New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Preview
The forecast looks good for Tuesday’s Mariners vs. Yankees matchup, with the temperature sitting around 80 degrees and partly cloudy skies in New York. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET. Bryan Woo is starting for the Mariners, and the Yankees are going with Clarke Schmidt.
New York is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -159 compared to the Mariners at +134. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on RSNW. The Mariners are 1st in the AL West, while the Yankees are leading the AL East with a record of 33-16.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Seattle Mariners odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mariners have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Yankees have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a record of 7-3 straight-up, and have gone 7-3 against the runline.
- The Mariners have a 7-3 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Seattle rallied for four runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Mariners vs. Yankees series. The Mariners scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 9th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at +123 on the money line.
New York wasted a good outing from Marcus Stroman, as he gave up just one run in 7 1/3 innings of work for the Yankees. Clay Holmes took the loss.
Logan Gilbert started for the Mariners, giving up three earned runs across six innings. He finished with just one strikeout and allowed a home run. Eduard Bazardo got the win out of the bullpen, and Andrés Muñoz got the save.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is 26-22 overall and leads the AL West by two games over the Rangers. So far, they have gone 6-3 against other teams in the AL West. The Mariners are playing this one on the road, where they are 11-12 this year. They have been better at home, going 15-10.
So far, the Mariners have been good as the favorite, going 15-11, and they are an even 11-11 as the underdog. Seattle has taken the first game of this series vs. the Yankees, giving them an overall series record of 8-6-1. Heading into today’s game, the Mariners are 6-4 over their last 10.
Seattle’s run line record is 24-24, and they have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog (12-10) than as the favorite (12-14). The Mariners’ average run margin in winning games is 3.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.
The Mariners have played 45.8% of their games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record is 18-27. In their last 10 games, the over has hit in 6 of them. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs, and their combined run average for the season is 7.5 runs. In their last game, the over/under line was 8 runs, and the game had 9 runs scored.
Bryan Woo is getting the start for the Mariners on the road against the Yankees. He has made two starts so far this season, picking up a win in his first outing, where he went 5 1/3 innings and struck out 5. In his last start, he went 4 1/3 innings and did not allow a run.
Julio Rodríguez has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mariners, going 13/41 over his last 10 games. This stretch has pushed his season average to .274, and he is currently on an eight-game hitting streak. Cal Raleigh has been the team’s top power threat so far, as his 10 homers are 7th best in the league. He also leads the Mariners with 25 RBIs.
Over his last 10 games, Dylan Moore has gone 9/31 with two homers and eight RBIs. Luke Raley has also been on a tear, going 15/33 in his last nine games. Raley has two homers and six RBIs during this stretch.
With a record of 33-16, the Yankees lead the AL East by two games over the Orioles. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional games. The Yankees have been really good at home this season, going 16-7, and they have also been strong on the road at 17-9.
As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 24-12 this year, and they are 9-4 as the underdog. Currently, they have an overall series record of 12-2-1, and the Yankees have won five straight series. Their most recent series loss came at home vs. the Rays.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 2.5 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 27-22, but they are just 11-12 against the run line at home. As the underdog, they are 10-3 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 17-19.
The over/under line for the Yankees’ game against the Mariners today is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than the 8.1 combined runs per game they have averaged this season. The over/under record for Yankees games this season is 20-27, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the record is 2-3, and 87.8% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs.
Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt has been pitching well this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 2.49. Schmidt most recently faced the Twins, where he picked up the win after going eight innings and not giving up a run. In his outing before that, he went 6 2/3 innings without giving up a run. Schmidt has made two quality starts in a row and has a total of five this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.77 strikeouts compared to 2.66 walks. At home, his ERA is 4.08, and he is 2-0.
As a team, the Yankees are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 2nd ranked home run hitting team and are 2nd in team OPS. New York is also one of the league’s better hitting teams in terms of batting average and on-base percentage.
Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton have been two of the Yankees’ top power threats this season, with both players having 11 homers. Judge is batting .271 for the season and has gone 12/24 with three homers over his last seven games. Stanton is also on a good stretch, going 9/24 with three homers over his last six games.
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Mariners matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 5-4 win. With the payout for a Yankees win on the money line sitting at -159, this is the best way to play this game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bryan Woo has a couple of starting pitchers projected stats. He has Clarke Schmidt finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters. As for Woo’s projections for Schmidt’s final line, he has him going 5.2 innings, giving up four runs, and finishing with seven K’s.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mariners (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Kahnle | Out | Shoulder |
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Foot |
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Illness |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Saucedo | Out | Knee |
