New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The money line odds for Sunday’s Blue Jays vs. Yankees game have the Yankees as the heavy favorite, with their odds sitting at -236 compared to the Blue Jays at +194. This AL East matchup is set for 1:35 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-80s.
Toronto will be starting Yariel Rodriguez, and they are 5th in the AL East with a record of 51-60. The Yankees are 2nd in the division at 66-46 and they will have Gerrit Cole on the mound. SNET will be televising this game.
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New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats
- The Blue Jays are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Yankees have achieved a 5-0 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Yankees have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Blue Jays have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
It was all New York in the last game of this series, as the Yankees took down the Blue Jays by a score of 8-3. The Yankees offense only had two more hits than the Blue Jays and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -240 on the money line.
Toronto’s only lead in this game came after they scored one run in the first inning. As for the Yankees, they scored two runs in the first and added three more in the 2nd, giving them an early 5-1 lead. After the Blue Jays scored two more runs in the 6th, the Yankees put the game out of reach with a three-run 7th.
Carlos Rodón got the win for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. José Berríos had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto is 51-60 overall and 5th in the AL East this season. They trail the Orioles by 14.5 games for the division lead and are 9.0 games behind the Rays for 4th place in the division. The Blue Jays are on the road today, facing the Yankees and have an overall division record of 15-22.
At home, the Blue Jays are 26-28 this season compared to 25-32 on the road. Toronto has been good as the favorite this season, going 33-24 and 18-36 as the underdog. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 12-16-6, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games overall.
When the Blue Jays win, they tend to do so by an average of 3.1 runs per game, while their average run differential in losses is -4.1. Toronto’s overall run line record is 52-59, but they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 34-23 vs. the run line. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 28-26 vs. the run line.
Today’s over/under line for the Blue Jays-Yankees game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than the average line for Toronto games this season. The Blue Jays have played 107 games this season, and only one of them has had a higher over/under line than 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 61-47. The over has hit in three straight Blue Jays games.
Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez is starting for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 4.31. Opponents are batting .207 off Rodríguez this year, and his WHIP is currently 1.36. The last time he pitched, Rodríguez took the loss, going just two-thirds of an inning and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that outing, he had put together two straight quality starts. So far, he has two quality starts this year.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a big part of their offense, as he is batting .318 for the season and has a team-high 72 RBIs.
Guerrero Jr. has been especially hot of late, going 11/18 in his last five games with two homers and six RBIs. He also comes into the game on a 16-game hitting streak. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting below .230 for the season.
The Yankees are currently tied with the Orioles for the AL East lead, and they are also tied with the Orioles for the best overall record in the AL at 66-46. The Yankees will be hosting the Blue Jays today with an overall division record of 21-23. So far, they are 28-24 at home and have been excellent on the road, going 38-22.
As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 48-40 this year, and they are 18-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 19-11-4 this year, and they have won two straight series. Currently, the Yankees are 6-4 across their last 10 games, and they are coming off a series win over the White Sox.
The Yankees have been a good bet on the run line this season, with a 60-52 record. They have been especially good on the road, going 36-24. However, they have not been as good at home, going 24-28. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 20-4, but have struggled as the favorite, going 40-48. Their average run differential is +1.1 runs per game, with a +1.6 run differential on the road and a +0.5 run differential at home. In their wins, they have an average run differential of +4.2, while in their losses, they have an average run differential of -3.3.
The New York Yankees are playing host to the Toronto Blue Jays today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. The Yankees have gone over the total in 62 of their 108 games this season, and they have gone over the total in 8 of the 11 games this season where the line was set at 9.5 runs or higher. The over has hit in each of their last 9 games.
New York is sending Gerrit Cole to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays, and he will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Mets on July 24th, Cole gave up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. Cole’s ERA for the season is 5.40, along with a record of 3-2. Out of his seven starts, Cole has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 9.77 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed a total of nine home runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. New York also leads the league in on-base percentage, OPS, and have the 2nd best isolated power mark in the league. So far, they have been a patient team at the plate, leading the league in walks while also being one of the toughest teams to strike out.
Right fielder Juan Soto comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .308 for the season with 27 homers. Aaron Judge is the MLB’s current home run leader and has gone 15/34 with six homers over his last nine games. Judge is also hitting .321 for the season and is 1st in the league with 103 RBIs.
Our predicted final score for this game is a 7-6 win for the Yankees, which would give them a one-run victory. However, with a money line payout of -236, we recommend taking the over at 9.5 runs, where the payout is at +102.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Gerrit Cole finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the highest projection among all starters. As for Yariel Rodríguez, we have him finishing with six K’s.
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Blue Jays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 13 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Gerrit Cole | Probable | Fatigue |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jose Trevino | Out | Quadricep |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | Out | Calf |
| Jordan Romano | Out | Elbow |
| Orelvis Martinez | Out | Suspension |
| Alek Manoah | Out | Elbow |
