New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview
At 1:05 PM ET, the Yankees and Rays face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line at -168. The Rays are +142, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
New York comes into the game on a two-game losing streak, and they are 59-42 overall. The Rays have won two straight, and they are 50-49, putting them fourth in the AL East. Carlos Rodon is starting for the Yankees, and the Rays are going with Zack Littell. BSSUN is carrying this game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Tampa Bay Rays odds
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats
- The Rays are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the other side, the Yankees have gone 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Yankees have won 4-6 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Rays have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Tampa Bay rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this series, picking up a 6-4 win over the Yankees. The Rays scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 7th. As for the Yankees, they scored one run in the 1st inning and added three more in the 5th.
Shane Baz started for the Rays, going just 3 1/3 innings while giving up four hits and striking out five. Garrett Cleavinger got the win out of the bullpen, and Pete Fairbanks got the save. Marcus Stroman had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss after going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits.
Jose Caballero and Jose Siri each homered for the Rays, while Aaron Judge went deep for the Yankees. Caballero, Siri, Randy Arozarena, and Richie Palacios each had two RBIs for Tampa Bay’s offense.
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay is 50-49 overall and 4th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 10 games. The Rays have gone 14-19 in AL East matchups this year. They come into today’s game having won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10.
At home, the Rays are an even 27-27 this year, and they are 23-22 on the road. So far, they have been good as the road underdog, going 14-14 this year. As the underdog overall, Tampa Bay is 22-24 and 28-25 as the favorite. The Rays have won two straight games as the underdog.
The Rays have been a good bet on the run line on the road this season, going 27-18. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 27-19 on the run line. Overall, they are 47-52 on the run line this season.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is right on par with the combined run average for the Rays’ games this season. Tampa Bay’s over/under record is .500 on the year at 47-47, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 14-14. The over has hit in two straight games for the Rays.
Zack Littell gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Yankees on the road. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 3-6. Littell’s ERA for the season is 4.26, along with a WHIP of 1.37. In his 19 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.35 strikeouts per nine innings. Littell’s most recent outing came on July 13th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
Yandy Diaz and Isaac Paredes have been the most consistent hitters for the Rays this season, with Paredes leading the team with 51 RBIs and 16 homers. Paredes also has a team-best on-base percentage of .357. Diaz comes into the game batting .273 and is 2nd on the team with 46 RBIs. However, both hitters will be looking to get things going, as Diaz is just 2/17 in his last seven games, while Paredes is hitting just .184 over the same stretch.
Over his last nine games, Randy Arozarena has been swinging a hot bat, going 11/35 with four homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .212, but his 15 homers are 2nd on the team and 12th in the league. Arozarena is also on a four-game hitting streak.
The Yankees are 59-42 overall and trail the Orioles by two games for the AL East lead. New York has dropped two straight games, and they are 17-21 against other teams in the AL East. So far, the Yankees have gone 26-21 at home compared to 33-21 on the road. New York is 25-19 as the home favorite this year.
At home, the Yankees have dropped two straight games as the favorite. This season, the Yankees are 45-36 as the favorite and 14-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-10-3, and they are losing this series vs. the Rays 1-2. Heading into today’s game, the Yankees have gone 4-6 over their last ten.
The Yankees are 22-25 against the run line at home this season, and their average run differential in the Bronx is just +0.6 runs per game. As the favorite, they are just 37-44 against the run line, but as an underdog, they are 16-4. Their average run differential in wins is +4.1 runs per game, while their average run differential in losses is -3.3 runs per game.
When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 52-45, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 25 out of 42 games. Overall, 22.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. Their current over streak is at 2 games.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays. In that start, he took the loss, going 4 innings and giving up 4 earned runs. Looking back over his last four starts, Rodón has given up at least 3 earned runs in each outing. His record for the season is 9-7, and he has an ERA of 4.63. Opponents are batting .244 off the left-hander this season. Rodón’s ERA at home is 4.87 compared to 5.49 on the road.
So far, the Yankees offense has been one of the best in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game (4th) and are 2nd in home runs. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York has the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, with Judge leading the league with 89 RBIs.
Both Judge and Soto have been hot of late, with Judge batting .412 with three homers in his last six games, and Soto has gone 12/28 with a homer in this stretch. Giancarlo Stanton is also on a 10-game hitting streak for the Yankees.
Our prediction for the Yankees vs. Rays game is that the Yankees will come out on top by a score of 5-4. However, we are actually recommending taking the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Carlos Rodón finishing with more strikeouts than Zack Littell. Rodón is projected to finish with seven K’s, while Littell is predicted to end the game with four.
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Giancarlo Stanton | Out | Hamstring |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jose Trevino | Out | Quadricep |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Díaz | Out | Personal |
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
| Richard Lovelady | Out | Forearm |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
| Ryan Pepiot | Out | Knee |
