Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
Friday’s Diamondbacks vs. Phillies game has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from Citizen Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are the betting favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -140, while the Diamondbacks are at +119. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs.
Arizona will be starting Jordan Montgomery, while the Phillies are set to go with Taijuan Walker. Philadelphia is currently leading the NL East, while the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West. APLTV will be carrying this game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Arizona Diamondbacks odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Diamondbacks in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Phillies have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
- Looking at the Diamondbacks’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Nationals, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing one run to the Nationals in the bottom of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with three runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.
Ryne Nelson put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Arizona is on the road today, taking on the Phillies with an overall record of 37-38. The Diamondbacks are in 2nd place in the NL West, and they are nine games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 15-12 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 19-18 this season, and they have gone 18-20 on the road. As the underdog, Arizona has won three straight games, and they are 17-22 as the underdog overall. They have an overall series record of 10-11-3 this year and have won three straight series.
The Diamondbacks are 20-18 against the run line on the road this season, and their average run margin in those games is +0.4. They have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog and are 22-17 overall in that situation. Their average run margin in wins is +4.4, compared to -4.1 in losses.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for Diamondbacks games this season. Arizona has a 36-37 over/under record on the year, and their average over/under line is 9 runs. Their games have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs just 7 times this season, and they have gone under in 5 of those games. Their games have had an over/under line of 9 runs or fewer in 82.7% of their games this season, and the under has hit in each of their last 3 games.
Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and will be looking to build off his last two outings, where he picked up the win. In his most recent outing, he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Looking back over his last four outings, Montgomery has given up at least 3 earned runs in three of them. His ERA for the season is 6.00, along with a record of 5-4. Opposing batters are hitting .296 off Montgomery this season. So far, he has made four road starts and has a record of 2-2 with a 6.48 ERA on the road.
Arizona comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, as they are 6th in the MLB in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been a good hitting team this season, as they are 5th in batting average and have the 5th best team BABIP in the league.
Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/41 in his last nine games with five homers and nine RBIs. For the season, Walker is hitting .258 with a team-high 17 homers and 50 RBIs. Ketel Marte is 2nd on the team with 42 RBIs and has a batting average of .280.
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Padres who handed out the Phillies, and Philadelphia was the heavy favorite at -189 at home. Things started off well for the Phillies, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Padres scored three times in the top of the 2nd.
Ranger Suárez put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out four. However, the Phillies offense really struggled after Bryce Harper’s hot start, going 2/4 with two homers.
With a record of 49-25, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. So far, they have gone 12-6 in divisional matchups. The Phillies are coming off a series win, taking two of three from the Padres.
At home, the Phillies have gone 29-11 this season, and they are 20-14 on the road. Philadelphia has been really good in night games, going 34-12. As the favorite, the Phillies are 43-19 and 28-9 as the favorite at home. So far, they are 15-7-4 in series this year.
When betting the run line, the Phillies have been a solid choice this season, with a 39-35 record. They have been even better at home, going 21-19. Their average run margin is 1.4 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 33-29 when favored.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing at home today against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Phillies have had an average combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 32-37, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs this season, their record is 1-3. The over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs for just 5.4% of their games this season, with 66 games having lower lines. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Taijuan Walker will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles, as he got the start and took the loss in that game. Against the Orioles, he gave up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Walker has made nine starts and has a record of 3-2. His ERA for the season is 5.33, along with a WHIP of 1.45. This year, opponents are batting .280 vs. Walker. The right-hander has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.35 strikeouts per nine innings.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as the 4th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. The Phillies are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber have been hot at the plate of late, with Bohm hitting .412 over his last eight games and Schwarber batting .382 with six homers over his last nine games.
Bohm and Schwarber are both near the top of the Phillies’ home run leaderboard, with Bohm having gone deep seven times this season and Schwarber also having 17 homers. Bryce Harper is also among the league leaders in home runs, and he comes into the game with a team-best on-base percentage of .391.
Our prediction for this Diamondbacks vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at +119. We actually have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a final of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jordan Montgomery finishing with five strikeouts, which is better than Taijuan Walker, who we have finishing with four. In terms of the offenses, the Diamondbacks are projected to finish with 11 strikeouts compared to the Phillies with eight.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks are actually projected to finish with more home runs than the Phillies, and they also have a higher projected team batting average.
Given that you can get the Diamondbacks at +119, we see this as a great value pick and would recommend getting this bet in as soon as possible.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips
- We like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline (+119)
- The Diamondbacks are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | Out | Knee |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Kody Clemens | Out | Back |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Zac Gallen | Out | Hamstring |
| Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Blake Walston | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
