New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 7/23/2024

New York Yankees vs New York Mets Preview

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets on Tuesday, and he will be facing off against Luis Gil and the Yankees. This interleague matchup has a first pitch time of 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The Yankees are 2nd in the AL East, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East.

New York is looking to gain some ground on the Phillies and Braves, who are tied for the top spot in the NL East. However, the money line odds have the Yankees as the favorite at -159, while the odds for a Mets win are sitting at +134. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and YES will be televising Tuesday’s game.

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New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• 2-3 is the record of Mets in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Yankees have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• As the favorite, the Yankees are 4-6 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Mets have won 7-3 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Mets closed out the series with a 6-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -148. Offensively, the Mets scored their six runs on json11 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

David Peterson got the start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win. The Mets’s bullpen was a little shaky, as the Marlins scored two runs in the 8th to tie things up. However, Edwin Diaz was able to close things out in the 9th, and the Mets picked up the win.

New York is 51-48 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East, 11.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. They are also 11.5 games behind the Braves for 2nd place in the division. The Mets have gone 18-14 in divisional games this year.

The Mets have been playing well lately, going 7-3 across their last 10 games. At home, they are an even 26-26 this year and have gone 25-22 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets have an overall record of 19-22 and 32-26 when favored. New York’s overall series record is 15-13-6, and they split their most recent series vs. the Marlins.

When betting on the Mets to cover the run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog. They are 24-17 against the run line when getting points. They are just 22-36 when favored.

With a combined run average of 9.5, the Mets and Yankees have a higher average than the over/under line of 8.5 runs for today’s game. The Mets have played 23 games with higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for those games is 17-11. Overall, the Mets have a 53-43 over/under record this season.

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 4.13. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work vs. the Rockies. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Nationals and not allowing a run in seven innings of work. Quintana has made seven quality starts this season and is averaging 6.95 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 8th in the league in runs per game, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.2 runs per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Overall, the Mets are the league’s 5th best home run-hitting team and have the 8th best team batting average in the league.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are tied for the team lead with 19 home runs apiece, and Lindor is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Over his last five games, Lindor is 10/18, while Jose Iglesias has also been hot, going 10/18 in his last five games. Brandon Nimmo is the team’s current leader in RBIs, with 63, and he is also 2nd on the team in homers (16).

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rays, closing out their series with a 9-1 win. After allowing one run to the Rays in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with two runs of their own. New York went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.

Starting for the Yankees was Carlos Rodon, who picked up the win while tossing seven innings of one-run ball. He also finished with 10 K’s and issued just two walks. The Yankees’s offense was carried by Juan Soto, who went 3/5 with two homers and four RBIs.

The Yankees are 60-42 overall and trail the Orioles by 1.5 games for the AL East lead. New York will host the Mets today, and they are 27-21 at home this season. On the road, the Yankees have gone 33-21, which is the second-best road record in the American League.

So far, the Yankees have gone just 18-21 in divisional games. New York’s overall series record is 18-10-4, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games, which includes splitting their most recent series with the Rays.

When betting the run line on the Yankees, it’s been profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 16-4. They have been a better run line bet on the road, where they are 31-23 compared to 23-25 at home. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3.

With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the New York Yankees have gone over that mark in 26 of their 43 games this season. The Yankees have an over/under record of 53-45 this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. The over has hit in each of their last three games.

Luis Gil will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Orioles, he only gave up five hits and issued one walk. Looking back further, Gil had a rough stretch where he gave up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. His ERA for the season is 3.17, along with a record of 10-5. Gil’s WHIP for the season is 1.08. Out of his 19 starts, he has nine quality starts and is averaging 10.38 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of nine homers.

Not only are the Yankees the top-scoring team in the league this season, but they also have the best home run total in the league. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league, and they have the top on-base percentage in the league. New York is also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.

Both Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been swinging the bat well of late, with Soto going 15/33 in his last seven games, and Judge is 9/22 over the same stretch. Judge comes into the game as the league’s top home run hitter, with 35 long balls, and is also 1st in the league in RBIs. Soto is 2nd on the team with 25 homers and is 4th in the league in RBIs.

With the Yankees at -159 on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to take advantage of the payout. We have the Yankees winning this one 6-5, giving us some room to take the Yankees on the run line if you prefer.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jose Quintana going 2 innings and finishing with four strikeouts. As for Luis Gil, we have him going 5 2/3 innings and finishing with six K’s.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Mets (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

New York Yankees Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report