Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have the Dodgers and Phillies facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 6:40 PM ET, and the Phillies are favored on the money line (-143). The money line odds have the Dodgers at +122, and the Phillies are 58-32 overall, while the Dodgers lead the NL West with a record of 55-36.
The over/under line for Tuesday’s game is at 9 runs, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. NSPPH is carrying this game on TV, and Bobby Miller is starting for the Dodgers. The Phillies have Zack Wheeler on the mound.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Los Angeles Dodgers odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- The Dodgers are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Phillies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- The Phillies have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Dodgers have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Led by a big game by Chris Taylor at the plate, the Dodgers are coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. Taylor went 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs, but the Dodgers still lost 9-2 to the Brewers. Los Angeles was the heavy favorite at -179 going into the game.
Justin Wrobleski got the start for the Dodgers and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. The Dodgers also issued four walks and hit two batters.
Los Angeles is 55-36 overall, putting them in 1st place in the NL West. They lead the Padres by 7.5 games heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Phillies. The Dodgers went 2-1 in their series vs. the Brewers and are 5-5 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Dodgers are 28-19 this season, and they have gone 27-17 on the road. So far, they have gone 53-32 as the favorite, while going just 2-4 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 18-12-1 this year.
The Dodgers have a run line record of 45-46 this season, with their average run margin at +1.1 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where their run line record is 24-20, compared to 21-26 at home. As the favorite, they are 43-42 on the run line, while as the underdog, they are just 2-4.
With a combined run average of 8.9, the Los Angeles Dodgers have an over/under record of 48-43 this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the Dodgers have gone 5-4. Overall, 66 of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 9 runs, while 16 have had higher lines. That means that 72.5% of their games have had lower lines, while 17.6% have had higher lines.
Right-hander Bobby Miller is getting the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 6.12. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.60. Looking back at his last outing, Miller finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .263 off Miller this season, and he has a total of five home runs allowed.
Shohei Ohtani has been a force at the plate for the Dodgers this season, as he is batting .314 with 28 home runs and 65 RBIs, which is 6th in the league. Ohtani has been even better of late, going 10/38 in his last 10 games with four homers. Teoscar Hernández has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/41 in his last 10 games with one home run and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .259 with 19 homers.
As a team, the Dodgers are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. They are also one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams and have the league’s top on-base percentage and OPS.
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 6-0 loss. Philadelphia was the +137 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Phillies in the 2nd inning, as the Braves scored five runs in the inning. Philadelphia’s offense didn’t score their first run until the 6th.
Michael Mercado got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted 1 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. Offensively, the Phillies had five hits but didn’t score a run until the 6th. Whit Merrifield had two hits and scored the team’s only run.
Philadelphia is hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 58-32, which has them leading the NL East by 7.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies have dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Braves. So far, they are 15-10 in divisional games.
At home, the Phillies are 33-14 this season compared to a 25-18 mark on the road. Philadelphia has been really good in night games, going 38-14 this season. As the favorite, the Phillies are 50-24 and 32-12 when favored at home. This season, they are 18-8-5 in series.
When betting the Phillies on the run line, it’s been a good idea to take them at home. They are 24-23 against the run line at Citizens Bank Park, where they have an average run margin of 1.8 runs per game. Overall, they are 47-43 against the run line, with an average run margin of 1.2 runs per game.
The Phillies have played to a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-45. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 1-5-1. Overall, they have played 12 games with over/under lines set at 9 runs, accounting for just 13.3% of their games. Their under streak is at 2 games.
Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today and comes into the game with a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 2.74. So far this season, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .188 off the right-hander. Wheeler has made 14 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.59 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Wheeler finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. He did pitch well in the outing before that, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. The right-hander has been much better at home, with an ERA of 1.90 compared to 5.01 on the road.
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, and they are also 3rd in batting average and 3rd in on-base percentage. Over his last eight games, Trea Turner has gone 12/34 with four homers and 11 RBIs.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been the Phillies’ top power threats this season, with Harper leading the team with 20 homers and Schwarber right behind him with 17. Harper is also batting .303 for the season, while Schwarber comes in at .250. Alec Bohm has been the Phillies’ top run producer this season, as his 70 RBIs are 4th in the league.
Our prediction for today’s Dodgers vs. Phillies matchup is that the Phillies will pick up a 6-5 win. With the money line payout for a Phillies win sitting at -143, this is the bet we recommend making.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher’s projections, Zack Wheeler is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him 16th among starters. As for Bobby Miller, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him at seventh among starters.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Dodgers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | Out | Knee |
| Taijuan Walker | Out | Finger |
| Bryce Harper | Out | Hamstring |
| Kyle Schwarber | Out | Groin |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Out | Knee |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Michael Grove | Out | Lat |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
