Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
At 4:05 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Phillies face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -241. The Diamondbacks are +199 on the money line, and they are 38-38 this season, putting them 2nd in the NL West. Philadelphia is 49-26 and they are 1st in the NL East.
NSPPH will be televising this one, and the over/under line is currently at 9 runs. Tommy Henry is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Zack Wheeler. Philadelphia comes into the game on a two-game losing streak, while the Diamondbacks have won two straight.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Arizona Diamondbacks odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Diamondbacks are 4-1. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
- The Phillies, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- As the favorite, the Phillies are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
- The Diamondbacks have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Phillies series. Arizona went into the matchup as +122 underdogs and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Diamondbacks had a three-run 3rd inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th. As for the Phillies, they scored two runs in the 7th and could only muster one run in the 9th.
Jordan Montgomery got the win for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. As for the Phillies, Taijuan Walker had a rough outing, taking the loss after going just four innings and giving up four earned runs.
Trea Turner hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Gabriel Moreno also had a two-hit game for the Diamondbacks and drove in two runs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona is at .500 this season, as they are 38-38 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Phillies. The Diamondbacks come into today’s game having won two straight games, and they are 8.0 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have gone 15-12 in divisional games.
The Diamondbacks have been good at home this year, putting up a record of 19-18. On the road, Arizona is also 19-20 this season. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks have won four straight, and they are 15-15 as the underdog on the road this year. Arizona’s overall series record is 10-11-3, and they have won three straight series.
Arizona is 37-39 against the run line this season, including a 21-18 mark on the road. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 4-0 against the run line as an underdog in their last four games. Arizona’s average run margin in winning games is 4.3, while it’s -4.1 in losses.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is below their combined run average of 9.5. The Diamondbacks have gone over the O/U line in 36 of their 74 games this season, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone over 6 times, under 10 times, and pushed once. Their last four games have gone under the O/U line.
Tommy Henry is looking to bounce back from a rough outing out of the bullpen, as he got the start on June 15th vs. the White Sox. In that outing, he went 4 innings, giving up 5 runs, 3 earned, on 5 hits. He finished with a no decision in the outing. Looking back over his last three outings, Henry has finished with a no decision in each one. His ERA for the season is 6.23, along with a record of 2-2. Opposing batters are hitting .299 off Henry this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.27 strikeouts and 4.15 walks.
Arizona comes into today’s game as one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 6th ranked scoring offense in the league. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, as their 77 homers is 12th in the league. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the MLB.
Christian Walker has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 17 homers is 7th best in the league. He also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 8/24 with two homers and four RBIs. Ketel Marte is also having a strong season, as he is batting .280 with 15 homers and 42 RBIs.
With an overall record of 49-26, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies have dropped two straight games, and this came after winning three in a row. Their loss on Monday came in the first game of the series vs. the Diamondbacks.
So far, the Phillies have been good vs. other NL East teams, going 12-6, and they are 29-12 at home compared to 20-14 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 43-20. As for their record as the home favorite, the Phillies are 28-10 this year. In night games, the Phillies have been really good, going 34-12.
When betting the run line for the Phillies at home, they have been a solid bet, going 21-20. Overall, they are 39-36 against the run line, and when they win, they win by an average of 3.7 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. They have lost their last three run line bets at home, and overall, they are 33-30 against the run line as the favorite.
With an over/under line of 9 runs, the Philadelphia Phillies have seen the under hit in three straight games and have an over/under record of 32-38 on the season. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and they have seen nine games with higher over/under lines than today’s, accounting for just 12.0% of their games this season.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. Wheeler has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with a 2.84 ERA. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of 1.01 and has turned in 11 quality starts. Wheeler’s ERA at home is 1.88, compared to 5.29 on the road. In his last outing, he gave up eight earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Not only do the Phillies have one of the best home run-hitting lineups in the league, but they are also one of the top batting average teams in the league, hitting a collective .256. Their team on-base percentage of .330 is also 3rd in the MLB right now. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game (5th) and have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are both in the top 7 in the league in home runs, and Harper is also 13th in the league with 48 RBIs. Alec Bohm has been the Phillies’ best hitter this season, batting .301 with 60 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team and 4th in the league. Over his last six games, Bohm is batting .400 with a homer and six RBIs. Schwarber has also gone deep three times in this stretch.
Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Phillies game is to take the over, with the line being set at 9 runs. We see this one finishing with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Phillies. However, with the Phillies being such heavy favorites on the money line, we recommend looking at the over/under market.
Looking at today’s starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler is a good option to pick up the win, as he has the fourth-best odds among all starters. As for Tommy Henry, he is down in 20th, and we would look to avoid him in the player prop markets.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Diamondbacks (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | Out | Knee |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Kody Clemens | Out | Back |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Zac Gallen | Out | Hamstring |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | Questionable | Elbow |
| Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Gabriel Moreno | Questionable | Thumb |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Blake Walston | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
