Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
At 11:35 AM ET, the Diamondbacks and Phillies square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and has the Phillies as heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -204 compared to the Diamondbacks at +171. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs.
Slade Cecconi will go for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Cristopher Sanchez. Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, and they are 38-39, while the Phillies are 50-26 and are 1st in the NL East.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Arizona Diamondbacks odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- The Diamondbacks are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Phillies have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- As the favorite, the Phillies are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 12-1 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their twelve runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -268 on the money line.
Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but didn’t issue a single walk. Tommy Henry had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, giving up six runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies, while David Dahl went 1/1 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Alec Bohm also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona is one game below .500 at 38-39 as they take on the Phillies today. The Diamondbacks are on the road, and they trail the Dodgers by nine games in the NL West. So far, they have gone 15-12 in divisional games.
The Diamondbacks have been good as the favorite this year, going 20-16, and they are 18-23 as the underdog. As the road underdog, Arizona has gone 15-16 this season. The Diamondbacks are coming into this one having gone 6-4 across their last ten games, and they have an overall series record of 10-11-3. They have won three straight series.
Arizona is 37-40 against the run line this season, with a scoring margin of exactly zero runs per game. They have been a slightly better bet on the road, going 21-19 against the run line. The Diamondbacks have been a better bet as an underdog (23-18) than as a favorite (14-22) this season.
Arizona’s games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-38. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, but in games with a line of 9.5 runs, the over/under record is 3-6. Only 7.8% of their games have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs or more.
Arizona is sending right-hander Slade Cecconi to the mound today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 2-5 with a 5.90 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .252 off Cecconi this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.19. One positive note for Ceconni is that he is coming off a start in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Nationals, he went six innings and gave up just three hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Arizona’s offense is 7th in the MLB in runs scored this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have been a good team at avoiding strikeouts this season and are also near the top of the league in terms of on-base percentage and batting average.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamonbacks’ top power threats this season, with Walker leading the team with 17 homers and Marte right behind him with 15. Walker has also driven in 50 runs, which is 10th in the league. However, Walker has hit just .235 over his last eight games, while Joc Pederson has gone 8/21 in his last seven games. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is also on a four-game hitting streak.
With a record of 50-26, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies have gone 12-6 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 30-12 this season compared to 20-14 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 34-13.
Philadelphia has an overall series record of 15-7-4 this year, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games overall. As the favorite, the Phillies are 44-20 this year, and they are 29-10 as the favorite at home. So far, they have been average as the underdog, going 6-6.
The Phillies have been a solid run line bet this season, going 40-36 overall. They have been slightly better at home, where they are 22-20 against the run line. Their average run margin is +1.5 runs per game, and they have been a better bet as the favorite, going 34-30. In their wins, they have an average run margin of +3.8 runs per game.
The Philadelphia Phillies have played in 71 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs in only six of them. Their combined run average is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 33-38. The average over/under line in their games this season has been 8 runs.
Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 4-3. His ERA for the season is 2.91, along with a WHIP of 1.36. Sánchez has turned in seven quality starts this year, and his ERA at home is 1.89 compared to 4.55 on the road. In his last outing, Sánchez picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Sánchez has allowed just one homer in seven of his 14 starts.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in batting average and have the league’s 2nd best on-base percentage. The Phillies have also been a tough team to strike out and are 4th in the league in walks.
Over the team’s last eight games, both Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber have been swinging the bat well. Bohm has gone 14/34 in that stretch, while Schwarber has gone 10/30 with four homers. For the season, Bohm is batting .301 with eight homers, and Schwarber is hitting .258 with 17 homers.
Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout for the Phillies being -204, we actually like the under at 9.5 runs, with the payout sitting at -108.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Christopher Sanchez finishing with five strikeouts compared to Slade Cecconi with five. Sanchez is also projected to give up fewer runs than Cecconi, and we have him going five innings compared to Cecconi, who we have going just four.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Diamondbacks (+1.5)
- Our MLB model projects 9 runs, and we suggest taking the under
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | Out | Knee |
| Taijuan Walker | Questionable | Finger |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Edmundo Sosa | Questionable | Elbow |
| Kody Clemens | Out | Back |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Zac Gallen | Out | Hamstring |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | Questionable | Elbow |
| Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Gabriel Moreno | Out | Thumb |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Blake Walston | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
