New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Preview
The forecast for Tuesday’s Twins vs. Yankees game calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the low 80s. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET. YES will be televising this game, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line at -171. The Twins are +145, and the over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Minnesota will be starting Bailey Ober, while the Yankees are sending Luis Gil to the mound. New York is 42-19 and has won five straight, while the Twins are 33-26 and are 3rd in the AL Central. The Yankees are also in first place in the AL East.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Minnesota Twins odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Twins are 4-1. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Yankees have a 5-0 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 8-2, while going 7-3 against the runline.
- The Twins have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
The Twins are coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Astros with a 4-3 win. Minnesota was the +128 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Twins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 2nd.
Simeon Woods Richardson got the start for the Twins, going 4 1/3 innings, and took the loss. He gave up three earned runs on just three hits and issued two walks. The Twins’s offense was carried by Jose Miranda, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Minnesota is 33-26 overall, putting them six games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 15-11 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins are opening their series on the road, and they are 17-13 on the road compared to 16-13 at home.
The Twins have won four straight series, and they have an overall series record of 11-6-2. They have been good as the favorite this year, going 25-13, and they are 8-13 as the underdog. Minnesota has been playing well coming into this one, going 7-3 over their last 10 games.
Minnesota has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 17-13. The Twins have an overall run line record of 28-31, and they have been the favorite in 38 of those games, going 17-21. Their average run differential is +0.1 runs per game, but that number jumps to +0.4 on the road.
Minnesota Twins games have been high-scoring this season, with a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 25-32, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-8. Recently, the under has hit in three straight games for the Twins.
Right-hander Bailey Ober is getting the start for the Twins today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 5-3 with an ERA of 4.89. Opponents have hit .237 off Ober this year, and his WHIP is currently 1.10. In his 11 starts, Ober has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 9.16 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Ober took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Carlos Santana has been a disappointment for the Twins this season, batting just .215, but he does have the 2nd most home runs on the team with eight. Ryan Jeffers has been a bright spot for the Twins, as his 12 homers is the best mark on the team and 8th best in the league. Jeffers also comes into the game with the top RBI total for the Twins at 36. Over his last four games, Trevor Larnach has three homers and six RBIs, going 4/15.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 11th best in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, the Twins are 8th in home runs and have the 4th best isolated power figure in the league.
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Giants, closing out their series with a 7-5 win. After allowing one run to the Giants in the 2nd inning, the Yankees responded with a run of their own and added another in the 5th. New York’s big inning came in the 9th, as they scored four runs to close things out. Going into the game, the Yankees were the slight favorite at -136 on the money line.
Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees, going 4 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also issued just three hits and three runs, all of which were earned in the 2nd inning. The Yankees’s offense was carried by Juan Soto, who went 3/5 with two homers and four RBIs.
The Yankees come into today’s game vs. the Twins with an overall record of 42-19, which has them leading the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. New York is on a five-game winning streak, and they are 8-2 over their last 10 games. At home, the Yankees are 18-8 this year and 24-11 on the road.
As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 31-15 this year, and they are 11-4 as the underdog. Looking at their series record, the Yankees are 15-2-2 this year and have won three straight series overall. New York closed out their series vs. the Giants with three straight wins.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. That’s helped them to a 35-26 run line record, including 22-13 on the road. They’ve been even better against the run line as the underdog, going 12-3. Their run line record as the favorite is just 23-23.
The New York Yankees are at home today against the Minnesota Twins. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 8.0 runs per game. The Yankees’ over/under record for the season is 27-32, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 5-5. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 80.3% of their games have had higher lines than today’s line of 7.5 runs. Their current over streak is at 4 games.
New York starter Luis Gil has been dominant this season, coming into the game with a record of 7-1 and an ERA of 1.99. He has made 11 starts this year and has turned in six quality starts. Gil’s most recent outing was a gem, as he went eight innings and gave up just one earned run on two hits. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Gil has won each of his last three starts. Opponents are batting just .130 this season off Gil, and his ERA at home is 1.43 compared to 2.91 on the road.
The Yankees come into today’s game as the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also 1st in team OPS and on-base percentage. So far, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. The team’s batting average of .256 is 4th in the league, and they have been very good at avoiding strikeouts.
Both Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been swinging the bat well of late, with Judge going 7/18 in his last five games with four homers, and Soto is also 8/18 in that stretch with two homers. Soto comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .322, and Judge is right behind him at .288. Judge’s 21 homers are the most in the league, and Soto is 3rd in the MLB with 53 RBIs.
We do see the Yankees picking up a win in this one, and with the money line payout being -171, there is not a lot of value there. Instead, we will be looking to the over/under, and we see the Yankees winning this one 5.1 – 5. With the line being set at 7.5 runs, we recommend taking the over.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, we have Luis Gil going 5.2 innings and picking up six strikeouts. As for Bailey Ober, he is projected to go 4.1 innings and finish with five K’s.
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Twins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
| Royce Lewis | Out | Quadricep |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
