New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Preview
The forecast from New York on Wednesday calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET. AMZP will be televising this AL matchup.
The Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -154 compared to the Mariners at +129. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Nestor Cortes will be on the mound for the Yankees. The Mariners are starting Bryce Miller. Seattle is 27-22, while the Yankees are 33-17.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Seattle Mariners odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Mariners are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- The Yankees have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Mariners have won 7-3 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.
Seattle picked up a 6-3 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding four more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Yankees got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final two runs in the 7th.
Dylan Moore was the difference for the Mariners, as he homered twice, scored two runs, and finished with four RBIs. Mitch Garver also had a two-hit game for Seattle. As for the Yankees, Gleyber Torres hit a home run, while Aaron Judge went 2/4.
Bryan Woo pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going six innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Andrés Muñoz got the save. Clarke Schmidt had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is currently 27-22 overall and leads the AL West by three games over the Rangers. The Mariners have won two straight games, and these two wins have come in their series vs. the Yankees. So far, they have an overall series record of 8-6-1.
At home, the Mariners have gone 15-10 this year, and they are an even 12-12 on the road. As the underdog, the Mariners are 12-11 this year, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Seattle’s overall record as the favorite is 15-11.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet this season, going 25-24 overall. They are 13-12 against the run line at home and 12-12 on the road. The Mariners have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 13-10 against the run line as an underdog this season.
The Mariners are on the road today against the Yankees, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Seattle’s games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 19-27. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-6-1. In 53.1% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at less than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 3 games.
Right-hander Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Yankees on the road. Miller has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 3.08. In his 52 2/3 innings of work, he has allowed a total of eight home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Miller took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Miller has five quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.89 strikeouts and 2.73 walks.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.5 runs per contest. As a team, the Mariners are batting .229, which is 18th in the league, and they are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts. However, they do have the 7th most home runs in the league.
Cal Raleigh and Dylan Moore are tied for the team lead with 10 homers apiece, with Raleigh leading the team with 25 RBIs and Moore coming in 3rd with 19. Moore has been hot of late, going 7/17 with three homers over his last six games. Julio Rodriguez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/25 in his last six games.
The Yankees are 33-17 overall, good for 1st place in the AL East, leading the Orioles by 1.5 games. New York is on a two-game losing streak, having dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Mariners. So far, they have gone just 8-8 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Yankees are 16-8 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 17-9. So far, they have been favored in 37 of their games, going 24-13 as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, they are 9-4 this season. The Yankees have an overall series record of 12-2-1, and they have won five straight series.
When the Yankees are the underdog, they have been a great bet on the run line this season, going 10-3. They are also 16-10 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 1.5 runs per game. Overall, they are 27-23 on the run line, with an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game.
The New York Yankees are playing at home today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is exactly the average combined run average for the Yankees’ games this season. The over/under record for the Yankees this season is 21-27, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 5-7. The over has hit in three straight Yankees games.
Left-hander Nestor Cortes gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces off against the Mariners. Cortes has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with a 3.56 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Cortes has a WHIP of 1.05 and opponents are batting .218 this year. One interesting note is that he has turned in five quality starts this year. In his last outing, Cortes picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings.
As a team, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league this season and are also near the top of the league in terms of scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. New York comes into the game with the league’s 2nd best OPS and 3rd best on-base percentage.
Over the last nine games, Aaron Judge has been on fire for the Yankees, going 14/31 with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .267 with 13 home runs. Juan Soto and Giancarlo Stanton are also near the top of the league in home runs, with Soto batting .309 and Stanton at .250.
For this Mariners vs. Yankees matchup, we are actually predicting the Mariners to out-hit the Yankees in terms of home runs. However, we are still predicting the Yankees to pick up the win, and with the money line sitting at -154, that is the bet we recommend.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nestor Cortes finishing with six strikeouts compared to Bryce Miller with five. However, Miller is predicted to go seven innings compared to Cortes, who is projected to go just over five innings.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mariners (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Kahnle | Out | Shoulder |
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Foot |
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Illness |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Saucedo | Out | Knee |
