New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The forecast for Friday’s Blue Jays vs. Yankees game calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid-90s. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET. Marcus Stroman will be starting for the Blue Jays, and the Yankees are sending Masahiro Tanaka to the mound.
New York is currently on a five-game winning streak and is 2nd in the AL East with a record of 65-45. The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East and have lost two straight. Toronto is +142 on the money line compared to the Yankees at -167. Friday’s over/under line is at 9 runs.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Toronto Blue Jays odds
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats
- The Blue Jays are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 5-0 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
- The Blue Jays have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 10-4 loss. Toronto was the +206 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Blue Jays, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Orioles scored two runs in the bottom of the first.
Toronto started Paolo Espino, and he took the loss, going only four innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. The Blue Jays also issued three walks and hit a batter. Addison Barger had a good day at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 14.5 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 50-59 and have gone 14-21 against other teams in the AL East. They come into today’s game having lost two straight games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 26-28 this year and 24-31 on the road. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 13-24 this year, and they are 33-24 when favored. Toronto’s overall series record is 12-16-6, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Orioles.
When the Blue Jays are on the road, they are a solid bet to cover the run line, going 33-22 on the season. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 27-25. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.1, while their average run differential in losing games is -4.1.
Today’s over/under line for the Toronto Blue Jays’ game against the New York Yankees is set at 9 runs. The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 9.0 this season, and their over/under record is 59-47. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 2-3-2. Only 3.7% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 9-8 with a 4.44 ERA. Gausman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. In his 21 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts, along with two complete games and one shutout. Gausman’s ERA at home is 7.56 compared to 4.89 on the road. He most recently faced the Rangers, where he picked up the win, going nine innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
One of the few bright spots in the Blue Jays lineup this season has been Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is batting .311 for the season and has gone 15/29 in his last eight games. During this stretch, he has three home runs and eight RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is currently 10th in the league with 21 homers and 12th in the MLB with 70 RBIs. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting under .230 for the season.
Overall, the Blue Jays are 25th in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs. As a team, they are batting just .239 and have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league. Currently, Toronto is 12th in on-base percentage and 19th in slugging.
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 6-5 win. After scoring four runs in the 2nd inning, the Yankees added another two runs in the 6th to pick up the win. New York was the slight underdog at -101 on the money line going into the game.
Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up three runs on just three hits and issued two walks. DJ LeMahieu went 2/4 with a homer and six RBIs.
The Yankees are at home today to take on the Blue Jays, and they are riding a five-game winning streak. New York is 65-45 overall, and they are tied with the Orioles for the AL East lead. The Yankees and Orioles are both 20-22 in divisional matchups this year.
New York has been really good as the underdog this year, going 18-6, and they are 47-39 as the favorite. At home, the Yankees have gone 27-23 compared to 38-22 on the road. The Yankees have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 19-11-4 this year.
The Yankees have been a team to watch on the run line this season, as they are 59-51 overall. They are 23-27 against the run line at home, but have been much better on the road, going 36-24. They have been an underdog in only 24 games, and they have covered in 20 of those contests. Their average run differential in wins is +4.1, while it is -3.4 in losses.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is higher than the average line set for Yankees games this season, which has been 8 runs. The Yankees have gone over the line in 60 of their 106 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. The over has hit in seven straight games for the Yankees.
New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. Stroman has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 3.64. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Looking back further, Stroman has allowed at least two earned runs in each of his last four outings. Stroman’s ERA at home is 4.76 compared to 3.38 on the road. He has a BB/9 figure of 3.8 compared to 6.57 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Yankees have been the best offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Not only do they lead the league in runs scored, but they also have the top on-base percentage, and OPS in the league. As a team, they are also 2nd in home runs and have the best walk rate in the league.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team’s top two hitters this season, with Judge leading the team with a .316 batting average and Soto right behind him at .309. Judge also leads the league with 99 RBIs and is 1st in the league with 39 homers. Judge has been hot of late, going 11/28 in his last eight games with four homers.
We see the best value in this Blue Jays vs. Yankees matchup being on the over/under line. Our prediction is that the Yankees will pick up a 6-5 win, giving us a lot of room to take the over at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Marcus Stroman has a better chance of picking up a win than Kevin Gausman, and we also have Stroman finishing with more strikeouts. However, we see Stroman’s strikeout total being too low to target him in the prop market.
Offensively, the Yankees have a higher projected home run total compared to the Blue Jays, and they are also expected to finish with more hits. If you’re looking for a player prop, you could look to a Yankees player to hit a home run.
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Blue Jays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Gerrit Cole | Probable | Fatigue |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jose Trevino | Out | Quadricep |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | Out | Calf |
| Jordan Romano | Out | Elbow |
| Daulton Varsho | Questionable | Illness |
| Orelvis Martinez | Out | Suspension |
| Alejandro Kirk | Questionable | Elbow |
| Alek Manoah | Out | Elbow |
