Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Thursday’s Dodgers vs. Phillies matchup features Landon Knack for Los Angeles and Aaron Nola for the Phillies. The money line odds have the Phillies as the favorite at -149, while the Dodgers are sitting at +126. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:05 PM ET.
The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and this game will be televised on SNLA. The Dodgers are 55-38 this season, while the Phillies are 60-32 and have won two straight. Los Angeles is currently on a three-game losing streak. The Phillies are in 1st place in the NL East, and the Dodgers are 1st in the NL West.
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Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Dodgers in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Phillies have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Dodgers have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a one-run lead going into the 5th inning, and both teams scored two runs in the 5th. As for the Dodgers, they scored their final run in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -135 on the money line.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued a costly home run. Jeff Hoffman got the save. Gavin Stone only went 4 2/3 innings for the Dodgers, giving up four earned runs on nine hits.
Kyle Schwarber hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs. Trea Turner also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Philadelphia. As for the Dodgers, Shohei Ohtani went 2/4 with an RBI.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles is on the road today, and they have dropped three straight games, with their overall record sitting at 55-38. The Dodgers lead the NL West by 7.5 games over the Padres. So far, they have gone 18-15 in divisional games.
As the favorite, the Dodgers have gone 53-32 this year, and they are just 2-6 as the underdog. Los Angeles is 28-19 at home and 27-19 on the road. Their overall series record is 18-12-1.
Los Angeles has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 46-47 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 25-21 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is 1.2, slightly better than their overall average run margin of 1.0.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Dodgers have a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 49-44. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 6-5. So far this season, 17.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 71.0% have had lower lines.
Landon Knack gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far, he has made seven starts and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 2.86. Knack’s WHIP for the season is currently .98. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. Looking back over his last three outings, Knack has finished with a no-decision in each one. The right-hander has made one quality start this year.
Shohei Ohtani has been a big part of the Dodgers offense this season, hitting .317 with a team-high 28 home runs and 66 RBIs. Ohtani is also currently on a four-game hitting streak. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a key power bat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 19 homers and is batting .257 for the season. Hernandez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/40 in his last 10 games.
Overall, the Dodgers have been one of the league’s top offenses this season. They are 3rd in runs per game and have the league’s top on-base percentage and OPS. As a team, they are batting .255 and have the 3rd most home runs in the league.
With an overall record of 60-32, the Phillies lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Dodgers, and they have an 18-8-5 series record this season. At home, the Phillies are 35-14 this season and 25-18 on the road.
Philadelphia has been really good in night games this season, putting together a record of 40-16. As the favorite, the Phillies are 52-24 this season and 8-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Phillies have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
The Phillies have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, going 48-44 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 25-24, and have an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the favorite, going 40-36 on the run line, and have an average run margin of 1.9 runs per game at home.
Philadelphia’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and the Phillies have a 41-46 over/under record. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone 2-6-1. Only 13% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Dodgers at home. Nola has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 10-4 to go along with a 3.48 ERA. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 8.47 strikeouts per nine innings. Nola’s last outing came on July 5th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, as they are 4th in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best team batting average. They also do a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are 5th in walks.
Over his last nine games, Trea Turner has been on fire for the Phillies, going 17/38 with five homers and 16 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and is 2nd on the team with 18 homers. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper are the team’s top two hitters in terms of batting average, with Harper leading the team with 20 homers.
Our prediction for this Dodgers vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -149. We have the Phillies winning this one by a final score of 6-5, giving us some wiggle room if you wanted to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Aaron Nola finishing with five strikeouts compared to Landon Knack with four. However, Nola is projected to finish with a better ERA than Knack, and we have him going 6-7 innings compared to Knack, who is projected to go 5-6 innings.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Dodgers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | Out | Knee |
| Zack Wheeler | Questionable | Back |
| Taijuan Walker | Out | Finger |
| Bryce Harper | Questionable | Hand |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
| Johan Rojas | Questionable | Forearm |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Out | Knee |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Back |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Michael Grove | Out | Lat |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
