Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Betting Tips 8/14/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Preview

The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line today, as their odds sit at -191 compared to the Marlins, who are at +160. This NL East matchup has a start time of 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. NSPPH is carrying this one on TV.

The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Marlins will be looking to Edward Cabrera to help them extend their two-game winning streak. The Phillies are starting Tyler Phillips and are 4-6 over their last 10.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Marlins in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• The Phillies, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 2-8, while going 2-8 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

Miami cruised to a 5-0 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their five runs. As for the Phillies, they had their best chance to score in the 4th, but could only muster two hits.

Valente Bellozo pitched well for the Marlins in this one, going seven innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Taijuan Walker had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss.

Jake Burger and Jesus Sanchez each homered for the Marlins, while Xavier Edwards scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Miami is 45-75 overall, and they are 24.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Marlins have gone just 12-23 in divisional games this year. Miami has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 contests.

At home, the Marlins are 24-39 this year, and they are 21-36 on the road. So far, they have struggled as the favorite, going just 4-13. Miami has been better as the underdog at 41-62 this year. The Marlins have an overall series record of 10-23-4 and have dropped two straight series.

The Marlins have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 57-63 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 29-28 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight games and have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 55-48 against the run line.

When the Miami Marlins are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.7. This season, the Marlins have played 117 games, and 66 of them have gone over the total. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, the over is 3-12. Only 5 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, which is just 4.2% of their games.

Miami is sending right-hander Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 5.21. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is 1.43. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in two quality starts. Cabrera’s last outing came on August 9th, where he didn’t allow a run in seven innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .218 off Cabrera this season.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, where they are averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Marlins are batting .237, which is just 16th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Jake Burger has been on a tear of late, going 14/41 in his last 10 games with seven homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .251 with a team-high 54 RBIs and 23 homers. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins home run leaderboard, with 15 homers, and is batting .240 for the season.

Philadelphia is currently 1st in the NL East but have dropped four straight games heading into today’s matchup vs. the Marlins. Their overall record is 69-50. The Braves are six games back of them in the division. The Phillies are 15-11 against other NL East teams this year.

So far, the Phillies have been good at home, going 38-22 compared to 31-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 58-38 and 11-12 as the underdog. At home, they have gone 37-20 as the favorite. The club’s overall series record is 20-15-4, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

When betting the run line with the Phillies this season, it’s been a coin flip. They are 58-61 against the run line, with a 28-32 mark at home and a 30-29 record on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.7 runs per game, but it’s been +1.2 at home and +0.2 on the road. They have been favored in 96 games this season, going 46-50 against the run line. They are 12-11 against the run line as an underdog.

The Philadelphia Phillies are at home today against the Miami Marlins in a game with an over/under line of 9 runs. The Phillies have a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 55-58. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 9 runs is 5-11-1. So far this season, 17 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, accounting for 14.3% of their games.

Right-hander Tyler Phillips is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins at home. Phillips has made five starts this year and has a record of 4-1. His ERA for the season is 4.83, along with a WHIP of 1.07. In his 31 2/3 innings of work, Phillips has one complete game shutout and two quality starts. Phillips most recently faced the Dodgers, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that outing, he had not allowed an earned run in two straight starts.

So far this season, the Phillies have been one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and batting a collective .254, which is the 6th best mark in the league. They have also been very good at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the 7th best OPS in the MLB.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Harper’s 26 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Schwarber’s 27 leading the Phillies and putting him 9th in the league. Schwarber has driven in 74 runs this season, which is 2nd on the team and 15th best in the MLB. Harper and Schwarber have also been hot of late, with Harper batting .361 over his last nine games and Schwarber hitting .343 over that same stretch.

Our predicted final score for this Marlins and Phillies matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Marlins. With the Marlins being the underdog, you can get them on the money line at +160, and this is our recommended bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Edward Cabrera finishing with six strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Tyler Phillips, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the sixth lowest among starters.

Offensively, we have the Marlins finishing with 11 total hits, which is the fourth most in the league today. As for the Phillies, they are projected to finish with nine hits, which is 10th most.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips

• We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+160)
• The Marlins are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

Miami Marlins Injury Report