Oakland Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 7/6/2024

Oakland Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

From Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, we have the Orioles and Athletics facing off in an AL matchup. This one gets started at 4:07 PM ET on MASN, and the Orioles are the heavy favorite on the money line (-181). The Athletics are 33-57 overall and they are 5th in the AL West, while the Orioles lead the AL East with a record of 56-32.

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and Saturday’s starting pitching matchup features Cade Povich for the Orioles and Luis Medina for the Athletics.

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Oakland Athletics Trends and Key Stats

• The Orioles are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• Conversely, the Athletics have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
• The Orioles have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 3-7.
• When playing as the underdog, the Athletics have gone 3-7 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 6-4 over their last ten games.

Baltimore picked up a 3-2 road win over the Athletics in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a two-run 2nd inning and scored the game’s final run in the 7th. As for the A’s, they scored one run in the 1st and added their final run in the 5th.

Albert Suarez started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a walk. On the other side, Hogan Harris got the start for the A’s and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.

Austin Hays was the difference for the Orioles, as he went 3/4 with a run scored and an RBI. Miguel Andujar hit a home run for the A’s, going 1/4.

Oakland Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are 56-32 overall and lead the AL East by three games over the Yankees. So far, they have gone 19-7 against other teams in the AL East. Baltimore is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games. At home, the Orioles are 29-17 this year, and they have gone 27-15 on the road.

So far, the Orioles have been really good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 45-26. As for their games as the underdog, they are 11-6 this year. Baltimore’s overall series record is 19-6-3, and they have won two straight series.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. They are 50-38 against the run line overall this season, including 26-16 on the road. They are 37-34 against the run line as the favorite and 13-4 as the underdog. They have an average run margin of +1.3 runs per game this season.

The Orioles are on the road in Oakland today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 8.9 runs this season, and their over/under record is 44-34. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles have a 15-10 record. So far this season, 23.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Cade Povich is getting the start for the Orioles on the road against the A’s. He has been solid in his first three outings, picking up a win in his last start vs. the Rangers. In that outing, he went 5 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 3.

As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they also have the best isolated power mark in the league. Baltimore’s team slugging percentage of .458 is also the best in the majors.

Gunnar Henderson has been the Orioles’ top hitter this season, batting .288 with a team-high 27 home runs and 60 RBIs. Anthony Santander is 2nd on the team with 22 homers but has a batting average of just .231. However, he has gone 6/23 in his last six games and has a four-game hitting streak.

With a record of 33-57, the Athletics are 5th in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 16 games. So far, they have gone just 9-17 in divisional matchups. Oakland is hosting the Orioles today and are 21-24 at home this season.

This year, the Athletics have really struggled on the road, going 12-33. As for how they have fared as the favorite, Oakland is 7-2 and 26-55 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 9-18-1, and they are coming into today’s game having lost the series opener vs. the Orioles.

The A’s have been a solid bet against the run line this season, posting a 45-45 mark. They have been especially good at home, going 24-21 against the run line. Their overall run differential is -1.1 runs per game, and they are currently on a four-game run line win streak at home. They have been a much better bet against the run line as an underdog, going 42-39, compared to just 3-6 as the favorite.

When the Oakland Athletics play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.3 runs per game. The A’s have gone over the total in 38 of their 88 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 9-16. The under has hit in their last three games.

Right-hander Luis Medina gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces off against the Orioles at home. So far this season, he has made six starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 4.80. Looking back at his last outing, Medina finished with a no-decision against the Diamondbacks, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. He only allowed four hits in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Medina’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.50.

So far this season, the Athletics are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .221, which is 20th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts and on-base percentage.

One area where the Athletics have been good this season is in the home run department, as they are 7th in the league in home runs. Brent Rooker has been a bright spot in the lineup, as he is hitting .270 for the season and is on a three-game home run streak. Rooker has also gone 11/29 over his last eight games.

There is a lot of value in taking the Athletics on the money line at +154. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Athletics, giving them a lot of value at +154.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Medina is projected to go 16th in terms of innings pitched, and he is a good option to pick up a win. As for Cade Povich, he is 15th in terms of picking up a win, but we have him going for fewer innings compared to Medina.

Oakland Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• We like the Athletics on the moneyline (+154)
• The Athletics are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Oakland Athletics Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report