New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
Carlos Rodon and the Yankees are heavy favorites on the money line for Wednesday’s interleague matchup vs. the Reds. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
First pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET, and AMZP will be televising this one. The Reds are +158 on the money line, while the Yankees are currently 54-33.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Cincinnati Reds odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- The Reds are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Yankees have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 3-7, while going 3-7 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Reds have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 8-2 against the runline.
Cincinnati picked up a 5-4 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Yankees, they scored one run in the 6th and added their final run in the 7th.
Both teams finished with nine hits in the game, and the Yankees actually had one more extra-base hit than the Reds (4 to 3). New York also had more strikeouts than Cincinnati (8 to 5).
Graham Ashcraft got the win for the Reds out of the bullpen, while Alexis Díaz got the save. Luis Gil had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.
New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Cincinnati is 40-45 overall this season, and they trail the Brewers by 10.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 4-6 in their last 10 games and are 4th in the division, just a half-game behind the Pirates for 3rd place. So far, they have gone 12-14 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Reds are 20-23 this season and 20-22 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati has gone 20-16 this season and 20-29 as the underdog. The Reds’ overall series record is 8-16-3, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
The Reds have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 46-39. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 28-14. In games they have won, they have an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line for the Cincinnati Reds’ game against the New York Yankees is set at 8.5 runs. The Reds have played 82 games this season, and 42 of them have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 37-45.
Left-hander Andrew Abbott gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 3.41. Abbott’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his 16 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.23 strikeouts per nine innings. Abbott’s most recent outing came against the Cardinals, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. He has won each of his last two starts.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/30 in his last seven games, including one home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .254 with a team-leading 15 homers. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, with 10 and 14 homers, respectively. Steer comes into the game with a batting average of .242, while Candelario is hitting .243.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Their team batting average of .228 is 20th in the MLB, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs. However, they have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest.
The Yankees are 54-33 overall, putting them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 12-14 in AL East matchups. The Yankees have dropped three of their last four games and are just 3-7 across their last ten.
At home, the Yankees are 24-15 this year, and they have been really good on the road, going 30-18. As the favorite, New York is 42-27 this year, and they are 12-6 when listed as the underdog. So far, they have dropped two straight at home, and their overall series record is 17-7-3.
Despite their recent struggles against the run line at home, the Yankees have been a solid bet overall this season. They are 48-39 overall and 28-20 on the run line on the road. They have been an underdog in 18 games this season and have covered the run line in 14 of those contests. The average run differential in their wins is +4.0 runs per game, while it is -3.5 runs per game in their losses.
The New York Yankees have had a high-scoring season so far, with a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is 46-39, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 23-14, and they have gone over the line in 19 of their games, which is 21.8% of their games. They are currently on a 7-game over streak.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays. In that start, he gave up 8 earned runs in 5 innings of work. Rodón ended up taking the loss in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least 5 earned runs in three straight starts. Rodón’s ERA for the season is 4.42, along with a record of 9-5. Looking at his home/away splits, Rodón is 5-4 on the road with a 5.26 ERA compared to 4-1 at home with a 4.84 ERA.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. New York has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 9th in the league, and also have the best walk rate in the MLB.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 16/37 in his last 10 games with five homers and 16 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .321 with a league-leading 83 RBIs. Judge’s 32 homers are also the best in the league. Juan Soto is also having a great season, as he is batting .300 with 20 homers, which is 7th in the MLB.
For this Reds vs. Yankees matchup, we are actually recommending that you stay away from the money line and instead look to the over/under. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Yankees, which would make the over a good bet at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters today. As for Andrew Abbott, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him just outside the top 10 among starters.
New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Reds (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Giancarlo Stanton | Out | Hamstring |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Emilio Pagán | Out | Lat |
| Nick Lodolo | Out | Finger |
| TJ Friedl | Out | Hamstring |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
