Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 9/13/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Preview

Jose Quintana is starting for the Mets on Friday, and he is facing off against Aaron Nola and the Phillies. This one is getting started at 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -163 compared to the Mets at +138. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

The Phillies will look to keep things rolling, as they have won three straight and are 88-58 overall. The Mets are 2nd in the NL East, with an overall record of 80-66. This game will be televised on NSPPH.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• The Mets are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Phillies have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• The Phillies have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• The Mets have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets’s offense was carried by Francisco Alvarez in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays. Alvarez went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in three runs. The Mets also had a big 9th inning, scoring six runs. Danny Young got the win out of the bullpen, and Edwin Diaz picked up the save.

Sean Manaea got the start for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings, and giving up just one run on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Blue Jays batters. The Mets’s other starter, Francisco Lindor, went only one inning, giving up one run and taking the loss.

The Mets are 80-66 overall and trail the Phillies by eight games for the NL East lead. New York is 22-17 in divisional games and has an overall series record of 25-16-7, including winning five straight series. They have also won three straight series on the road.

At home, the Mets are 40-34 this year and have gone 40-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 53-37 this year, and they are 27-29 as the underdog. New York has been playing well lately, going 8-2 across their last 10 games.

When betting on the Mets’ run line this season, it’s been a coin flip. They are 73-73 against the run line, and they have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game. They have been better on the run line on the road, going 40-32. They have also been better on the run line as an underdog, going 33-23.

The Mets are on the road today against the Phillies, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average is 9.1, and their over/under record for the season is 72-69. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 25-19. So far this season, 35 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 24.0% of their games, while 67 games have had lower lines, making up 45.9% of their games.

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with an ERA of 4.09. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is 1.31, and he has turned in 10 quality starts. In his 28 outings, Quintana has allowed a total of 22 home runs and is averaging 6.99 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Quintana went 6 2/3 innings, picking up the win while not allowing a run. He gave up five hits and two walks in the outing. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.

For the season, the Mets are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 11th in the league, and are also 6th in home runs. New York’s offense has been led by Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, who are both among the league leaders in home runs. Lindor is batting .268 for the season, and Alonso is at .238.

Mark Vientos comes into the game with a solid batting average of .276, but he has struggled of late, going just 3/21 in his last six games. However, he does have two homers in that stretch. Jose Iglesias has been hot of late, hitting .389 in his last six games, and he also has a six-game hitting streak.

The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rays, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing one run to the Rays in the top of the first, the Phillies responded with two runs of their own. Philadelphia went on to add another run in the 2nd inning.

Zack Wheeler put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only three hits and struck out nine Rays batters. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 1/2 with a homer and two RBIs.

Philadelphia is currently 88-58 overall and leads the NL East by eight games over the Mets. The Phillies are riding a three-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the Rays with three straight wins. In the NL East, they have a record of 25-17 this season.

At home, the Phillies are 50-25 this season, and they have gone 38-33 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 75-43 this season and 13-15 as the underdog. So far, they have been tough to beat at home, putting together a record of 49-22.

Philadelphia has a run line record of 34-41 at home this season, compared to 37-34 on the road. The Phillies’ average run margin in winning games is 3.9 runs, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8 runs.

The Phillies are playing at home against the Mets today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 68-71. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 15-14. The Phillies have played 42 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 28.8% of their games. They have played 75 games with over/under lines set below 8.5 runs, which accounts for 51.4% of their games.

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets at home. Nola has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 12-7 with a 3.41 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.18 and has pitched one complete game shutout this year. In total, he has 18 quality starts and is averaging 8.49 strikeouts per nine innings. Nola’s last outing came on September 7th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

So far this season, the Phillies are one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .259, which is the 4th best mark in the league, and are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage and slugging.

Kyle Schwarber has been the Phillies’ top power threat this season, as his 35 homers are the best mark in the league. He is also 9th in the league with 95 RBIs. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper are also having good seasons, with Bohm batting .290 and Harper at .288. Harper has gone 8/20 over his last five games, while Schwarber has two homers in his last four games.

With the Mets coming in as the underdogs at +138, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted score is 5-4 in favor of the Mets, giving us a good amount of value with them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Quintana going 5 innings and finishing with four strikeouts. As for Aaron Nola, we have him going six innings and also finishing with four K’s.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• We like the Mets on the moneyline (+138)
• The Mets are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report