New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Betting Tips 8/22/2024

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Preview

Thursday’s matchup between the Guardians and Yankees is set to get started at 1:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The Guardians are 73-53 and are starting Gavin Williams, while the Yankees are 74-53 and will have Gerrit Cole on the mound.

New York is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -169 compared to the Guardians at +143. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game will be televised on YES.

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New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Guardians have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 4-1 record.
• The Yankees have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Guardians have won 2-8 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.

New York cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 4th inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Guardians, they scored their only run in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -201 on the money line.

Nestor Cortes pitched well for the Yankees in this one, going seven innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Joey Cantillo had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto each homered for the Yankees, while Gleyber Torres went 2/4 with two RBIs. Jhonkensy Noel hit the lone home run for the Guardians, going 2/3.

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Cleveland is 73-53 overall this season, and they lead the AL Central by 2.5 games over the Royals. The Guardians are 21-17 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they have been good at home, going 38-20, and they have gone 35-33 on the road.

The Guardians have been good as the favorite this season, putting together a record of 50-26. As the underdog, Cleveland is 23-27 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 23-12-5. Cleveland is coming off a series loss to the Tigers but have bounced back to take the first two games of this series vs. the Yankees.

When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have a run line record of 35-33, which is slightly better than their overall run line record of 62-64. They have a run line record of 29-21 as the underdog and 33-43 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2.

The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. The Guardians have gone over the total in 60 of their 117 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 12-10-5. Their last two games have gone over the total.

Cleveland is sending Gavin Williams to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 2-5 and an ERA of 5.02. Looking at his overall numbers, Williams has made nine starts, and opponents are batting .260 this year. Williams has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 9.84 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Williams took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Williams’ ERA at home is 9.15 compared to 2.91 on the road.

For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 15th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .308 is also below the league average. However, they have done a good job of limiting strikeouts and are 4th in the league in this category.

Jose Ramirez has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 32 homers are 6th in the league and leads the Guardians. He also has 101 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league. However, he and Josh Naylor have both struggled at the plate of late, with each going just 2/20 in their last five games.

The Yankees are currently tied with the Orioles for the AL East lead, and they are 74-53 overall. The Yankees are 22-23 against other AL East teams this season. New York is 33-28 at home compared to 41-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 56-46 this year, and they are 18-7 as the underdog.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are 5-5 across their last 10 games, and they are coming off a series loss to the White Sox. This year, the Yankees’ overall series record is 23-13-4.

When it comes to the run line, the Yankees have been a much better bet on the road than at home this season. They are 40-26 against the run line on the road, compared to just 27-34 at home. Their overall run line record is 67-60, with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game. They have been favored in most of their games this season, and their run line record as the favorite is 46-56. In games they have won, their average run margin is +4.2 runs per game, while in losses it is -3.6 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is lower than the Yankees’ average combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. This season, the Yankees have played 87 games with higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 70-53. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 10-12-2, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.

So far this season, Gerrit Cole has made 10 starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 4.15. His WHIP for the season is 1.36. Looking at his overall numbers, Cole has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 10.38 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Cole was dominant, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without a win. Cole’s ERA at home is 4.78 compared to 4.2 on the road.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in on-base percentage and OPS, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. This is a team that is not only putting up a lot of runs but also doing so with a lot of power, as they are 2nd in the league in home runs and have the 2nd best isolated power figure in the league. The Yankees have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the best hitters in the league this season, with Judge leading the league in RBIs and homers, while also batting .334. Over his last eight games, Judge is 13/31 with five homers. Soto has also been hot, going deep six times in his last eight games while batting .269.

Our prediction for the Yankees vs. Guardians game is that the Yankees will come out on top by a score of 5-4. However, we do not see a ton of value in picking the Yankees on the money line, as their payout is -169.

Instead, we like the over, with the line being set at 8 runs. Our projections have the Yankees hitting the over by a score of 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you want to take the over. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gerrit Cole finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for ninth among starters.

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Guardians (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

New York Yankees Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report