New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips 8/3/2024

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

Carlos Rodon and the Yankees are heavy favorites on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -192. As for the Blue Jays, they have a money line payout of +161. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and SNET will be televising this AL East matchup.

First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:05 PM ET, and the forecast for Saturday’s game calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the upper 70s. Toronto will be looking for a win with starter Jose Berrios, and they are 5th in the AL East with a record of 51-59. The Yankees are 2nd in the AL East and 65-46 overall.

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New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Blue Jays have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 5-0 (SU) and 4-1 record.
• As the favorite, the Yankees are 4-6 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
• The Blue Jays have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Toronto rallied for four runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Blue Jays vs Yankees series. The Blue Jays scored three runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 9th, picking up an 8-5 win. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at +149 on the money line.

Kevin Gausman got the start for the Blue Jays, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out two. Brendon Little got the win out of the bullpen, and Chad Green got the save. Marcus Stroman had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss after going 2 2/3 innings and giving up seven runs.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2/3 with a home run and three RBIs, while Ernie Clement also had two hits and drove in three runs for the Blue Jays. Anthony Volpe had a three-hit game for the Yankees, including a home run.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Toronto is 51-59 overall and 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 13.5 games. So far, they are 15-21 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays are coming off a series loss vs. the Rays but have taken the first game of this series vs. the Yankees.

At home, the Blue Jays are 26-28 this year, and they have gone 25-31 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 33-24 this year and 18-35 as the underdog. Toronto’s overall series record is 12-16-6, and they are 6-4 in their last ten games overall.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big. They average a run differential of +3.1 runs per game in their victories. However, they have been outscored by an average of -0.7 runs per game overall this season. The run line record for the Blue Jays is 52-58, and they are 34-22 against the run line on the road.

The Blue Jays have been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 60-47, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 3-3-2. They have hit the over in two straight games, and overall, only 3.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

José Berríos will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Rangers and picked up the win. In that July 28th outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Berríos has made 22 starts, and his record for the season is 9-8. The right-hander’s ERA is 3.93, along with a WHIP of 1.19. Berríos has turned in 13 quality starts this year, and his ERA at home is 3.27 compared to 5.81 on the road. Overall, he is 2-6 on the road.

After a slow start to the season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire of late, hitting .531 over his last nine games with three home runs and nine RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is currently 10th in the league with 71 RBIs and has a team-high 21 homers. Overall, he is batting .314 for the season. He is also on a 15-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Blue Jays are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and are averaging 4.2 runs per game. This is just 24th in the MLB. Toronto’s team on-base percentage is 13th in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in fewest strikeouts per game.

The Yankees are 65-46 overall and are in 2nd place in the AL East, tied with the Orioles for the division lead. Currently, they trail the Blue Jays 0-1 in their series. So far, they are 20-23 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Yankees are 27-24 this year and have gone 38-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 47-40 and 18-6 as the underdog. New York has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 19-11-4 this year.

When betting the run line on the Yankees, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road, where they are 36-24. They have been a poor bet at home, going 23-28. The average run margin in their games is 1.0, but they are 20-4 against the run line as an underdog.

When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs, but today’s line is set at 9 runs. The over has hit in 61 of the Yankees’ 107 games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.3 runs per game. The over has hit in six of their 17 games when the line has been set at 9 runs, and their games have gone over the total in eight straight contests.

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and comes in with a record of 11-7 and an ERA of 4.34. So far, he has made 22 starts and 12 of them have been quality starts. Rodón’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his 22 appearances, he has a batting average allowed of .234. Rodón has done much better at home this year, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 4.42. On the road, his record is 6-5, and he has an ERA of 5.3.

Anthony Volpe and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have been swinging the bat well for the Yankees of late, with Volpe going 9/22 with two homers over his last five games, and Chisholm Jr. also has four homers in this stretch while batting .304. Volpe is also on a seven-game hitting streak. As a team, the Yankees are 2nd in home runs and are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

So far, the Yankees have been the best team in terms of on-base percentage and OPS, while also leading the league in walks. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team’s top two hitters this season, with Judge leading the league in RBIs (101) and homers (40), while also batting .318. Soto is also batting over .300 and has 27 homers.

For this Blue Jays vs. Yankees matchup, we are actually going to stay away from the money line and instead look to the over/under. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Yankees, and with the payout on a Yankees win being -192, we are recommending taking the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Carlos Rodón finishing with six strikeouts compared to José Berríos with five. If you are looking for a player prop bet, Rodón’s strikeout line should be around six, and Berríos will be around five.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• The Yankees should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

New York Yankees Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report