New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Betting Tips 7/2/2024

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Reds and Yankees face off in an interleague matchup at 7:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. Cincinnati is 39-45, while the Yankees have the second-best record in the AL at 54-32.

New York is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -202 compared to the Reds at +171. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on YES.

Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Cincinnati Reds odds

New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats

• The Reds are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Yankees have won 4-6 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Reds’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 3-7 straight-up and 7-3 vs. the runline.

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Cincinnati closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 2-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight favorite at +102 on the money line. Things really could have gone either way, as the Cardinals scored both of their runs in the 5th inning, and the Reds couldn’t come up with a run of their own. Cincinnati’s offense only had two fewer hits than the Cardinals but didn’t score a run.

Hunter Greene got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run, but it was enough to take the loss. The Reds also wasted a big game from Jonathan India, who went 2-4 with two doubles.

Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Yankees. They are 10.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead and trail the Pirates by 1.5 games for 3rd place in the division. The Reds are 39-45 overall and have gone 12-14 against other NL Central teams.

So far, the Reds have been pretty even at home (20-23) compared to on the road (19-22). As the favorite, Cincinnati has gone 20-16 this year, and they are 19-29 as the underdog. The Reds’ overall series record is 8-16-3, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When betting on the Reds’ run line this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they have a 27-14 record. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.9. They have a run line record of 45-39 overall, and they are 29-19 against the run line as an underdog.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.3 runs per game. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 36-45 on the season, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Reds have a record of 6-7. So far this season, 50.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, while 34.5% have had lower lines.

Cincinnati is sending Graham Ashcraft to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 5.45. So far, he has made 13 starts, three of which were quality starts. Ashcraft’s WHIP for the season is 1.49, and he is averaging 6.92 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Ashcraft took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in each one. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in three straight starts.

Elly De La Cruz and Jeimer Candelario come into the game tied for the team lead with 14 homers apiece, and De La Cruz is 3rd on the team with 37 RBIs, while Candelario is 2nd with 39 RBIs. De La Cruz has been hot of late, going 12/35 (.343) in his last eight games, with one home run. Jonathan India is also swinging a hot bat, going 16/30 in his last eight games.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They are also 17th in home runs and batting just .229. Overall, they are 17th in slugging percentage and 21st in OPS. Cincinnati’s offense is averaging 8 strikeouts per game, which is 22nd in the league.

New York is coming off a big 8-1 win over the Blue Jays to close out their series. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -113 on the money line. It was a big second inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Yankees scored another two runs in the 3rd to take a 4-0 lead. Aaron Judge went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Gerrit Cole started for the Yankees, going five innings and giving up just one run on three hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

With a record of 54-32, the Yankees are in 2nd place in the AL East, tied with the Orioles for the division lead. New York will host the Reds today and is 8.5 games ahead of the Red Sox in the division. The Yankees went just 12-14 in AL East games this year.

At home, the Yankees are 24-14 this year, and they have gone 30-18 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 42-26 this year, and they are 12-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-7-3, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

Looking back at their recent games, the Yankees are just 3-7 over their last ten. They did manage to split their most recent series vs. the Blue Jays.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. They have been a good bet on the run line, going 48-38 overall and 20-18 at home. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 28-20, and as an underdog, going 14-4.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the New York Yankees’ home game against the Cincinnati Reds is higher than their season average of 8 runs. The Yankees have played 36% of their games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs or higher, and their over/under record for those games is 22-14. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season, and they are currently on a six-game over streak.

New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he comes into the game with a record of 9-3 and an ERA of 3.15. This year, opponents are batting .164 off Gil, and he has a total of seven quality starts. In his 16 outings, Gil has a total of 85 2/3 innings pitched. Looking back at his last outing, Gil took the loss vs. the Mets, giving up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up seven earned runs in 1 1/3 innings vs. the Orioles.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also 2nd in runs per game at 5.1. Their team batting average of .251 is 8th in the league, and they are also the top walking team in the league. As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5.4 runs per game on the road.

Over his last 10 games, Aaron Judge has been on fire, going 15/36 with five homers and 18 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .316 with a league-leading 82 RBIs. Judge’s 31 homers is also the best mark in the league. Juan Soto is also having a great season, batting .303 with 20 homers.

With the Reds coming in at +171 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. We actually have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Graham Ashcraft going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Luis Gil, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts and go just four innings.

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips

• We like the Reds on the moneyline (+171)
• The Reds are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

New York Yankees Injury Report

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report