Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Preview
Monday’s interleague matchup between the Astros and Phillies is set to get started at 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -163, while the Astros are at +138. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
FS1 will be televising Monday’s game, and Zack Wheeler will be on the mound for the Phillies. The Astros are starting Ronel Blanco, and they are 1st in the AL West with a record of 70-60. The Phillies have won two straight and are 1st in the NL East with a record of 76-54.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Houston Astros odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats
- The Astros are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Phillies have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 4-6 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Astros have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 8-2 against the runline.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction
Houston closed out their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-3 win on the road. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -108 on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with three runs in the 4th inning. The Orioles could only score three runs, all of which came in the 5th.
Yusei Kikuchi put together a good start for the Astros, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just three runs on two hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win. Alex Bregman was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and scoring two runs. The Astros also had three other players with two hits.
Houston heads into today’s game vs. the Phillies with a record of 70-60, which has them leading the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners. The Astros are 21-18 against other teams in the AL West. They have been good at home this year, going 35-29, and they have the same record on the road.
The Astros have gone 5-5 across their last 10 games and split their recent series 2-2 with the Orioles. So far, they are 52-43 as the favorite and 18-17 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 23-17-2 this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Astros have been a solid play on the road this season, going 37-29. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 24-11 as the underdog. Their average run differential on the road is +0.3 runs per game.
The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 8.6 runs per game. The Astros have played 79 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 60.8% of their games this season.
Houston is sending Ronel Blanco to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he comes in with a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 3.14. Blanco has made 24 starts this season and has pitched well on the road, going 5-2 with a 2.81 ERA. Overall, he has a WHIP of 1.06 and has turned in 12 quality starts. Blanco’s last outing came on August 20th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. He did not give up a homer in the outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.
Yainer Diaz has been on a tear for the Astros of late, going 10/29 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .301 with 16 homers, which is 5th on the team. Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 25 homers, which is 11th in the league, and is 2nd on the team with 67 RBIs. Alex Bregman is also a significant power threat for the Astros, as he is 2nd on the team with 21 homers.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in the league in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been a good home run hitting team and have been good at avoiding strikeouts. Houston’s team on-base percentage is 7th in the league.
The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Royals, closing out their series with an 11-3 win. After going on to score five more runs in the 8th inning, the Phillies were the +119 underdog on the money line going into the game. Nick Castellanos hit a homer for the Phillies, going 1/5, and Garrett Stubbs was really good at the plate, going 4/4 with a run scored and driving in three RBIs.
Kolby Allard got the start for the Phillies, going five innings and giving up just two runs on eight hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Philadelphia is hosting the Astros today with an overall record of 76-54, and they lead the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies have gone 20-14 in divisional games this year and have won two straight games. Their two-game winning streak came after dropping the series opener vs. the Royals.
At home, the Phillies are 42-23 this season and have gone 34-31 on the road. As the favorite, Philadelphia is 64-40 this year and 12-14 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 22-16-6.
When the Phillies are favored, they are 50-54 on the run line, but when they are underdogs, they are 14-12. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.0, while in losing games, it is -3.6. Their overall run line record is 64-66, and they are 31-34 at home and 33-32 on the road. Their run line win streak favored is 1, and their average run margin for the season is 0.9.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing at home today against the Houston Astros. The O/U line is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.9. The Phillies have a 61-63 O/U record on the season, and their average O/U line is exactly 8 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, they have a record of 17-14-1. Over the season, 49.2% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8 runs, and the O/U line has been set higher than 8 runs in 64 games. Their current O/U streak is at 3 games.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Astros at home. Wheeler has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 12-6 with a 2.73 ERA. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of .98 and has turned in 19 quality starts. Wheeler’s ERA at home is 2.68, and he has a record of 8-3 at home. In his last outing, Wheeler took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
For the season, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they have the 4th best team batting average in the league at .259 and are also 4th in on-base percentage. As a team, they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 7th best slugging percentage.
Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper have been a great 1-2 punch in the Phillies lineup this season, as Schwarber has 28 homers and Harper has 26. Schwarber’s 82 RBIs are 2nd on the team, while Harper is 3rd with 75 RBIs. Harper comes into the game on a 4-game hitting streak and is 8/20 in his last six games. J.T. Realmuto has also been hot of late, going 7/17 in his last five games with two homers.
Our pick for today’s Astros vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Astros on the money line, with the payout sitting at +138. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us some room to take the Astros on the run line if you prefer.
Looking at today’s starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, while Astros starter Ronel Blanco is predicted to finish with five. Blanco has a better chance of picking up the win than Wheeler, as Wheeler is the second-best starter to get a win today.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Betting Tips
- We like the Astros on the moneyline (+138)
- The Astros are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pressly | Out | Back |
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Mauricio Dubón | Questionable | Upper Body |
| Kyle Tucker | Out | Shin |
| Yordan Alvarez | Questionable | Neck |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |
