Oakland Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview
At 4:07 PM ET, the Brewers and Athletics face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, and the Athletics are looking to end a two-game losing streak. However, they are the slight money line underdog (+109).
Frankie Montas is starting for the Athletics, and he is facing off against Joey Estes. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (-129). Milwaukee is 1st in the NL Central, while the Athletics are 4th in the AL West. BSWI is carrying this one on TV.
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Oakland Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Brewers have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Athletics have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Brewers are 6-4 straight-up and 4-6 vs. the runline.
- The Athletics have a 2-8 record vs. the runline and a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Brewers picked up a 9-5 win over the Athletics in the most recent game of this series. Milwaukee’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the A’s got on the board with one run in the 1st and added their final four runs in the 6th.
Colin Rea only went 6 2/3 innings for the Brewers but gave up just four hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Joe Boyle struggled on the mound for the A’s, giving up five runs in five innings of work.
Brent Rooker hit the game’s only home run while going 3/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Jake Bauers hit the Brewers’ lone home run while going 1/3 with two RBIs.
Oakland Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are on a two-game winning streak, and they lead the NL Central with a record of 75-54. Milwaukee is currently 10.5 games ahead of the Cubs for the division lead. So far, they have gone 26-16 against other teams in the NL Central. The Brewers have taken two straight games heading into today’s matchup vs. the Athletics.
At home, the Brewers have gone 38-24 this season, and they are just above .500 on the road at 37-30. As the favorite, the Brewers are 42-29 this year and 33-25 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 22-15-4, and they have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line on the Milwaukee Brewers, it’s been a good idea to take them as the underdog. They are 39-19 against the run line as the underdog this season. They are 38-29 against the run line on the road, and they have covered the run line in their last two road games. Their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game this season.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 69-53. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 26-20. The over has hit in two straight games for the Brewers.
Frankie Montas will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Cardinals on August 20th, he pitched 7 innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Montas has made 23 starts and has a record of 6-8. His ERA for the season is 4.57, along with a WHIP of 1.39. Montas has a batting average allowed of .238 and has issued 3.86 walks per nine innings compared to 7.79 strikeouts. For the year, he has allowed 16 homers. Out of his 23 starts, Montas has seven quality starts.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames’ 22 homers lead the team and is 13th in the league, while Contreras is 3rd on the team with 17 homers. Adames is also 11th in the league with 85 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins is also near the top of the Brewers’ home run leaderboard, but he is batting just .219 for the season.
Over his last five games, Jackson Chourio is hitting .364 for the Brewers, and he is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Rhys Hoskins has also homered in his last five games but is just 3/19 during that stretch. Hoskins has five RBIs in his last five games.
With an overall record of 55-75, the Athletics are 4th in the AL West, 14.5 games behind the Astros for the division lead. Oakland has dropped two straight games, and they trail the Brewers 2-0 in their current series. So far, they have gone 16-20 in AL West matchups.
At home, the Athletics are 32-35 this season, and they are 23-40 on the road. As the underdog, the Athletics are 44-71 this season, and they are 11-4 when favored. Oakland’s overall series record is 16-21-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.
When the Athletics are favored, they are just 6-9 ATS, and they have lost two straight ATS as the home team. As the underdog, they are 63-52 ATS. Oakland’s average run differential is -0.6 runs per game, and they are 69-61 ATS overall.
The Oakland Athletics will host the Milwaukee Brewers today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for A’s games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 58-70. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-22. The over has hit in two straight games for Oakland.
Right-hander Joey Estes gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces the Brewers at home. Estes has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with a 4.44 ERA. In his last outing, he went 7 2/3 innings, taking the loss while giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last three outings, Estes has given up a total of five earned runs. This year, opponents are batting .242 off Estes, and he has a WHIP of 1.15. Estes has one complete game shutout this year and six quality starts.
For the season, the Athletics are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. However, they have been a better offense at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .231, which is 19th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. Oakland’s team on-base percentage of .304 is also below the league average.
Brent Rooker has been a bright spot for the Athletics this season, as he is batting .289 with a team-high 30 home runs and 87 RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. Shea Langeliers is 2nd on the team in RBIs but is batting just .223 for the season. JJ Bleday has struggled of late, going just 3/27 in his last seven games.
We see the Athletics as a great value pick today, with them being at home and getting +109 on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Athletics, giving us some room to take them on the money line or to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Joey Estes finishing with five strikeouts compared to Frankie Montas with six. Montas does have a better chance of picking up a win, but we have Estes going five innings compared to Montas going six.
Oakland Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips
- We like the Athletics on the moneyline (+109)
- On the run line we like Athletics (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Oakland Athletics Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | Out | Shoulder |
| Scott Alexander | Out | Rotator Cuff |
| Trevor Gott | Out | Elbow |
| Michael Kelly | Out | Suspension |
| Austin Adams | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Esteury Ruiz | Out | Wrist |
| Luis Medina | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Out | Wrist |
| Ken Waldichuk | Out | Arm |
| Jacob Wilson | Out | Hamstring |
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Hoby Milner | Out | Shoulder |
| Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
