New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Preview
At 5:05 from Yankee Stadium in New York, we have an American League matchup between the Astros and Yankees. Heading into Thursday’s game, the Astros are 12-24, while the Yankees are 25-13. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Yankees are the favorite on the money line at -129.
Thursday’s forecast looks good in New York, with the temperature being in the mid-70s and partly cloudy skies. Marcus Stroman is starting for the Yankees, and he is facing off against Ronel Blanco for the Astros. You can catch this one on TV on the MLB Network.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Houston Astros odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Astros have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Yankees have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- The Yankees have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- The Astros have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
New York cruised to a 9-4 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their eleven runs. As for the Astros, they scored their only four runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -160 on the money line.
Carlos Rodón got the win for the Yankees, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. Spencer Arrighetti had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.
Juan Soto and Aaron Judge each homered for the Yankees, while Jeremy Peña went deep for the Astros. Soto, Judge, and Giancarlo Stanton each had three hits and three RBIs.
New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction
The Astros are 12-24 overall this season, and they have dropped four straight games heading into today’s matchup at the Yankees. Houston is 8.5 games behind the Rangers in the AL West and are in 5th place in the division. So far, they have gone 5-5 in divisional games.
At home, the Astros are 7-12 compared to 5-12 on the road. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going just 3-9 this season. As the underdog, the Astros have an overall record of 2-5, and they are 10-19 as the favorite this year. Their overall series record is 4-6-1.
When the Astros win, they win big, averaging a +5.0 run margin. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.8 runs. Overall, their run line record is 12-24, with a -0.9 run differential. They are 5-12 ATS on the road, where they have a -2.2 run differential.
When the Astros play, the over/under line is often set high. In 66.7% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 13-21 for the season. In their last three games, the over has hit each time, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 4-4.
Ronel Blanco gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Yankees on the road. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 3-0 with an ERA of 2.10. Blanco’s WHIP for the season is currently .96, and opponents are batting .158 off him this year. Blanco has one complete game shutout this year and has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, Blanco finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. He did give up two homers in that outing. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. However, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Astros are batting .256, which is 5th in the league, and they also do a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league.
Jose Altuve has been swinging a hot bat for the Astros, coming into the game with a team-best batting average of .331. Kyle Tucker leads the team with 11 home runs, which is 2nd in the league. However, he is hitting just .276 in his last seven games. Tucker has also gone deep four times in this stretch.
The Yankees are hosting the Astros today with an overall record of 25-13, and they have won five straight games, spanning back to the final game before the All-Star break. Currently, they are tied with the Orioles for the AL East lead, and these two teams will face off in their next series.
So far, the Yankees have gone just 6-7 in AL East games. At home, they are 13-5 this season compared to 12-8 on the road. New York has been favored in 27 of their games, and they are 18-9 in those matchups. As for how they have done as the underdog, the Yankees are 7-4 this year.
When the Yankees win, they do so by an average of 3.5 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 2.5 runs. Their overall run line record is 19-19, and they are 8-10 against the run line at home. They have covered the run line in four straight games and are 11-9 against the run line on the road.
With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the New York Yankees have seen their games go over the total in 10 of 17 contests when the line has been set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and they have an over/under record of 16-20 overall. Their last four games have all gone over the total, including their last two against the Astros, which both saw 13 runs scored.
New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Astros. Stroman has made two quality starts in a row and has a record of 2-1 this season with a 3.40 ERA. So far, he has made seven starts and allowed a total of five home runs. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is 1.43. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings vs. the Tigers and giving up one earned run. Stroman only issued one walk in that outing. Per nine innings, he is averaging 4.86 walks compared to 8.51 strikeouts.
So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league. As a team, they are batting .251.
Juan Soto has been the Yankees’ best hitter this season, batting .338 with a team-high nine home runs and 33 RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak, going 13/31 in his last eight games. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton have both been good run producers this season, but they are hitting just .236 and .228, respectively.
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Astros matchup is for the Yankees to pick up a 6-5 win. With the money line sitting at -129 in favor of the Yankees, this is the best way to go about this game.
Looking at some of the projections, we have Marcus Stroman finishing with four strikeouts, and his chances of picking up a win are the third best among today’s starters. As for Ronel Blanco, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts and has the highest ERA among today’s starters.
New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Astros (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Kahnle | Out | Shoulder |
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Foot |
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Oswald Peraza | Out | Shoulder |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pressly | Questionable | Back |
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Arm |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Neck |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Chas McCormick | Out | Hamstring |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| Grae Kessinger | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Forearm |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
