New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
At 1:05 PM ET, the Reds and Yankees face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -179 compared to the Reds at +151. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
Cincinnati will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, as they are 41-45 and 4th in the NL Central. The Yankees are 2nd in the AL East with a record of 54-34. Marcus Stroman will be starting for the Yankees, and he is facing off against Frankie Montas for the Reds. BSOH is carrying this game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Cincinnati Reds odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Reds have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Yankees have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 3-7, while going 3-7 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Reds have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
Cincinnati picked up a 3-2 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a two-run 2nd inning and added what turned out to be the game-winning run in the 5th. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 7th.
Andrew Abbott started for the Reds and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with only two strikeouts but induced 13 ground balls. Carlos Rodón got the start for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Noelvi Marte and Stuart Fairchild each homered for the Reds, while Anthony Volpe went deep for the Yankees. Marte, Fairchild, and Tyler Naquin each scored twice for Cincinnati’s offense.
New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Cincinnati is 41-45 overall this season, and they trail the Brewers by 10.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division, just a half-game behind the Pirates for 3rd place. The Reds have won two straight games and are 5-5 across their last 10 contests.
At home, the Reds are 20-23 this year, and they are just above .500 at 21-22 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 21-29 this year, and they are 20-16 when favored. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 8-16-3, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 47-39 overall. They have been especially strong on the run line on the road, going 29-14. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak on the road and have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog. They have been outscored by an average of 0.3 runs per game at home but have a positive run differential of 0.7 runs per game on the road.
When the Cincinnati Reds play on the road, the over/under line is set at an average of 9 runs per game. The Reds’ games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-46. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 1-13-2. So far this season, 30.2% of their games have had over/under lines set above 9 runs, while 51.2% have had lines set below 9 runs.
Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Yankees on the road. Montas has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.23. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Montas most recently faced the Cardinals, where he took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Montas’ ERA on the road is 6.3 compared to 5.92 at home.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds, going 12/39 in his last nine games, including two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .251 and is 12th in the league with 15 home runs. Jonathan India has also been hot of late, hitting .438 over his last nine games. However, he has yet to go deep this season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .227, which is 19th in the MLB right now.
The Yankees will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak today, and they are two games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they are 12-14 in AL East matchups. New York is 54-34 overall and has gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Yankees are 24-16 this season and have gone 30-18 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 42-28 this year and 12-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Yankees are 17-7-3 and have dropped two straight series.
Despite a run line record of 20-20 at home, the Yankees have been a better bet on the road this season, going 28-20 against the run line. Their average run margin is +1.1 runs per game, and they have been favored in 70 of their 84 games. However, they have been a much better bet against the run line as an underdog, going 14-4.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is higher than the Yankees’ average over/under line of 8 runs per game. The over/under record for the Yankees this season is 46-40, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Yankees have gone 2-7-2.
New York is sending right-hander Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Reds. Stroman has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 7-3 with a 3.29 ERA. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 4 1/3 innings vs. the Blue Jays. Stroman gave up three earned runs on five hits in the outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Stroman has a WHIP of 1.29 this season and has issued 4.05 walks per nine innings compared to 6.59 strikeouts.
So far this season, the Yankees offense has been one of the best in the league, as they are 3rd in runs per game and have the 2nd best home run total in the league. Not only are they near the top of the league in home runs, but they also have the best walk rate in the league. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league.
Right now, Aaron Judge is not only leading the Yankees in batting average at .318, but he has also been red hot of late, going 12/25 in his last seven games with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, Judge’s 83 RBIs are the best in the league, and his 32 homers are also the top mark in the MLB. Juan Soto is also having a great season, batting .300 with 20 homers and 61 RBIs.
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Reds matchup is to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 9 runs. We have the Yankees winning this one by a score of 6-4, meaning there is some value in taking the Yankees on the money line, but we see the payout on the over being a better bet.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Marcus Stroman is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is fifth-worst among today’s starters. As for Frankie Montas, his projected strikeout total is five, which has him right in the middle of the pack.
New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- The Yankees should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Giancarlo Stanton | Out | Hamstring |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Emilio Pagán | Out | Lat |
| Nick Lodolo | Out | Finger |
| TJ Friedl | Out | Hamstring |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
