Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Betting Tips 8/30/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Preview

Both the Braves and Phillies will send their starting pitchers to the mound on Friday at 6:40 PM ET. This NL East matchup has the Phillies as the favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -134. The Braves are at +114, and the money line odds have the over/under line at 8 runs.

Reynaldo Lopez is starting for the Braves, and he will be facing off against Ranger Suarez. The Braves are 2nd in the NL East with a record of 73-61, while the Phillies are leading the division at 79-55. This one can be seen on BSSE.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Trends and Key Stats

• The Braves are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 5-0 runline record.
• On the opposing side, the Phillies have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 3-7 against the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Braves have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.

Philadelphia rallied for three runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this Phillies vs. Braves series. The Phillies scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 6th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -161 on the money line.

Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves, going 5 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out seven. Grant Holmes took the loss. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen for the Phillies as Cristopher Sanchez went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs.

Brandon Marsh and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies, while Matt Olson hit two homers for the Braves. Marsh, Castellanos, and Olson each had three RBIs.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

With a record of 73-61, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 22-19 in divisional games. The Braves are looking to bounce back today, as they dropped the first game of the series vs. the Phillies.

As the favorite, the Braves have gone 62-47 this season and 11-14 as the underdog. Atlanta has won five straight series, and they are 23-15-5 in series this year. On the road, the Braves have gone 37-33 compared to 36-28 at home. Looking at their recent games, the Braves are 7-3 over their last ten.

Atlanta has been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 63-71, but they have been especially good on the road, where they are 37-33. They have covered the run line in six straight road games and are 15-10 as an underdog. Their average run differential on the road is +0.9 runs per game, compared to -0.1 runs per game at home.

The Braves are on the road tonight against the Phillies, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.2, and their over/under record is 50-79. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-13-1. So far this season, 59.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 7-4 with an ERA of 2.02. Lopez’s WHIP for the season is 1.18, and he has turned in 11 quality starts. The right-hander has been tough to hit at home, coming in with an ERA of 1.73 compared to 2.43 on the road. Lopez has not taken the loss in any of his last three outings, finishing with a no-decision in each of his last two starts. Most recently, he gave up one earned run in six innings of work vs. the Nationals.

Marcell Ozuna has been a huge power threat for the Braves this season, as his 37 homers are 4th in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also 3rd in the MLB with 98 RBIs. Ozuna is batting .308 for the season and comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Matt Olson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/36 with four homers in his last nine games.

For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a better offensive team on the road than at home. As a team, they are batting .242 and are 4th in the league in home runs. Overall, their slugging percentage, OPS, and isolated power numbers are all among the league’s best.

Philadelphia is 79-55 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL East. They currently lead the Braves by six games for the top spot in the division. So far, they have gone 21-14 against other teams in the NL East. The Phillies have won five straight games as the favorite, and they are 67-40 overall when favored this year.

At home, the Phillies are 45-24 this year and 34-31 on the road. Philadelphia took the series opener vs. the Braves and have an overall series record of 23-15-6 this year. They have also won two straight series.

Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, going 65-69 overall. The Phillies have been a better bet on the road, going 33-32, but they’re also a decent play at home, where they are 32-37. Philadelphia has an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies are playing at home against the Atlanta Braves today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Phillies’ games have had an average combined run total of 8.9 this season, and their overall over/under record is 62-65. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-15-1. Half of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 25.4% have had lines set lower than that.

Ranger Suárez has made 21 starts this season, and he has a record of 11-5 with a 2.82 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Suárez has a WHIP of 1.06 and has issued just 2.03 walks per nine innings compared to 8.83 strikeouts. The left-hander has one complete game shutout this year and 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Suárez picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Suárez gave up at least four earned runs in three straight starts from July 6th to July 22nd.

Over the past five games, Nick Castellanos has three home runs and eight RBIs, but is hitting just .250 during that stretch. For the season, Castellanos is batting .290 with 13 homers. Kyle Schwarber has gone deep 28 times this season, which is 9th best in the league, and has 82 RBIs, which is 12th in the MLB. Schwarber’s 82 RBIs is the 2nd best mark on the Phillies, with Alec Bohm leading the team with 89 RBIs.

As a team, the Phillies are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in batting average and have the league’s 5th best on-base percentage. Currently, J.T. Realmuto is on a six-game hitting streak.

Our prediction for today’s Braves vs. Phillies matchup is that the Phillies will pick up a 6-5 win. We are going to be going with the Phillies on the money line, and the payout is sitting at -134.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Reynaldo López is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the fifth-best among starters today. As for Ranger Suárez, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is towards the bottom of the league.

Offensively, our projections have the Braves finishing with nine hits and the Phillies with nine. However, the Braves are projected to finish with more strikeouts, and the Phillies are the better option in this one.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Braves (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

Atlanta Braves Injury Report