New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Preview
There is a five-game winning streak on the line for the Yankees, as they have won 5 straight and are 31-15 overall. They are the heavy money line favorite today at -302, while the White Sox are +246 on the money line. Today’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the forecast in New York calls for temperatures in the low 60s with scattered clouds.
First pitch for Saturday’s matchup is set for 1:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, and NBCS will be televising this AL matchup. Brad Keller will be going for the White Sox, and the Yankees are starting Luis Gil. Chicago is 5th in the AL Central, and the Yankees are currently 1st in the AL East.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Chicago White Sox odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- The White Sox are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a record of 8-2 straight-up, and have gone 8-2 against the runline.
- Looking at the White Sox’s previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
Chicago wasted a good outing from Mike Clevinger, as he went just 4 2/3 innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs as the White Sox starter vs. the Yankees. After scoring one run in the first inning, the Yankees were held in check until they broke out for two run in the 4th and added an insurance run in the 8th, picking up a 4-2 win.
Nestor Cortes started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a walk. As for the White Sox, they got on the board with one run in the 3rd and added their final run in the 8th.
Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge each homered for the Yankees, while Anthony Rizzo went 2/4 with two RBIs. Tommy Pham had a three-hit game for the White Sox.
New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Chicago is just 14-31 overall this season, and they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Yankees. Currently, they are 14.0 games out of first place in the AL Central and are 5-19 against other teams in the division. The White Sox are coming off a series win over the Tigers.
At home, the White Sox are 10-14 compared to 4-17 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 2-0, but they have really struggled as the underdog, putting together a mark of 12-31. Chicago’s series record is 4-9-1 this year, and they have won two straight series.
When betting the run line on the White Sox, it’s best to do so when they are the underdog, as they are 20-23 against the run line in that situation. Their overall run line record is 22-23, and they have been outscored by an average of 2.0 runs per game this season.
Chicago’s last three games have gone under the total, and the White Sox have gone under in five of their last seven games. The White Sox have gone under in 25 of their 44 games this season, and their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game. The White Sox have gone under in 56.8% of their games this season.
Brad Keller is set to make his first start of the season, as he has made three appearances out of the bullpen so far. In his last outing, he went 3 1/3 innings and struck out three, allowing just one hit. Keller has yet to allow a home run this season.
Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are last in home runs and are averaging just 2.9 runs per game. The White Sox are also near the bottom of the league in a number of other offensive categories, including on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Their team batting average of .217 is also one of the worst marks in the league.
Andrew Vaughn and Eloy Jiménez are the team’s top home run threats, but both are batting under .220 for the season. However, Vaughn has gone 5/18 in his last five games with two homers and six RBIs. Tommy Pham has also been hot of late, going 8/19 in his last five games, and he comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.
The Yankees are 31-15 overall and lead the AL East by one game over the Orioles. New York is on a five-game winning streak, and they took the first game of their series with the White Sox. So far, they have gone just .500 in AL East matchups, putting their record at 8-8.
At home, the Yankees are 14-6 this year and have been really good on the road, going 17-9. As the favorite, the Yankees are 22-11 this year, and they have gone 9-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 11-2-1 this year, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight on the road.
Despite the Yankees’ overall run line record being just above .500, they have been a profitable bet on the run line when playing on the road, where they have covered the run line in 16 of their 26 games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.6.
With an over/under line of 8 runs, the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox have a combined run average of 8.1 runs per game this season. The over/under record for Yankees games this season is 18-26, and their average over/under line is also 8 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 8 runs, the over/under record is 3-6. The Yankees have played in 31 games with an over/under line higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 67.4% of their games this season. They have played in just 6 games with an over/under line lower than 8 runs, which accounts for 13.0% of their games this season. The under has hit in each of their last four games.
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and is facing the White Sox at home. He has made eight starts this season and has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 2.51. Gil has been pitching well lately, as he has not allowed more than one earned run in any of his last three outings. In his most recent start, he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work. Gil’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09, and opponents are batting .137 off him this year. So far, he has three quality starts.
So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 2nd ranked home run hitting team and are batting a collective .255, which is also 5th in the MLB. New York’s team on-base percentage of .336 is 3rd in the league.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 10/16 in his last five games with three homers and seven runs scored. For the season, he is batting .267 with 12 home runs. Juan Soto is also having a strong season at the plate, hitting .301 with a team-high 34 RBIs.
Our recommended bet for this White Sox and Yankees matchup is to take the over, as we see the final score being 5-4 in favor of the Yankees. With the line sitting at eight runs, there is a bit of room for error, and we would take the over even if the line moved up to 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Gil is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Brad Keller with five. Keller is also projected to give up five runs compared to Gil, who we have giving up just two runs.
New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Kahnle | Out | Shoulder |
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Foot |
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Oswald Peraza | Out | Shoulder |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Back |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Out | Hip |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Ramos | Out | Quadricep |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
