New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
Carlos Rodon and the Yankees will host the Pirates on Friday, with the game getting started at 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The Yankees are currently 93-66 and are 1st in the AL East, while the Pirates are 74-85 and 5th in the NL Central.
New York is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -180 compared to the Pirates at +152. Friday’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the game will be televised on SN PT.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Pittsburgh Pirates odds
New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Pirates have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Yankees have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Pirates have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Pirates’ third straight loss. Pittsburgh was the +102 underdog at home going into the game.
Mitch Keller got the start for the Pirates and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits. Bryan De La Cruz had a rough outing out of the bullpen, allowing two runs on four hits in just one inning of work. The Pirates also wasted a big game from Bryan De La Cruz, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/4.
Pittsburgh is on the road today, with an overall record of 74-85, which puts them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Reds by two games for 4th place in the division and are 17 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Pirates have dropped four straight series and are just 20-25-6 in series play this year.
At home, the Pirates are 39-42 this year and 35-43 on the road. As the underdog, Pittsburgh is 40-57 this year and 34-28 when favored. They are also coming off a series vs. the Brewers, where they lost two of three games. Heading into today’s game, the Pirates have gone just 3-7 over their last ten.
When the Pirates win, they do so by an average of 3.1 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Pittsburgh has been a good run line bet this season, going 84-75 overall, including a 45-33 mark on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 60-37 against the run line, compared to 24-38 as the favorite.
The Pirates are on the road against the Yankees today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Pittsburgh’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-81. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-20. Overall, 49.1% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, and their under streak is currently at 2 games.
Pittsburgh is sending right-hander Jared Jones to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-8 with an ERA of 4.14. Jones’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Reds. Looking back further, he has allowed at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Jones has given up a homer in each of his last two outings. Opponents are batting .227 off Jones this season.
Over the past seven games, Oneil Cruz has gone just 4/24 at the plate, but he does have two homers during that stretch. Cruz is 2nd on the Pirates with 21 homers this season. Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz are the Pirates’ top two power threats, with Reynolds leading the team with 22 homers, and Cruz right behind him with 21 homers. Reynolds also leads the Pirates with 85 RBIs, while Cruz is 2nd on the team with 76 RBIs.
Overall, the Pirates are 24th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They have been even worse in terms of home runs, as they are 22nd in the league and are near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. Pittsburgh’s team batting average is just .235, which is 18th in the MLB.
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Orioles, closing out their series with a 10-1 win. After allowing one run to the Orioles in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with a run of their own and added another six runs in the 2nd inning. New York went on to close things out with a 3-run 6th.
Gerrit Cole put together a good start for the Yankees, going 6 2/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Orioles batters. Giancarlo Stanton was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and four RBIs.
The Yankees are 93-66 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by five games over the Orioles. New York’s lead is a bit misleading, as they are just 26-26 against other teams in the division. The Yankees kick off their series vs. the Pirates today at home, where they are 43-35 this season.
As for how they have fared on the road, the Yankees have been excellent, going 50-31. They have also been really good as the favorite this year, putting together a mark of 75-58. New York has also been tough to beat as the home favorite, going 42-33 this season. The Yankees’ overall series record is 30-17-4, and they have won three straight series on the road.
When the Yankees win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. They have a run line record of 83-76, and have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 49-32. As the favorite, they are just 61-72 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 22-4.
When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 9 runs per game. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 84-70. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 12-16-2. In games with lines set at 8 runs, the over has hit in 12 of 30 games. Overall, 67.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and the over has hit in two straight games.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and is looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Athletics on September 21st, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, Rodón has made 31 appearances and 16 of them have been quality starts. His record for the season is 16-9, and his ERA is 3.98. Out of his 29 homers allowed, 16 have come at home. Rodón’s ERA at home is 3.6 compared to 5.25 on the road.
The Yankees come into the game as the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also 3rd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The team’s on-base percentage of .333 is the 2nd best mark in the league, and they are also the most patient team in the league, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Judge leading the league with 58 homers and Soto’s 41 homers ranking 4th in the MLB.
Not only has Aaron Judge been the league’s top power hitter this season, but he has also been red hot of late, going 8/18 with five homers over his last six games. Gleyber Torres has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/29 in his last six games. DJ LeMahieu and Anthony Rizzo will look to extend their respective five and three-game hitting streaks.
Our prediction for today’s Pirates vs. Yankees matchup is to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 8 runs. We have the Yankees winning this one 5-4, giving us some room on the over/under line.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for seventh among all starters. As for Jared Jones, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the lowest among all starters.
New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Pirates (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Hip |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | Out | Personal |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Nestor Cortes | Out | Elbow |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Cousins | Out | Pectoral |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Oviedo | Out | Elbow |
| Marco Gonzales | Out | Forearm |
| Ke’Bryan Hayes | Out | Back |
| Ben Heller | Out | Shoulder |
| Daulton Jefferies | Out | Elbow |
| Dauri Moreta | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Nicolas | Out | Side |
| Henry Davis | Out | Hand |
| Hunter Stratton | Out | Knee |
| Endy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
