New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
At 1:35 PM ET, the Cardinals and Yankees will face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -206. The Cardinals have an overall record of 68-68, and they are +172 on the money line today. Nestor Cortes is starting for the Yankees, while the Cardinals are going with Miles Mikolas.
New York comes into this one with an overall record of 79-57 and is currently 1st in the AL East, while the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central. There does appear to be a chance of rain in New York on Sunday, with the forecasted temperature being 74 degrees.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – St. Louis Cardinals odds
New York Yankees vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Cardinals are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Yankees have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- The Yankees have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Cardinals’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 7-3 straight-up and 7-3 vs. the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs Yankees series. St. Louis went into the matchup as +142 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-5 win. The Cardinals had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Yankees, they scored four of their five runs in the 8th.
Kyle Gibson got the win for the Cardinals, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but didn’t issue a single walk. On the other side, Will Warren only went four innings for the Yankees and gave up four earned runs on five hits.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. did all he could for the Yankees, going 3/4 with a home run, but it came in a losing effort. Anthony Volpe and Austin Wells each had two hits and two RBIs for New York’s offense.
New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
St. Louis is at an even .500 on the year, as they are 68-68 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Yankees. The Cardinals are 12 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, and they are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 19-23 in divisional games.
At home, the Cardinals have gone 36-32 this year and are just below .500 at 32-36 on the road. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 35-34 this year and 33-34 when favored. St. Louis’ overall series record is 21-18-5, and they are tied in their current series vs. the Yankees.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals, it’s best to fade them as the favorite, as they are just 22-45 against the run line in those games. They are 45-24 against the run line as the underdog, and overall, they are 67-69 against the run line this season. Their average run margin is -0.4 runs per game, and they have a better run line record on the road (33-35) than at home (34-34).
The Cardinals are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.6. St. Louis has an O/U record of 65-68 on the season, and their average O/U line is 8 runs. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 12-11-1. They have played in 10 games this season where the O/U line was set higher than 9 runs, which accounts for 7.4% of their games. They have played in 102 games where the O/U line was set lower than 9 runs, which accounts for 75.0% of their games. The over has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Miles Mikolas is getting the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 8-10 with an ERA of 5.23. Mikolas’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 6.13 strikeouts per nine innings. Mikolas most recently pitched on August 27th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. He has not taken a loss in his last three outings.
Paul Goldschmidt has been on a tear for the Cardinals, going 12/22 in his last six games with six RBIs. He is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Overall, Goldschmidt is batting just .240, but his 20 homers is the 2nd most on the team. Alec Burleson has the most homers for the Cardinals this season, and his 72 RBIs are the best mark in the lineup.
St. Louis comes into the game with the league’s 24th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.1 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .247, which is the 9th best mark in the league.
With an overall record of 79-57, the Yankees lead the AL East by 1.5 games over the Orioles. The Yankees are 22-23 in divisional matchups this year. New York is 37-30 at home and have been really good on the road, going 42-27 this year. So far, they have been a good favorite, going 61-50 and 18-7 as the underdog.
New York is 25-14-4 in series this year, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall. The Yankees will be taking on the Cardinals today, and they are currently tied 1-1 in the series.
When betting on the Yankees this season, it’s been a good idea to take the run line. They’ve covered in 72 of their 136 games, and have a run line record of 41-28 on the road. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but have been a better bet on the run line when they’re the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the Yankees-Cardinals game at Yankee Stadium is right on par with their average combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. The over/under record for Yankees games this season is 74-58, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 10-15-2. This season, 65.4% of Yankees games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and the over has hit in two straight games for New York.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 8-10 with a 3.89 ERA. Cortes has pitched well recently, as he has picked up the win in each of his last three outings. In his most recent start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run on four hits. Cortes has made 12 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.25 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 22 homers.
So far this season, the Yankees have been the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 1st in on-base percentage and OPS. Overall, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. One of the reasons for their strong offensive numbers is that they are the league’s top walk-drawing team. New York is also near the top of the league in team slugging and isolated power.
Aaron Judge is not only leading the Yankees with a .330 batting average, but his 51 homers and 123 RBIs are both the best in the league. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/27 in his last eight games with three homers. Juan Soto is also a big power threat in the lineup, as his 37 homers are 4th best in the league. Soto is batting .292 for the season.
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Cardinals matchup is that the Yankees will come out on top by a score of 6-5. However, with the payout for a Yankees win being just -206, we recommend taking the over, as we have the over/under line at 9 runs, and you can get the over at -111.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Nestor Cortes going six innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Miles Mikolas, we have him going just five innings and ending the game with five K’s.
For the Cardinals lineup, they are projected to finish with eight strikeouts, and they are 19th in the league in terms of runs scored. As for the Yankees, they are projected to finish with six runs and have a team strikeout total of eight.
New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Probable | Arm |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Gil | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Michael Siani | Out | Oblique |
