New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 7/24/2024

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There does appear to be a chance of rain for Wednesday’s Yankees vs. Mets game, as the forecasted temperature is 72 degrees in New York. The game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Mets are 52-48 compared to the Yankees, who are 60-43.</

Sean Manaea will go for the Mets, while the Yankees are starting Gerrit Cole. The Mets are 3rd in the NL East, while the Yankees are 2nd in the AL East. There is a money line odds of -168 compared to the Mets at +141. The over/under line is 8.5 runs, and ESPN will be televising this interleague matchup.

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New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• The Mets are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• On the opposing side, the Yankees have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Yankees have won 4-6 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Mets have won 7-3 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.

New York picked up a 3-2 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense only had two more hits than the Yankees and struck out 11 times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at +131 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jose Quintana for the Mets and Luis Gil for the Yankees. Quintana only went five innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. On the other side, Gil also went five innings and gave up one earned run on four hits.

Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso each had two hits and two RBIs for the Mets’ offense. Gleyber Torres hit the game’s only home run and went 1/3 for the Yankees.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets are 52-48 overall and trail the Phillies by 11.5 games in the NL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 18-14 against other NL East teams. New York has won two straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last ten contests. Their most recent win came in the first game of this series vs. the Yankees.

At home, the Mets are an even 26-26 this year, and they have gone 26-22 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets are 20-22 this year and 32-26 when favored. Their overall series record is 15-13-6 this season.

The Mets have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 26-22 against the number. They have covered in two straight games and have an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game away from home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 25-17 against the run line in those games.

Today’s over/under line for the New York Mets’ game against the New York Yankees is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below their season average of 9.5 combined runs per game. The Mets have played 24 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 17-11. Overall, the over has hit in 53 of the Mets’ 97 games this season.

Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Yankees on the road. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 6-4. Manaea’s ERA for the season is 3.73, along with a WHIP of 1.24. In his last outing, Manaea took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Manaea has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 8.62 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging 3.64 walks per nine innings.

As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the majors. Collectively, the Mets have the 7th best on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the league.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, as they are both tied for 1st on the team with 19 homers. Lindor comes into the game with an eight-game hitting streak and is batting .256 for the season. Over his last eight games, Jose Iglesias is batting .545, while Jeff McNeil has four homers in his last nine games.

The Yankees are 60-43 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 18-21 in divisional games. The team is currently trailing the Mets in the series, with their overall series record being 18-10-4 this year.

At home, the Yankees are 27-22 this year and have been really good on the road at 33-21. As the favorite, New York has gone 46-37 and 14-6 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

When it comes to betting the run line on the New York Yankees, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 54-49 overall, but just 23-26 at home. They have a run differential of +1.0 on the season, and that number is slightly higher on the road at +1.4. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 16-4 compared to 38-45 as the favorite. In their wins, they are winning by an average of 4.1 runs, but in their losses, they are losing by an average of 3.3 runs.

When the Yankees and Mets meet at Yankee Stadium, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees have played 73 games with an average combined run total of 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 53-46, and they have played 24 games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, going over in 26 of those games. In total, 35% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs.

Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees today vs. the Mets and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Rays on July 19th, Cole went 6 innings, giving up just 1 earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Cole has made 6 starts, has a record of 3-1, and an ERA of 4.60. Opponents are batting .261 off Cole this season, and his WHIP is 1.40. So far, he has turned in 2 quality starts and is averaging 10.43 strikeouts per nine innings. Cole’s ERA at home is 4.77 compared to 5.6 on the road.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the best home run hitter in the league in Aaron Judge, who has gone deep 35 times this season. As a team, they are 2nd in runs scored and are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.6 at home. Overall, the Yankees are batting .247, which is 9th in the league.

Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been two of the league’s top hitters this season, with Soto batting .308 and Judge at .309. Judge also leads the league in RBIs, with 89, and Soto is 5th in the league with 71 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Soto is hitting .406 with three homers.

Our pick for today’s Mets vs. Yankees game is to take the Mets on the money line, with the payout being +141. We have the Mets winning this one by a final score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gerrit Cole finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Sean Manaea, who we have finishing with five. Cole is projected to go 6.2 innings, while Manaea is projected to go 5.1.

Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with eight hits compared to the Yankees with seven. However, the Yankees are projected to hit more home runs than the Mets.

If you’re looking for a prediction on the over/under line, we would take the over, as we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• We like the Mets on the moneyline (+141)
• The Mets are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

New York Yankees Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report