New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Preview
Carlos Rodon and the Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line today at -182, while the Royals, who are starting Brady Singer, are the underdog at +154. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and YES will be televising this AL matchup.
First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET, and the forecast for Monday’s game calls for temperatures in the mid to upper 70s with partly cloudy skies. The Royals are 79-65, while the Yankees are 82-61 and New York leads the AL East.
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New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Royals have recorded a 0-5 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Yankees have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a record of 4-6 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Royals have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
To close out their series vs. the Twins, the Royals picked up a 2-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -122 on the money line. It was a good performance all around, as their offense scored two runs on six hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Michael Wacha put together a really good start for the Royals, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out seven Twins batters. Kansas City’s bullpen closed things out with Lucas Erceg picking up the save.
Kansas City is 79-65 overall and 2.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Royals head into today’s game on a four-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the Twins with three straight wins. So far, they have gone 33-16 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Royals are 45-30 this season, and they are just above .500 at 34-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 46-26 this season, and they are 18-26 as the road underdog. Kansas City’s overall series record is 21-23-2, and they have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games.
When the Royals are on the road, they are 37-32 against the run line this season, and they have covered the run line in two straight road games. Their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game on the road, and they are 38-34 against the run line as the favorite and 42-30 as the underdog.
When the Kansas City Royals are on the road, the over/under line for their games is set at an average of 8 runs. The over/under record for the Royals this season is 64-75, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-25. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.8 runs, and their games have gone under the total in four straight contests.
Brady Singer will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Guardians, as he finished with the loss after giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up five hits and issued two walks. Looking back over his last four outings, Singer has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss before picking up the win vs. the Reds on August 18th. His ERA for the season is 3.35, along with a record of 9-10. Singer has made 28 starts, and opponents are batting .248 this season vs. the right-hander.
For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is good for 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest, which is the 3rd best mark in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 7th in the league.
Over his last 10 games, Bobby Witt Jr. has gone just 7/38, but he does have two homers in that stretch. For the season, he is batting .336 with 30 homers and 98 RBIs. Salvador Perez is also having a strong season, with 25 homers and 95 RBIs to go along with a batting average of .270.
New York closed out their series vs. the Cubs with a 2-1 loss on the road. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Cubs scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th. The Yankees were the -159 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Gerrit Cole was excellent for the Yankees, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out seven Cubs batters. However, the Yankees couldnjson’t close things out, and Cole took the loss. The Yankees also wasted a big game from DJ LeMahieu, who went 1-3 with a run scored.
The Yankees are 82-61 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL East. They hold a half-game lead over the Orioles and are 22-23 in divisional matchups. New York is 37-31 at home this season and have been really good on the road, going 45-30.
So far, the Yankees have been the favorite in 118 games, where they are 64-54. As for their games as the underdog, they are 18-7 this season. New York’s series record is 26-16-4, and they won their most recent series vs. the Cubs. The Yankees closed out the series with a win but are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line, the Yankees have been a better play on the road this season, going 44-31 compared to 31-37 at home. They have been a profitable play as an underdog, going 21-4, but have struggled as a favorite, going 54-64. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1, while in losing games, it’s -3.6.
When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and they have gone over that total in 31 of 50 games. The combined run average in their games is 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 78-61. Their current under streak is at three games.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and comes into the game with a record of 14-9 and an ERA of 4.20. So far this season, he has made 28 starts and 14 of them have been quality starts. Rodón’s ERA at home is 3.68, and he has a record of 8-2 at home. The left-hander’s ERA on the road is 5.56, and he has a record of 6-7 on the road. In his last outing, Rodón finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on 11 strikeouts. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.
As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are the top home run hitting team in the league and have the 2nd best isolated power figure in the league. New York’s lineup is also very patient, as they lead the MLB in walks.
Over his last seven games, Giancarlo Stanton has hit just .154 for the Yankees, but he does have two homers in that stretch. Gleyber Torres has been hot of late, going 10/28 in his last seven games. Torres also comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak.
With the Yankees being the predicted winner, we would recommend taking the over in this one, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Yankees, meaning there is some good value in taking the over at -104.
Offensively, the Yankees are projected to hit three home runs compared to the Royals, who are projected to finish with just one. However, the Yankees are predicted to finish with the sixth-most strikeouts in the league today, while the Royals are in the middle of the pack.
New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Royals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Kansas City Royals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Will Smith | Out | Back |
Michael Lorenzen | Out | Hamstring |
Hunter Harvey | Out | Back |
Josh Taylor | Out | Biceps |
Kyle Wright | Out | Shoulder |
Vinnie Pasquantino | Out | Thumb |