New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Betting Tips 7/21/2024

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview

At 1:35 PM ET, the Rays and Yankees will face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are favored on the money line, with their line sitting at -160 compared to the Rays at +136. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.

Tampa Bay will be looking to get a win and move above .500, as they are 49-49 and are 4th in the AL East. The Yankees, meanwhile, are 2nd in the AL East, with a record of 59-41.

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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Rays in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Yankees have won 4-6 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Rays’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.

Tampa Bay cruised to a 9-1 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 4th inning, scoring three of their nine runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Rays were at +137 on the money line.

Both teams had just five hits in the game, but the Rays took advantage of their opportunities, scoring nine times. On the other side, the Yankees left seven runners on base and went just 2/7 with RISP.

Taj Bradley pitched well for the Rays in this one, going seven innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees and took the loss.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Tampa Bay is at an even 49-49 overall but are 11 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 13-19 in AL East games. The Rays are on the road today, where they are 22-22 this season.

The Rays have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 17-11-2 this year. They have been good as the favorite, going 28-25, and they are 21-24 as the underdog. Tampa Bay is 5-5 over their last 10 games and are currently tied with the Yankees in their series.

Despite their overall run differential of -0.6 runs per game, the Rays have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 46-52. They are 20-34 on the run line at home, but have been much better on the road, going 26-18. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 26-19, compared to 20-33 as the favorite. In their wins, the Rays have an average run differential of +2.6 runs per game, while in their losses, it is -3.8 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is exactly in line with the Tampa Bay Rays’ season average, as their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season. The Rays have played in 28 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, going 14-14 in those contests. Overall, 60 of Tampa Bay’s games this season have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, accounting for 61.2% of their games.

Shane Baz is on the mound for the Rays as they take on the Yankees in New York. This will be his 2nd start of the season, and in his first outing, he took the loss against the Rangers. Baz went 6 innings, giving up 3 earned runs and striking out 6. He also started against the Yankees in his first start, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up 3 runs.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, as he is 11th in the league with 16 home runs and is batting .258. Paredes also leads the team with 51 RBIs. Yandy Diaz is batting .273 for the Rays and is 2nd on the team with 46 RBIs. Left fielder Randy Arozarena is batting just .212 for the season but has 14 homers and has gone 8/24 in his last six games.

As a team, the Rays are just 27th in the league in runs scored at 3.9 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .236, which is 15th in the league, and have the league’s 20th best slugging percentage.

The Yankees are 59-41 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles for the division lead. New York lost the series opener vs. the Rays but bounced back to take game two. Currently, they are 17-20 in divisional games.

So far, the Yankees have been really good as the favorite, going 45-35 and 14-6 as the underdog. At home, they are 25-18 as the favorite compared to 33-21 as the favorite on the road. New York’s overall series record is 17-10-3, and they have dropped five straight series at home.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. As a result, they are 53-47 against the run line this season. They have been a better bet on the road, going 31-23 against the run line, compared to 22-24 at home. They have been a profitable run line bet as the underdog, going 16-4, compared to 37-43 as the favorite.

The New York Yankees have an over/under record of 51-45 this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Yankees have a record of 25-17. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 22.0% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Marcus Stroman is getting the start for the Yankees today and comes into the game with a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 3.51. So far this season, he has made 19 starts, seven of which were quality starts. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32, and he is averaging 6.69 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Stroman finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up five earned runs in back-to-back starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 2-3 and an ERA of 4.91 compared to 5-1 with a 2.91 ERA on the road.

The Yankees come into today’s game as the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. This includes averaging 5.2 runs per game on the road. Overall, they are the league’s top home run-hitting team and are batting a combined .246, which is 9th in the league. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Judge leading the league with 34 homers and Soto’s 23 homers being 5th in the league.

Over his last eight games, Juan Soto has gone 13/34 with two homers and three RBIs. Aaron Judge has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/24 with two homers over his last eight games. Giancarlo Stanton comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak.

Our prediction for this game is that the Yankees will pick up a 6-5 win over the Rays. Given that they are at home, we recommend taking the Yankees on the money line, where the payout is -160.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Marcus Stroman finishing with four strikeouts, and he is currently averaging 15th among starters. As for Shane Baz, his predicted strikeout total is five, which has him at 15th among starters.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

New York Yankees Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report