the Mets are going with David Peterson. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and WPIX is carrying this one on TV.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mets have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• Conversely, the Phillies have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a record of 7-3 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Mets have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.

Philadelphia picked up a 6-4 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Mets could only muster two more runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -118 on the money line.

Kolby Allard got the start for the Phillies, going just three innings while giving up three runs and striking out three. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen, and Carlos Estevez got the save. Luis Severino went six innings for the Mets, giving up three earned runs on five hits.

Bryce Harper and Cal Stevenson each homered for the Phillies, while J.T. Realmuto went 2/4 with two RBIs. Starling Marte had a two-hit game for the Mets.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets are currently eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East as they are 81-67 overall. New York is 23-18 in divisional games and has an overall series record of 25-16-7. The Mets have won five straight series, and their road record is 41-33 this season.

At home, the Mets are 40-34 and have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games. So far, they have been the favorite in 90 of their games, going 53-37 in those contests. As the underdog, the Mets are 28-30 this season.

When the Mets are the favorite, they are 40-50 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 34-24. Their overall run line record is 74-74, and their average run margin is +0.4. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.

The New York Mets are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the year is 74-69. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Mets have a record of 26-19. So far this season, 24.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. The over has hit in each of their last three games.

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-2 with a 2.98 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Peterson has a WHIP of 1.35 and has issued 3.68 walks per nine innings compared to 7.28 strikeouts. Peterson has turned in 10 quality starts this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 32 homers are 1st on the team and 2nd in the league, while Lindor is 2nd on the team with 31 homers and also leads the team with 86 RBIs. Lindor is also batting .270 this season, and Alonso comes into the game with a batting average of .239. Over the team’s last eight games, Jose Iglesias has gone 11/28, and he is currently on an eight-game hitting streak.

Overall, the Mets are 8th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and have the league’s 7th best team batting average at .247.

With an overall record of 89-59, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Mets. The Phillies took the series opener, but the Mets bounced back with a win in game two. At home, the Phillies are 51-26 this year and 38-33 on the road.

As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 76-44 this year and 50-23 as the favorite at home. So far, they are 26-15-6 in series this year, and they have gone 7-3 across their last ten games overall.

When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9. Overall, they are 72-76 vs. the run line, but they have been better on the road, going 37-34 vs. the run line. As a favorite, they are 57-63 vs. the run line, while as an underdog, they are 15-13.

The Philadelphia Phillies are home today against the New York Mets, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Phillies games this season is 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record on the season is 70-71, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-14. This season, 43 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 29.1% of their games. Their over streak is at 2 games.

Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Rays. He only gave up four hits in the outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Sánchez has a record of 10-9 this season and an ERA of 3.33. Opponents are batting .255 off the left-hander this season. Sánchez has made 28 starts, and his ERA at home is 2.30 compared to 5.61 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 4th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 3rd best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .258. As a team, the Phillies are also among the league leaders in walks, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

Over his last nine games, Bryce Harper has gone 14/35 (.400) with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .290 with 28 homers and 82 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/28 with three homers in his last eight games. Schwarber’s 35 homers this season are 7th best in the league, and his 95 RBIs are 11th best.

Our prediction for this Mets vs. Phillies matchup is that the Phillies will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the money line sitting at -147, this is the best way to play this one, as we do not see a ton of value in the over/under line, which is at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Christopher Sanchez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among starters. As for David Peterson, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which is eighth best. However, Peterson is projected to finish with a better ERA than Sanchez, and he is also projected to finish with more innings.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Mets (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report