Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Betting Tips 9/1/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Preview

There does appear to be a chance of rain in Philadelphia on Sunday, where the Phillies and Braves will face off at 7:10 PM ET. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Phillies are the -142 money line favorite. The Braves have a record of 74-62, while the Phillies are 80-56. This game is being televised on ESPN.

Spencer Schwellenbach is going for the Braves, while the Phillies are starting Aaron Nola. The Phillies are currently in first place in the NL East, while the Braves are in second. Philadelphia is 4-6 in its last 10 games, while the Braves are 7-3.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Trends and Key Stats

• The Braves are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
• On the opposing side, the Phillies have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• As the favorite, the Phillies are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
• The Braves have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Philadelphia cruised to a 3-0 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Braves, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster one run. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -171 on the money line.

Zack Wheeler was dominant for the Phillies in the last game, going seven innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Carlos Estévez got the save. Max Fried had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss.

Edmundo Sosa was the difference for the Phillies’ offense, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Trea Turner and Austin Hays each had two hits and an RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Atlanta is on the road today, facing the Phillies, and they are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves are 74-62 overall and have gone 23-20 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they are losing the series vs. the Phillies 1-2.

As the favorite, the Braves have gone 62-47 this year and 12-15 as the underdog. Atlanta has won five straight series, and their overall series record is 23-15-5. At home, the Braves are 36-28 and have gone 38-34 on the road. Atlanta’s record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

When betting the run line on the Braves, it’s best to do so when they are on the road. Their run line record is 38-34 on the road compared to 26-38 at home. Their average run margin on the road is 0.9, compared to -0.1 at home. They are also 16-11 against the run line as an underdog.

When the Braves are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-80. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 8-13-1. Overall, 58.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach is getting the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 5-6 with a 3.72 ERA. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 4 2/3 innings and not giving up a run against the Twins. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Schwellenbach has allowed a total of 10 homers this year.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 37 home runs are 4th in the league and the top mark on the Braves. He is also 3rd in the MLB with 98 RBIs. Ozuna has also been a big help to the Braves lineup in terms of batting average, as he is hitting .307 for the season. First baseman Matt Olson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/33 with four homers over his last eight games.

As a team, the Braves are 4th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. This number is slightly better on the road, where they are at 4.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league.

With an overall record of 80-56, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies are 22-15 against other teams in the NL East. Currently, they are winning the series vs. the Braves, and their overall series record is 23-15-6. This year, the Phillies are 45-22 as the favorite at home compared to 12-15 as the underdog.

At home, the Phillies have gone 46-25 this year, and they are just over .500 at 34-31 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the favorite overall, the Phillies are 68-41 this year. In comparison, they are 12-15 as the underdog. Philadelphia’s overall record has come with a mark of 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When the Phillies win, they have done so by an average of 4.0 runs per game, while in their losses, they have been outscored by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Overall, they have played to a run-line record of 66-70, and they have been a better bet on the run line at home, where they are 33-38. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game, with a scoring margin of +1.2 runs per game at home and +0.4 runs per game on the road. They are 33-32 against the run line on the road and have been a better bet against the run line as the favorite, going 52-57 compared to 14-13 as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line for the Philadelphia Phillies’ game against the Atlanta Braves is set at 8 runs. The Phillies have played in 67 games with over/under lines set at 8 or higher this season, and the over has hit in 49.3% of their games overall. Their combined run average is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 63-66.

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today vs. the Braves and comes into the game with a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 3.30. Nola has made 27 starts this year and has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 6-3 and an ERA of 3.25. In his last outing, he pitched seven scoreless innings vs. the Astros, picking up the win. Nola has made 17 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.28 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has given up 23 homers and is averaging just 2.27 walks per nine innings.

Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and batting .257 as a team, which is the 3rd best mark in the MLB. They have also been good at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The Phillies have three of the league’s top 10 home run hitters, with Kyle Schwarber leading the way with 28 homers and Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm also among the league leaders.

Over his last six games, J.T. Realmuto has gone 8/24 with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .290 with 22 homers. Nick Castellanos has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 3/30 with three homers in his last eight games.

Our prediction for today’s Braves vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -142. We have the Phillies winning this one by a final score of 5-4. With the over/under line sitting at 8 runs, there isn’t a lot of room on either side, but we would take the over if you’re looking for a run total prediction.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Nola finishing with five strikeouts and Spencer Schwellenbach with six. Nola is projected to give up fewer runs than Schwellenbach, and we have him going 6.1 innings compared to Schwellenbach’s 5.2.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Braves (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

Atlanta Braves Injury Report