Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Preview
The Astros and Phillies will face off in an interleague matchup at 4:05 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are favored on the money line (-111), and they come into the game with a record of 78-54, which has them 1st in the NL East. Houston is 1st in the AL West with a record of 70-62.
Wednesday’s over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and the game will be televised on NSPPH. Spencer Arrighetti is starting for the Astros, while the Phillies have Taijuan Walker on the mound. Walker and the Phillies are currently on a four-game winning streak.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Houston Astros odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Astros are 1-4. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Phillies have gone 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- In their previous ten games, the Astros have recorded a 6-4 record as the favorite, while they have a 3-7 record as the underdog.
- In their last ten games, the Phillies have a record of 7-3 as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
Philadelphia cruised to a 5-0 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Astros, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster one run. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -140.
Aaron Nola started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued just one walk. Justin Verlander got the start for the Astros and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
At the plate, the Phillies were led by Nick Castellanos, Trea Turner, and Austin Hays, as they were the only three Phillies hitters to have more than one hit. Castellanos also hit the game’s only home run. Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto each had two hits and an RBI.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction
Houston is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Phillies after dropping the first two games of the series. The Astros come into today’s game 70-62 overall, putting them 1st in the AL West. Currently, they hold a 3.5-game lead over the Mariners in the division.
The Astros have dropped two straight games and are just 4-6 over their last 10. So far, they have gone 21-18 in divisional games. As the road team, the Astros are 35-33 this year compared to 35-29 at home.
When the Astros are on the road, they have a run line record of 38-30, which is a winning percentage of 55.9%. They have a run line record of 67-65 overall, and their average run margin is +0.5 runs per game. When they are the underdog, they have a run line record of 25-12, which is a winning percentage of 67.6%.
The Houston Astros are on the road today, taking on the Philadelphia Phillies. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. The Astros have an over/under record of 52-76 on the season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, their games have gone over the total just 2 times in 6 games. This season, only 8.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their games have gone under the total in 87.1% of games with lines set at 9.5 runs or higher. The under has hit in each of their last 2 games.
Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today, and he has made 23 starts this season. Arrighetti’s record is 6-11, and he has an ERA of 4.94. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Arrighetti was excellent, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished with 13 strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Overall, he has allowed 17 homers this season.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 25 homers are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. Alvarez is also 2nd on the team with 67 RBIs and has a strong batting average of .305. Alex Bregman has also been a key power threat for the Astros, as his 21 homers are the 2nd most on the team and 15th in the league, but he is hitting just .259 for the season and has gone 7/31 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and are averaging 4.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league. Houston has three players in the lineup who are batting over .290, with Jose Altuve, Yainer Diaz, and Yordan Alvarez all above that mark.
With an overall record of 78-54, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies have won four straight games, and they are 20-14 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 44-23 this season and 34-31 on the road.
Philadelphia has been really good as the favorite this year, going 66-40, and they are 12-14 as the underdog. The Phillies have won two straight at home, and they are 1-2 as the home underdog this year. So far, their overall series record is 22-16-6.
When betting the run line with the Phillies, it’s been a coin flip proposition, as they are 65-67 overall. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 32-35. Their average run margin on the season is +0.9, but it’s been better at home (+1.4). They are 51-55 against the run line as the favorite and 14-12 as the underdog.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing at home against the Houston Astros today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.9 runs per game. The Phillies have hit the under in 61 of their 126 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. Their games have gone over the 9.5 run line in 7 of 14 games this season, and their games have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs in just 8 of their 131 games this season. Their games have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs in just 6.1% of their games this season.
Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Phillies today and comes in with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 6.26. So far this season, he has made 13 starts, and opponents are batting .284 off the right-hander. Walker has turned in just two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.38 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up six earned runs in three innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had given up three earned runs in three straight starts. Walker has taken the loss in three straight outings.
Over the past five games, Nick Castellanos has gone 7/21 with two homers and seven RBIs, and he is currently on a five-game hitting streak. J.T. Realmuto has also gone deep twice in his last four games while going 8/17. Realmuto is also on a five-game hitting streak. Bryce Harper has a six-game hitting streak heading into today’s game and is 10/28 in his last 10 games.
As a team, the Phillies are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league and have the 8th ranked home run offense. Alec Bohm leads the team with 89 RBIs and is batting .291.
Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -111. We have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 6-5. At -111, there is some good value on the Phillies to pick up the win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Taijuan Walker is projected to go the longest among all starters today, and he has the second-best strikeout projection. As for Spencer Arrighetti, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- The Phillies should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| José Alvarado | Out | Personal |
| Weston Wilson | Out | Personal |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pressly | Out | Back |
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Kyle Tucker | Out | Shin |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |
