Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners Preview
Thursday’s matchup between the Mariners and Athletics is set to get started at 3:37 PM ET from Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, CA. The money line odds have the Mariners as the favorite (-150), while the Athletics are the slight underdog (+126). The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
RSNW will be televising this game, and the Mariners are 70-70, which has them in 2nd place in the AL West. The Athletics are 61-79 and in 4th place. Bryan Woo will be going for the Mariners, and he is facing off against Joey Estes for the Athletics.
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Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Mariners are 1-4. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Athletics have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Mariners have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a runline record of 4-6.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Athletics have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 7-3 straight-up.
Seattle cruised to a 16-3 win over the Athletics in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 7th inning, scoring seven of their sixteen runs. As for the A’s, they scored their only three runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -143 on the money line.
George Kirby started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, JP Sears got the start for the A’s and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work.
At the plate, the Mariners were led by Luis Urias and Victor Robles, as they were the only two Mariners hitters to have more than one hit. Urias, Mitch Garver, Randy Arozarena, and Dylan Moore each had two RBIs for Seattle’s offense.
Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is at an even 70-70 overall and is 5.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners are 21-17 against other teams in the division. Seattle is on the road today, and they are 29-42 on the road compared to going 41-28 at home.
So far, the Mariners have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 51-44. As the underdog, Seattle is 19-26 this year. The Mariners’ overall series record is 18-23-2, and they are losing their current series vs. the Athletics 1-2.
When the Mariners win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.1 runs per game. Overall, their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, but they are just 58-82 against the run line. Their run line record is 29-40 at home, compared to 29-42 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 37-58 against the run line, while they are 21-24 as the underdog.
Seattle has played in 54 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record is 18-22 in those games. The Mariners have a combined run average of 7.8 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 63-70. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their average line of 8 runs per game.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryan Woo to the mound today vs. the Athletics. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 6-2 with a 2.30 ERA. Opponents have hit .193 off Woo this year, and he has a WHIP of .81. One of his best outings of the year came on August 25th vs. the Giants, where he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Woo’s last outing came vs. the Angels, where he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs and three homers. He finished with a no decision in that outing.
Julio Rodríguez has been one of the Mariners’ most consistent hitters this season, batting .258 with 13 home runs and 48 RBIs. He is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Catcher Cal Raleigh is also on a good streak, having homered 28 times this season while driving in 84 runs, which is 13th in the league. However, he is batting just .207.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league right now. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of striking out. Currently, the Mariners are batting just .217, and their team on-base percentage of .304 is also near the bottom of the league.
The Athletics are 61-79 overall and trail the Astros by 14.5 games in the AL West. So far, they are 19-23 against other teams in the division. Oakland is hosting the Mariners today and have an overall series record of 17-22-4. Their record includes going 35-36 at home and 26-43 on the road.
As the underdog, the Athletics are 50-75 this year, compared to 11-4 as the favorite. They have been playing well lately, going 6-4 over their last 10 games. Looking at where they stand in the AL West, they are in 4th place, 14.5 games behind the Astros and 8.5 games behind the Rangers for 3rd place in the division.
When the A’s win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.3 runs per game. That’s why they are 77-63 on the run line this season. However, they are just 6-9 on the run line as the favorite. When they lose, it’s usually by a lot, as their average run margin in losses is -3.6. They are 71-54 on the run line as the underdog.
The Oakland Athletics are home today against the Seattle Mariners, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in Athletics games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 64-74 overall. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 13-19, and 73.6% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Joey Estes gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces the Mariners at home. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 4.29. Estes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.11, and he has one complete game shutout to his credit this year. In his last outing, Estes finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Estes has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-1 and a 2.47 ERA compared to 2-5 with a 9.67 ERA on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Athletics offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, the Athletics are batting just .233, and their on-base percentage of .304 is also near the bottom of the league. However, they do have the league’s 5th best home run total and have the 8th best isolated power figure in the league.
Over his last eight games, Lawrence Butler has been on fire, going 15/34 with six homers and nine RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .297. Brent Rooker is also swinging a hot bat, as he is on an eight-game hitting streak and is batting .297 for the season with a team-high 33 homers and 94 RBIs.
With the Athletics at +126, we see this as a great value pick for today’s Mariners vs. Athletics matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Athletics, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bryan Woo is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among today’s starters. As for Joey Estes, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which ranks him 12th.
Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Mariners on the moneyline
- The Athletics are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Oakland Athletics Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Alex Wood | Out | Shoulder |
Trevor Gott | Out | Elbow |
Miguel Andujar | Out | Abdomen |
Michael Kelly | Out | Suspension |
Austin Adams | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
Esteury Ruiz | Out | Wrist |
Luis Medina | Out | Elbow |
Tyler Soderstrom | Out | Wrist |
Ken Waldichuk | Out | Arm |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |