New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview
From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Rays and Yankees facing off in an AL East matchup. This one gets started at 1:05 PM ET, and the money line odds have the Yankees as the favorite at -154. The Rays are +131 on the money line, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Taj Bradley will be starting for the Rays, and he will be facing off against Nestor Cortes for the Yankees. The Rays are 48-49 this season, while the Yankees are 59-40, and they are 2nd in the AL East. Cortes has been the better pitcher of the two, as he has a 3.60 ERA, while Bradley has a 4.50 ERA.
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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats
- The Rays are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Yankees have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 4-6, while going 3-7 against the runline.
- The Rays have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
New York cruised to a 6-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Rays, they scored their only run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -169 on the money line.
Gerrit Cole started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Zach Eflin got the start for the Rays and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
Juan Soto was the Yankees’ top performer at the plate, as he went 4/4 with two doubles and three runs scored. Anthony Volpe also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs. Aaron Judge added two hits and an RBI.
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay heads into today’s game vs. the Yankees with a record of 48-49, putting them 4th in the AL East. They are 11 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 12-19 in AL East games. The Rays are looking to snap a two-game losing streak today, and they are 4-6 across their last 10.
At home, the Rays are an even 27-27 this year, and they are just above .500 at 21-22 on the road. This season, the Rays have gone 28-25 as the favorite and 20-24 as the underdog. As for their overall series record, the Rays are 17-11-2 and have won two straight series.
The Rays are 25-18 against the run line on the road this season, but they are currently on a two-game run line losing streak away from home. Tampa Bay’s average run margin on the road is -0.8, which is slightly worse than their overall average run margin of -0.7.
On the road against the New York Yankees, the Tampa Bay Rays have an over/under record of 45-47 this season. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 11-14-1. Overall, 37 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 38.1% of their games. Their current under streak is at 4 games.
Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today as he faces off against the Yankees on the road. So far this season, he has made 12 starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t give up a run. In that outing vs. the Guardians, he went seven innings, picking up the win. Looking back at his last four starts, Bradley has given up just one earned run in three of them. His ERA for the season is 2.90, along with a record of 4-4. Opponents are batting .206 off Bradley this season, and his WHIP is 1.11.
So far this season, the Rays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.7 runs per contest. As a team, the Rays are batting .235, which is 13th in the league, but they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.
Isaac Paredes has been the Rays most consistent power threat this season, as his 15 homers lead the team and are 13th in the league. He is also batting .258 and has an on-base percentage of .360. Yandy Diaz has also been a solid run producer for the Rays, as his 46 RBIs are 2nd on the team, and he is batting .273. Over his last eight games, Brandon Lowe has gone 10/28 with two homers.
The Yankees are 59-40 overall and trail the Orioles by just one game in the AL East. New York is 17-19 against other AL East teams. The Yankees took the first game of the series vs. the Rays and have an overall series record of 17-10-3. At home, the Yankees are 26-19 this year.
As the favorite, the Yankees are 45-34 this season and 14-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Yankees are an even 5-5 over their last 10 games. So far, they have been good on the road, going 33-21.
Yankees’ run line record is 53-46, including 22-23 at home. Their average run margin is +1.1 runs per game. They are 31-23 vs. the run line on the road, and 16-4 as an underdog.
The Yankees are playing at home against the Rays today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.9, and their over/under record is 50-45. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-10-2. So far this season, 63.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Rays. Cortes has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 4-8. His ERA is 3.67, along with a WHIP of 1.12. Cortes’ last outing came on July 11th, where he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up five runs (four earned) on seven hits. Before that outing, he had pitched well, giving up a total of three earned runs in three straight starts. Cortes has a much better ERA at home, coming in at 1.88 compared to 6.31 on the road.
Not only are the Yankees the top-scoring team in the league, but they also have the best home run total in the league. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 7th in the league, and are also the top team in terms of drawing walks. The Yankees have been even better at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the Yankees’ top two hitters this season, with Judge leading the team with a batting average of .308 and 34 home runs. Soto is right behind him with a batting average of .303 and 23 homers. Soto has been hot of late, going 13/34 in his last eight games, including two homers.
Our prediction for today’s Rays vs. Yankees matchup is to take the Yankees on the money line at -154. We have the Yankees winning this one by a final score of 5-4. With the over/under line sitting at 8 runs, we like the over, as there is a bit of room in our projected score.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Nestor Cortes finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing with the 10th most among today’s starters. As for Taj Bradley, his six strikeout projection has him coming in at 11th.
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Giancarlo Stanton | Out | Hamstring |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jose Trevino | Out | Quadricep |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Díaz | Questionable | Personal |
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
| Richard Lovelady | Out | Forearm |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
