New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Preview
The money line odds for Friday’s White Sox vs. Yankees matchup have the Yankees as the heavy favorite, with their odds sitting at -267 compared to the White Sox at +220. This AL matchup has a first pitch of 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s.
Chicago will be looking to pull off the road upset with a lineup that has them 5th in the AL Central, as they are 14-30 overall. The Yankees are currently on a four-game winning streak, and they lead the AL East with a record of 30-15. Nestor Cortes gets the start for the Yankees, while the White Sox are sending Mike Clevinger to the mound.
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New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- The White Sox are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Yankees have gone 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Yankees have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the White Sox’s previous ten games as the underdog they are 6-4 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the White Sox closed out the series with a 2-0 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the heavy favorite at -169. Offensively, the White Sox only scored two runs but did so on nine hits. Korey Lee was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a run scored. The White Sox also had three other players with two hits.
Garrett Crochet got the start for the White Sox, going five innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Chicago is on the road today, taking on the Yankees with an overall record of 14-30, which puts them 5th in the AL Central. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-19. The White Sox come into today’s game having won two straight, and they closed out their series vs. the Nationals with a win.
At home, the White Sox are 10-14 this year and just 4-16 on the road. As the underdog, Chicago is 12-30 this year compared to 2-0 as the favorite. The White Sox’ overall series record is 4-9-1, and they have won two straight series.
When the White Sox win, they tend to do so by a decent margin, as they have an average run differential of +2.3 in those games. However, when they lose, they tend to lose by a lot, with an average run differential of -4.0. They have a run line record of 22-22, and their run line record as an underdog is 20-22. Their overall run differential is -2.0 runs per game, and their run line record on the road is 7-13.
Chicago’s last two games have gone under the total, and their over/under record for the season is 19-24. The White Sox have had nine games with an over/under line of 8.5, and their over/under record in those games is 5-6. The combined run average in their games this season is 7.8 runs per game.
Mike Clevinger and the White Sox are on the road to take on the Yankees today. Clevinger is coming off a rough start in his first outing of the season, as he took the loss against the Rays, giving up 3 earned runs in 2 innings of work. He did bounce back in his last start, however, as he went 4 2/3 innings and struck out 5, giving up just 1 earned run.
So far this season, the White Sox offense has been the worst in the league in terms of scoring, averaging just 2.9 runs per game. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their 32 home runs are the fewest in the league. As a team, they are batting just .216, which is also the worst in the MLB.
Paul DeJong has been the White Sox’s top power threat so far, as his six home runs are 8th best in the league. However, he is batting just .248. Eloy Jiménez is batting just .216 but has the 2nd most home runs on the team, with five. Andrew Vaughn has gone 5/18 in his last five games and is batting just .205 for the season.
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Twins, closing out their series with a 5-0 win. New York scored three runs in the 1st inning and added another two in the 6th. Clarke Schmidt put together a good start for the Yankees, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out eight Twins batters.
Anthony Volpe was only 2/5 but had a big game, driving in a run and scoring one himself. The Yankees’s other two hits came from Gleyber Torres, who also scored a run.
With a record of 30-15, the Yankees lead the AL East by one game over the Orioles. New York is on a four-game winning streak, and they went 3-0 in their series vs. the Twins. So far, they have gone just .500 in divisional games at 8-8.
At home, the Yankees are 13-6 this season, and they have been even better on the road at 17-9. As the favorite, the Yankees are 21-11 this season, and they are 9-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 11-2-1, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight on the road.
When the Yankees are favored, they have not been a good bet on the run line, going just 14-18. However, they have been a great bet when they are the underdog, going 10-3. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.5, while in losing games, it is -2.6. Overall, their run line record is 24-21, with an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game.
With the Yankees’ over/under record at 18-25, it’s clear that the oddsmakers have had a difficult time setting the right number for their games. Their average over/under line is 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit at a 55% clip. However, their last three games have all gone under the total, and their combined run average for the season is just 8.1 runs per game.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the White Sox. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 4.03. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is 1.08, and he has turned in four quality starts. In his last outing, Cortes took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had pitched well, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings vs. the Tigers. Cortes has allowed a home run in two straight outings.
So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, as they are 2nd in the league in home runs and are also 6th in team batting average. Overall, they are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. New York has been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been the team’s top power threats so far, as they are 2nd and 3rd on the team in home runs, respectively. Judge has been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .417 over his last seven games with three homers. Anthony Volpe has also been on a tear, going 12/33 in his last seven games with two homers.
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. White Sox matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We have the Yankees winning this one by a score of 5-4, meaning there is some room to take the over or the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Mike Clevinger going five innings and Nestor Cortes going just four. However, we have Clevinger finishing with more strikeouts than Cortes, but still have him getting just five.
New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Kahnle | Out | Shoulder |
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Foot |
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Oswald Peraza | Out | Shoulder |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Back |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Out | Hip |
| Danny Mendick | Out | Back |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Ramos | Questionable | Quadricep |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
