New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
At 7:05 PM ET, the Cardinals and Yankees square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line at -171. The Cardinals are +144, and the money line odds have the over/under line at 9 runs.
St. Louis will be looking to pull off the road upset with Erick Fedde on the mound, while the Yankees are starting Marcus Stroman. The Cardinals are 67-67, and they are 3rd in the NL Central, while the Yankees are 1st in the AL East. New York has lost two straight, while the Cardinals have won two in a row. MLBN is carrying this game on TV.
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New York Yankees vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Cardinals in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- The Cardinals have a 7-3 straight-up record and a 8-2 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Padres, the Cardinals closed out the series with a 4-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -113 on the money line. It was a three-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Padres could only score one run, which came in the
Sonny Gray put together a good start for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out four Padres batters. Masyn Winn was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and scoring three runs. The Cardinals also had three other players with two hits.
At 67-67, the Cardinals are 10.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central as they take on the Yankees on the road. St. Louis has gone 19-23 against other NL Central teams this season. The Cardinals have won two straight games and went 2-2 in their series with the Padres.
At home, the Cardinals are 36-32 this year, and they are just below .500 at 31-35 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 67 of their games, going 33-34 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 34-33 this year. St. Louis’ overall series record is 21-18-5 this year.
When the Cardinals win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, averaging a +2.7 run differential in those games. However, in losses, they have been outscored by an average of -3.6 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 66-68, and they have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 44-23.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road today against the New York Yankees, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Cardinals have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 63-68. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 12-11-1. Only 6.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Right-hander Erick Fedde gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.31 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Fedde has a WHIP of 1.17 and has allowed a total of 19 home runs. Fedde’s last outing came against the Twins, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. One positive note is that he has turned in 11 quality starts this year.
As a team, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the MLB. They have been a little better at home, putting up 4.3 runs per game, but their road average of 3.9 is one of the worst marks in the league. St. Louis is 21st in home runs and have the 10th best team batting average in the league.
Paul Goldschmidt comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 10/26 in his last seven games. For the season, he is batting just .236, but he does have 20 home runs. Alec Burleson is the team’s leading home run hitter with 21, and he is also batting .279 for the year. Masyn Winn has been hot of late, going 17/39 in his last nine games.
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 5-2 loss. New York was the heavy favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Nationals scored two runs in the 1st.
Offensively, the Yankees only had two fewer hits than the Nationals but scored just two runs. Both of their runs came in the 2nd inning. Jazz Chisholm Jr. had a big game, going 2/3 with a homer and a run scored. The Yankees’s other run came from Anthony Volpe, who went 2/4.
Heading into today’s matchup vs. the Cardinals, the Yankees are 78-56 overall, putting them 1.5 games ahead of the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is coming off back-to-back losses, dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Nationals. This year, they have gone 22-23 in divisional games.
The Yankees have been good on the road this year, going 42-27, and they have been above average at home, posting a record of 36-29. As the favorite, the Yankees are 60-49 this year and 18-7 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 25-14-4, and this includes going 2-1 in their most recent series vs. the Nationals.
When the Yankees are favored, they are 50-59 against the run line, but as an underdog, they are 21-4. Their overall run line record is 71-63, with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game. They are 41-28 against the run line on the road, compared to 30-35 at home.
The New York Yankees will play host to the St. Louis Cardinals in a game with an over/under line of 9 runs. The Yankees have played to an over/under record of 72-58 this season, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Yankees have gone 10-15-2, and their games have had over/under lines of 9 runs in just 14.2% of their contests this season. The under has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three games.
Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Yankees today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Rockies on August 25th, he went 5 innings, giving up 3 earned runs, and he gave up a homer in that outing. Looking back over his last three starts, Stroman has allowed at least one homer in each outing. Stroman’s ERA for the season is 3.88, along with a record of 9-6. Out of his 25 starts, Stroman has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the MLB, averaging 5.1 runs per game. This has been even better on the road, where they are averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees are batting .251, which is 7th in the league, and they also lead the league in on-base percentage and OPS.
Aaron Judge has been on an absolute tear of late, hitting seven home runs in his last 10 games while batting .353. For the season, he is batting .333 with 51 homers and 123 RBIs. Juan Soto is also a big power threat for the Yankees, as he is 2nd on the team with 37 homers and is batting .291.
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-4 in favor of the Yankees, which is why we would recommend taking them on the money line. However, with the payout sitting at -171, we could see this being a good spot to take the over, as we have the total runs at 10.
If you are looking for a potential parlay, we like the Yankees to win and the over. As for the starting pitchers, Marcus Stroman is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Erick Fedde with five.
New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- The Yankees should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Gil | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Michael Siani | Out | Oblique |
