New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Preview
Carlos Rodon and the White Sox are +161 underdogs as they head to New York to take on the Yankees, who are 43-19 and have won six straight. This AL matchup has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the forecasted temperature in New York is 78 degrees with scattered clouds.
The Twins are starting Chris Paddack, and they are 33-27 overall, which has them 3rd in the AL Central. The Yankees are heavily favored at -191 and are 1st in the AL East. BSN is carrying this game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Minnesota Twins odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Twins have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 5-0 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Yankees have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Twins’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
It was all New York in the last game of this series, as the Yankees took down the Twins by a score of 5-1. The Yankees offense only had two more hits than the Twins and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -181 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Luis Gil for the Yankees and Bailey Ober for the Twins. Gil went six innings and didn’t give up a run as he picked up a win in the game. Ober lasted just five innings and gave up three earned runs, taking the loss.
New York’s two biggest hitters in this game were Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge. Stanton went 1/4 with a home run, while Judge was 2/3 with an RBI. Both players scored twice for the Yankees’ offense.
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Minnesota is 33-27 overall and trails the Guardians by seven games in the AL Central. The Twins are 15-11 against other teams in their division. So far, they have been good both at home (16-13) and on the road (17-14).
As the favorite, the Twins have gone 25-13 this year and 8-14 as the underdog. Currently, they have a four-game winning streak in series matchups and are 11-6-2 overall. Minnesota’s series winning streak on the road is at two heading into today’s game vs. the Yankees.
When the Twins win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. Their run line record is 28-32 overall, 17-14 on the road, 11-18 at home, 17-21 as the favorite, and 11-11 as the underdog.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road to face the New York Yankees in a game with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The Twins have an over/under record of 25-33 this season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-11. The under has hit in their last four games.
Right-hander Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 4.57. Paddack’s WHIP for the season is 1.38, and he has turned in three quality starts. Paddack’s last outing came on May 30th vs. the Royals, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, and two homers. He has not won a game since May 19th.
For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Twins are batting .229, which is 17th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .302 is also below the league average.
Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ top power hitter this season, as his 12 home runs are 8th in the league and the most on the team. However, he is hitting just .246 for the season and has gone 3/13 in his last four games. Carlos Santana is 2nd on the team with eight homers but is batting just .215 this season.
The Yankees are 43-19 overall and lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. New York has won six straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. So far, they have gone just .500 in AL East matchups, putting their record at 8-8.
At home, the Yankees are 19-8 this season, and they have been even better on the road at 24-11. New York has been tough to beat as the favorite this season, putting together a mark of 32-15. As for their record as the underdog, they are 11-4 this season. The Yankees have won three straight at home, and they are 15-2-2 in series this year.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. They have been even better against the run line, going 36-26 overall and 22-13 on the road. They are 14-13 at home against the run line, and they have covered the run line in their last three home games and in four straight games overall.
The Yankees are playing at home against the Twins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Yankees games this season is 8.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 27-33. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-11. So far this season, 41.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or lower.
Carlos Rodón has been pitching well for the Yankees, as he has won his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Angels on May 30th and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. In his outing vs. the Angels, he gave up one homer. Looking back at his last four starts, Rodón has given up at least one homer in each outing. Rodón’s ERA for the season is 3.09, along with a record of 7-2. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging 2.69 walks per nine innings compared to 8.33 strikeouts.
As a team, the Yankees are the best home run-hitting team in the league and are also near the top of the league in most offensive categories. This includes having the best OPS in the league and the best on-base percentage. They are also 2nd in slugging percentage and have the 2nd best isolated power figure in the league.
Both Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been swinging the bat well of late, with Soto hitting .344 and Judge batting .394 over their last nine games. Judge has also gone deep five times in this stretch, while Soto has three home runs. For the season, Judge leads the MLB with 21 homers, and Soto is 3rd in the league with 53 RBIs.
We see the best value in this Twins vs. Yankees matchup being on the over/under line, with the line set at 8.5 runs. Our prediction is that the Yankees will take this one by a score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you want to take the over.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Chris Paddack finishing with six strikeouts compared to Carlos Rodón with eight. However, Rodón is projected to finish with a better ERA, as we have him giving up just two runs compared to Paddack at three.
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Twins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
