New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Preview
Thursday’s forecast in New York calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the low 70s. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 12:35 PM ET. MLBN is carrying this game on TV.
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Yankees are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -150. The Mariners are +127 on the money line, and today’s pitching matchup is Luis Castillo for Seattle and Luis Gil for the Yankees. Seattle is 1st in the AL West, while the Yankees are 1st in the AL East.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Seattle Mariners odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mariners have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Yankees have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 7-3 against the runline.
- The Mariners have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
New York cruised to a 7-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -162 on the money line.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Bryce Miller, as he gave up just five hits and five runs in six innings of work for the Mariners. Nestor Cortes got the win for the Yankees, going five innings and not giving up a run.
Juan Soto and Aaron Judge each homered for the Yankees, while Alex Verdugo went 1/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Anthony Volpe also had a two-hit game at the plate.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is 27-23 overall and leads the AL West by three games over the Rangers. The Mariners are 6-3 against other teams in the AL West. Currently, they are on the road, leading the Yankees 2-1 in the series.
At home, the Mariners have gone 15-10 this year, and they are just below .500 at 12-13 on the road. As the underdog, Seattle is 12-12 this year and 15-11 when favored. Looking at their overall record, the Mariners have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Mariners win, they win by an average of 3.1 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Their run line record is 25-25, and they are 12-13 against the run line on the road. They are 13-11 against the run line as the underdog.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, but the over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs on average. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the over has gone 5-6-1. The over has hit in four straight games for the Mariners.
Seattle is sending right-hander Luis Castillo to the mound today as he faces the Yankees on the road. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and has a record of 4-5 with a 3.28 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Castillo has a WHIP of 1.14 and has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, Castillo finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been solid on the road, coming in with a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 3.18.
Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, as he leads the team with 11 home runs and is also 14th in the league with 28 RBIs. However, he is batting just .219 this season. Dylan Moore and Mitch Haniger are tied for 2nd on the team with six homers, but Moore is batting .252, while Haniger is hitting just .217.
Over his last eight games, Dylan Moore is hitting .360 with three homers and six RBIs. Julio Rodriguez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/33 in his last eight games. Luke Raley is also on a good stretch, going 12/31 in his last eight games.
The Yankees are 34-17 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL East. Currently, they lead the Orioles by three games for the top spot in the division. New York is the favorite to win the AL East, with their series record currently at 12-2-1, and they have won five straight series.
At home, the Yankees are 17-8 this season, and they have gone 17-9 on the road. So far, they have been good no matter where they play, as they are 25-13 as the favorite and 9-4 as the underdog. New York has been playing well lately, as they are 8-2 over their last ten games.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. That’s why they have a run line record of 28-23, including a 16-10 mark on the road. They are 12-13 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game.
The New York Yankees are back home to face the Seattle Mariners today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.1, and they have an over/under record of 22-27. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-7. So far this season, 64.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs. They are currently on a 4-game over streak.
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and is facing the Mariners at home. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 5-1 with a 2.39 ERA. Gil has been pitching well lately, as he has won his last four starts. In his most recent outing, he went six innings, giving up one earned run on five hits. Against the White Sox, he finished with 14 strikeouts. Gil has four quality starts this year and is averaging 11.39 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed just three homers. His ERA at home is 1.79 compared to 3.27 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and also have the best OPS in the league. They are also near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been the top power threats for the Yankees this season, with Soto having 13 homers and Judge with 14. Soto is batting .313 for the season, while Judge is at .268. Judge has been on fire of late, going 15/34 with five homers over his last 10 games. Anthony Volpe is also swinging a hot bat, as he has a 15-game hitting streak and is batting .302 over his last 10 games.
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Mariners matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 5-4 win at home. Given that they are at -150 on the money line, this is the route we recommend going, as there is a lot of value in this payout.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Luis Castillo going seven innings, finishing with six strikeouts, and picking up the loss. As for Luis Gil, we have him going six innings and also finishing with six K’s.
Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with eight hits and the Mariners with eight. However, the Yankees are projected to hit more home runs, with our Mariners vs. Yankees home run prediction having the Yankees as the fourth-best team in terms of home runs today.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mariners (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Foot |
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Illness |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Saucedo | Out | Knee |
