New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
First pitch for Saturday’s matchup between the Cardinals and Yankees is set for 1:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York. The Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -169 compared to the Cardinals at +143. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs.
St. Louis has a record of 67-68 and they are starting Kyle Gibson, while the Yankees will have Will Warren on the mound. New York is currently leading the AL East, while the Cardinals are third in the NL Central. MLBN will be televising this interleague matchup.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – St. Louis Cardinals odds
New York Yankees vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Cardinals are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Yankees’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 6-4 against the runline.
- The Cardinals have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
New York picked up a 6-3 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a two-run lead after the first inning and scored three more runs in the 3rd. As for the Cardinals, they scored their first run in the 4th and added two more in the 8th.
Marcus Stroman started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Erick Fedde got the start for the Cardinals and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Austin Wells and Juan Soto each homered for the Yankees, while Nolan Arenado went deep for the Cardinals. Wells, Soto, and Nolan Arenado each had two hits.
New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
St. Louis is 67-68 overall and 12 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 19-23 in divisional games. The Cardinals are on the road today, hosting the Yankees, and they are 0-1 in the series.
At home, the Cardinals are 36-32 this year compared to 31-36 on the road. St. Louis has been the favorite in 67 of their games, going 33-34 in those games. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 34-34 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Cardinals are 21-18-5 this year.
The Cardinals have a run line record of 66-69 this season, and they have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 44-24. Their average run margin is -0.4 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of -0.7 runs per game on the road.
St. Louis has played in 132 games this season, and only 2 of them have had higher O/U lines than today’s 9.5. The Cardinals have gone 3-4 in those games, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season. Their O/U record for the season is 64-68, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game.
Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 4.54. Opposing batters are hitting .257 off Gibson this year, and he has a total of 10 quality starts. In his last outing, Gibson took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up more than two earned runs. Looking back further, he has allowed at least two homers in three of his last four starts.
Paul Goldschmidt has been on a tear for the Cardinals, going 11/18 in his last five games with six RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .240, but his 20 homers are 2nd on the team. Goldschmidt and Alec Burleson are both on six-game hitting streaks coming into today’s game. Burleson leads the team with 72 RBIs and is 15th in the league with 21 homers.
St. Louis comes into today’s game averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .247, which is 10th in the league, and are 18th in home runs. Overall, their slugging percentage and OPS are both below average.
The Yankees lead the AL East by 1.5 games over the Orioles and are 79-56 overall. New York took the first game of their series vs. the Cardinals and leads the series 1-0. So far, they have gone just 22-23 in AL East matchups this season.
At home, the Yankees are 37-29 this season and have been really good on the road at 42-27. New York has been tough to beat as the favorite, going 61-49, and they have been excellent as the underdog, posting an 18-7 record.
One of the best teams in baseball against the run line, the Yankees have a 72-63 mark overall, including a 31-35 record at home. They have covered the run line in 41 of 69 road games, and they have won two straight at home against the run line. They have been favored in 110 games, and they have covered the run line in 51 of those games. Their average run differential in wins is +4.2, while it is -3.6 in losses.
When the New York Yankees are at home, the over/under line for their games is typically set at 9 runs. However, today’s line is set at 9.5 runs, which is only the fifth time this season that the line has been set higher than 9 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-58 overall.
Will Warren is making his 4th start of the season for the Yankees, and he has yet to pick up a win in his first 3 outings. He has gone 5 innings in each of his first 2 starts and went just 3 innings in his last outing. Warren gave up 8 hits and 6 earned runs in his last start against the Angels.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top OPS in the league, and are 2nd in on-base percentage and slugging.
For the season, Aaron Judge is hitting .331 with 51 home runs and 123 RBIs, which both lead the league. Juan Soto is also among the league leaders in home runs and RBIs, with 37 and 96, respectively. DJ LeMahieu comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.
Our predicted final score for this Yankees and Cardinals matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Yankees. However, with the Yankees being -169 on the money line, we recommend taking the over at 9.5 runs. Our predicted over/under line is right on the money, and you can get the over at -107.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Will Warren finishing with three strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters. As for Kyle Gibson, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could take Warren’s strikeout total and take the under.
New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Gil | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Michael Siani | Out | Oblique |
